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KamaAina

(78,249 posts)
Wed Jan 30, 2013, 10:36 PM Jan 2013

Niners 28, Ravens 21

50,000 computer simulations can't be wrong.

http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/nfl-shutdown-corner/computer-pick-50-000-super-bowl-simulations-san-145415202--nfl.html

Now all that's left is the commercials.

There's no need to watch the Super Bowl for the actual game, at least not with PredictionMachine.com having run 50,000 simulations of Sunday's Super Bowl matchup and determining that the San Francisco 49ers will beat the Baltimore Ravens by a likely score of 28 to 21. The simulations gave the edge to the 49ers' run and pass offense over the Ravens' defense and perhaps most importantly, an edge to the 49ers' run defense in stopping the Ravens' rushing attack.

From the 50,000 simulations, PredictionMachine.com had the 49ers winning 66.9 percent of the time. But while a touchdown spread and a relatively narrow game is the most likely winning margin for the 49ers, there is a 38.6 percent chance that San Francisco wins by more than 10 points. In other words, the simulation likes the 49ers an awful lot.


Not to worry, though. Remember, hockey's back. And pitchers and catchers report (to some teams) the very next Sunday.
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Niners 28, Ravens 21 (Original Post) KamaAina Jan 2013 OP
Wonder what it predicted about the Ravens previous two games. Better yet, what does madinmaryland Jan 2013 #1
Don't know. But it did predict the last two Roman numeral games KamaAina Jan 2013 #4
Heh! I understand that Crossroads GPS is predicting the same thing. madinmaryland Jan 2013 #5
Alerted. This needs a spoiler warning! petronius Jan 2013 #2
+ El Supremo Jan 2013 #3
They haven't played that game yet? ScreamingMeemie Jan 2013 #6
"Now all that's left is the commercials." Scurrilous Jan 2013 #7

madinmaryland

(64,931 posts)
1. Wonder what it predicted about the Ravens previous two games. Better yet, what does
Wed Jan 30, 2013, 10:38 PM
Jan 2013

Nate Silver say about the results?

 

KamaAina

(78,249 posts)
4. Don't know. But it did predict the last two Roman numeral games
Thu Jan 31, 2013, 12:18 AM
Jan 2013

Giants by about 52%, and Packers by a somewhat wider margin (but well short of two-thirds )

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