2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumIowa Shock Poll-HRC 57% SBS 36% MOM 7%
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/gravis-marketing-one-america-news-23497
jfern
(5,204 posts)And they once had a national poll with Webb at 12% and Chafee at 8%. Even if Overtime Politics is making up numbers, they're still a better pollster than Gravis.
bvf
(6,604 posts)then went in search for something to attach it to.
Not at all surprised to hear that wrt Gravis, btw.
There are pretty bad. Always have been.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/pollster-ratings/
http://www.slate.com/blogs/weigel/2014/05/21/the_worst_poll_in_america.html
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2015/5/31/1388543/-The-most-accurate-pollsters-of-2014-and-why-that-title-quite-frankly-doesn-t-mean-very-much
Seem to be worse this cycle
JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)Bjorn Against
(12,041 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,705 posts)HerbChestnut
(3,649 posts)emulatorloo
(43,982 posts)I think IA is gonna be a nail-biter. Lots of variables that afftect caucus turnout that pollsters can't control.
Rosa Luxemburg
(28,627 posts)Samantha
(9,314 posts)reformist2
(9,841 posts)Samantha
(9,314 posts)Nate Silver rates them an A-. Go figure.
Sam
Dawson Leery
(19,348 posts)and a 3% margin of error. Many of the polls putting Bernista ahead have a large margin of error, 5% or more.
Quixote1818
(28,904 posts)TSIAS
(14,689 posts)yet unbelievable.