Brand Spanking New Selzer Iowa Poll- Clinton leads by 2. MoE 4.4

[cali]

Last edited Thu Jan 14, 2016, 08:02 AM - Edit history (1)

Hillary Clinton has lost most of her lead over Bernie Sanders in the race to win Iowa’s Democratic presidential caucuses, a new Iowa Poll shows.

Clinton, who has been the favorite all along, now leads Sanders by just 2 percentage points in The Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics poll. That’s down from 9 percentage points a month ago.

Clinton is now the top choice of 42 percent of likely Democratic caucusgoers, compared with Sanders’ 40 percent, the poll finds. The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.

“It shows Bernie is around to stay for sure. It’s not a fly-by-night thing,” said Grant Woodard, a Des Moines lawyer who has worked for several state and national Democratic campaigns. “It really shows we’re going to have a pretty crazy last few weeks here.”

<snip>
http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2016/01/14/iowa-poll-clinton-slides-leads-sanders-2-points/78738770/

[Eric J in MN]

1. Hillary Clinton has scheduled twice as many TV ads for the final weeks in Iowa.

If you're a Bernie Sanders supporter, then please do what you can to help him.

[cali]

2. This is the poll conducted by Selzer, considered the "gold standard" in Iowa

Bernie has a huge lead among younger voters and Hillary has a huge lead among older voters

<snip>
According to the poll, Hillary Clinton, long the Iowa favorite, leads Bernie Sanders by just two points, 42 percent to 40 percent. Martin O’Malley comes in at a distant third, with 4 percent of the vote. Sanders leads Clinton 59 percent to 27 percent among people younger than 45; Clinton leads Sanders 56 percent to 26 percent among likely Democratic caucusgoers 65 or older.

<snip>
http://heavy.com/news/2016/01/latest-democratic-iowa-polls-des-moines-register-bernie-sanders-hillary-clinton-martin-omalley/

[beam me up scottie]

3. This is the Selzer poll?

Wow, Bernie's movin on up!

[cali]

4. Yep. What's interesting is how much support she's lost

And how little he's gained.

[beam me up scottie]

5. I see that, interesting. He leads with the same voters who chose Obama too:

Selzer, the pollster, noted that Sanders scores well with the types of voters who put Barack Obama over the top in Iowa in 2008. Sanders is supported by 62 percent of political independents who plan to attend the Democratic caucuses, compared with 21 percent for Clinton. He also leads 59 percent to 27 percent among those younger than 45 and by 52 percent to 34 percent among people who plan to attend their first caucuses.

“That to me is the reason why this race is close,” Selzer said.

He's really inspiring voters.

[cali]

6. Kick

[Godhumor]

7. Confirms Iowa is going to be confusing. Most of the change is people returning to uncommitted

There is going to be a substantial number of people deciding who to vote for at the caucus itself.

[cali]

9. Looks that way. I haven't a clue as to who will win or what

the margins will be.

[JRLeft]

8. Go Berni, Go!