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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumSanders’ great night could be turning point in 2016 race (Des Moines, IA)
http://rockrivertimes.com/2016/01/18/sanders-greant-night-could-be-turning-point-in-2016-race/
By Anthony J Gaughan
Drake University
The gloves are off in the Democratic race and its now abundantly clear that Bernie Sanders can throw a punch.
On Sunday night the Democratic presidential candidates met for their final debate before the Iowa caucuses. Hillary Clinton entered the debate with a 25-point lead in the national polls, a big fundraising advantage, and a virtual monopoly on major endorsements.
But Clinton knows from personal experience that no lead is safe until the voting starts. In the 2008 presidential race she squandered an even bigger lead over Barack Obama.
Could history repeat itself in 2016? That question haunts the Clinton campaign team, particularly now that Sanders leads Clinton in New Hampshire and trails her by just 2 points in the latest Iowa poll.
FULL story at link. Before you go after the source, remember this bustle post from this morning too: http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511024896
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Sanders’ great night could be turning point in 2016 race (Des Moines, IA) (Original Post)
Omaha Steve
Jan 2016
OP
katmondoo
(6,454 posts)1. I hear otherwise
Response to Omaha Steve (Original post)
Name removed Message auto-removed
Omaha Steve
(99,582 posts)3. Anthony Gaughan's Profile (Drake Law)
Rock River Times: http://rockrivertimes.com/
http://www.law.drake.edu/faculty/?profileID=gaughanAnthony
Associate Professor of Law
Areas of Expertise
Civil Procedure, Evidence, Election Law, Insurance Law, Federal Courts and Jurisdiction, Laws of War, National Security Law
Education
J.D. Harvard University, 2005
Ph.D. University of Wisconsin-Madison, 2002
M.A. Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, 1996
B.A. University of Minnesota, Twin Cities, 1993
Experience
Drake Professor since 2011
Member, Iowa Public Information Board, 2012-present
Attorney, Godfrey & Kahn, S.C., 2005-2008, 2009-2011
U.S. Navy Reserve Officer, 2005-2008, 2009-2013
U.S. Navy Officer, 2008-2009
Staff Officer, Joint Task Force 134, Multi-National Forces-Iraq, Baghdad, 2008-2009
History Lecturer, University of Wisconsin-Madison, 2000-2001
Graduate Teaching Assistant, University of Wisconsin-Madison, 1997-2000
Capt. Obvious
(9,002 posts)4. He's only an Associate Professor
That makes his analysis suspect.
CorporatistNation
(2,546 posts)6. Pleaase Let Us See Your Credentials To Backup Your Assertion?
I have two Masters Degrees and would consider the credentials cited here as more than adequate.
appalachiablue
(41,127 posts)5. NICE
catnhatnh
(8,976 posts)7. Wait
Is this guy a well known blogger like the guy on Bustle? What has he ever written about entertainment or fashion?
Omaha Steve
(99,582 posts)8. Is Chris Tognotti fair and balanced? Objective or agenda on POLITICS?
Is Chris Tognotti established in IOWA?
Certain DUers have posted these before. I see a pattern.
OS
Bernie Sanders has a Latino problem: http://www.dailydot.com/opinion/bernie-sanders-latino-problem-voter-outreach/
Bernie Sanders supporters need to stop behaving like a cult: http://www.dailydot.com/opinion/bernie-sanders-supporters-twitter-cult/
LWolf
(46,179 posts)9. This part is telling.
The best news for Clinton is that the debate flew under the national radar screen.
Thats not by accident. The Clinton campaign used its influence within the Democratic National Committee to reduce drastically the number of debates and to schedule them on weekends when viewership would be light.
The campaigns logic was that Clinton had nothing to gain and everything to lose from the debates. Once again, memories of 2008 shaped the Clinton teams 2016 strategy. In 2008 Clinton debated Barack Obama 25 times, an all-time record. Those 2008 debates helped Obama erase Clintons huge polling lead and ultimately propelled him to the Democratic nomination.
But the fact that the Democratic frontrunner is leery of debates should trouble the partys rank-and-file. Instead of strengthening her position in the race, Clintons aversion to debates only serves to reinforce her image as aloof and out-of-touch with the partys liberal base.
Thats not by accident. The Clinton campaign used its influence within the Democratic National Committee to reduce drastically the number of debates and to schedule them on weekends when viewership would be light.
The campaigns logic was that Clinton had nothing to gain and everything to lose from the debates. Once again, memories of 2008 shaped the Clinton teams 2016 strategy. In 2008 Clinton debated Barack Obama 25 times, an all-time record. Those 2008 debates helped Obama erase Clintons huge polling lead and ultimately propelled him to the Democratic nomination.
But the fact that the Democratic frontrunner is leery of debates should trouble the partys rank-and-file. Instead of strengthening her position in the race, Clintons aversion to debates only serves to reinforce her image as aloof and out-of-touch with the partys liberal base.
Clinton is an accomplished debater. It's a strength for her. As a matter of fact, your second link goes to a post discussing an article that claims she won on rhetoric.
Not substance. Rhetoric.
If she can't count on one of her strongest traits, she's really in trouble.