2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumBrand Spanking New You Gov Nat'l Poll-HRC 58% (+4) SBS 33% (-4) MOM 3% (+0)
https://today.yougov.com/news/2016/01/17/democratic-race-pits-experience-against-honesty/
thomservo
(147 posts)over a week ago.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Clinton is the first choice of 59 percent of Democratic primary voters, while Sanders gets the support of 34 percent. Martin O'Malley gets 2 percent.
http://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/poll-clinton-holds-25-point-national-lead-over-sanders-n49807
I would be remiss in not thanking you for kicking my thread.
Yours truly,
DSB
darkangel218
(13,985 posts)The poll results you posted are not "new".
leftofcool
(19,460 posts)darkangel218
(13,985 posts)thomservo
(147 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)But I would be remiss if I said I didn't admire your persistence and thank you for kicking my thread.
Yours truly,
DSB
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)If you believe the most up to date poll is old data there is nothing I can do to disabuse you of that notion.
As always, thank you for kicking my thread.
Yours truly,
DSB
Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #5)
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ucrdem
(15,512 posts)workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Thanks DSB
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)darkangel218
(13,985 posts)Why are you calling it new?
Response to darkangel218 (Reply #4)
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darkangel218
(13,985 posts)It should not be called new.
Response to darkangel218 (Reply #9)
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darkangel218
(13,985 posts)A one week old poll is not new.
Response to darkangel218 (Reply #13)
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darkangel218
(13,985 posts)I see what you're doing here..
Welcome to DU, BTW.
thomservo
(147 posts)and interesting it wasn't released until today.
Fla Dem
(23,630 posts)oasis
(49,365 posts)They both gave an excellent accounting of themselves in the debate.
MoonRiver
(36,926 posts)Don't know if Martin had enough air time to make any difference for him. And that it too bad.
Stuckinthebush
(10,843 posts)and clinch her SC win. Well done.
oasis
(49,365 posts)concentrate on the GE. it will be an all hands effort here instead of constant annoyances.
Stuckinthebush
(10,843 posts)I am so sick of the rancor here. I actually saw a post on last nights debate thread that said, "That woman turns my stomach!"
What the hell? It has become stupid around here. Once the GE comes around we can all focus on the real enemy which is the GOP!
KittyWampus
(55,894 posts)Tom Harking, Bill Bradley, Wesley Clark...
Gothmog
(145,046 posts)Quixote1818
(28,926 posts)as we saw back in 08 when her huge lead evaporated in a matter of days. Keep in mind that only 12 out of 100 people need to change their mind for a 25 point advantage to evaporate. People are not tuned in nationally yet so Hillary's name recognition is mostly what this is polling.
That being said, Iowa needs to close quickly for Sanders and I am not sure that will happen or not. Regardless, I really could care less about National Polls. Nate Silver won't even project anything beyond NH based on a lack of polling data.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)"-Nate Silver won't even project anything beyond NH based on a lack of polling data."
Quixote1818
Nate Silver: 'Trump Has More of a Chance Than Bernie' of Winning a Nomination
Is there any chance Hillary isn't the Democratic nominee?
I think you would have to have some type of renewed scandal or health problem or something like that. I could see Bernie Sanders winning a few states. New Hampshire is still very close. But her chances have to be in the range of 90 [percent] to 95 percent. Trump has more of a chance than Bernie.
http://www.adweek.com/news/advertising-branding/nate-silver-trump-has-more-chance-bernie-beating-clinton-168776
Quixote1818
(28,926 posts)and I would take his personal opinion with a grain of salt since he predicted Trump to disappear a long time ago. He doesn't seem to have his finger on the pulse the way he has in the past. Nate is extremely good at reading poll data but beyond that he is just another pundit and his punditry very far out is pretty mediocre at best this year. Believe me because I was posting his articles predicting Trump to cave.
Here is his Nevada link (Not enough data): http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/nevada-democratic/
FloridaBlues
(4,007 posts)Has her leading by nearly same percent.
Holding steady and moving forward !
Don't care what the polling says she will win the first 2 early states.
When push comes to shove they will go for experience.