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CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)
Thu Jan 21, 2016, 03:55 PM Jan 2016

National and State polls through Super Tuesday (from RealClearPolitics.com)

Last edited Thu Jan 21, 2016, 04:27 PM - Edit history (2)

Some of the polls for the Super Tuesday states are rather old and for others there is no good polling data. However, what is available will give you an idea what the candidates face.

National

1/4-1/18 Clinton 51.2 Sanders 38.0 O'Malley 2.2
Clinton +13.2


Monday, February 1

Iowa (7 polls) 52 Delegates


1/2-1/19 Clinton 47.0 Sanders 42.3 O'Malley 5.4
Clinton +4.7


Tuesday, February 9


New Hampshire (5 polls) 32 Delegates

1/4-1/18 Sanders 51.6 Clinton 39.0 O'Malley 2.8
Sanders +12.6


Saturday, February 20

Nevada caucus (2 polls) 43 Delegates

12/5-12/17 Clinton 66.0 Sanders 26.0 O'Malley 2.5
Clinton +40.0


Saturday, February 27

South Carolina (2 polls) 50 delegates

10/3-12/27 Clinton 50.0 Sanders 30.5 O'Malley 0.5
Clinton +19.5


Tuesday, March 1

Colorado caucus (1 Poll) 70 Delegates

11/11-11/15 Clinton 55 Sanders 27 O'Malley 2
Clinton +28

Georgia (3 polls) 116 Delegates


8/5-10/26 Clinton 60.0 Sanders 17.0 O'Malle 1.7
Clinton +43.0

Massachusetts (3 polls) 116 Delegates


10/16-11/22 Clinton 56.5 Sanders 27.0 O'Malley 3.0
Clinton +29.5


Oklahoma (2 polls ) 42 Delegates

10/19-11/15 Clinton 38.5 Sanders 16.5 O'Malley 1.5
Clinton +22.0

Tennessee (1 Poll) 76 Delegates

11/11-11/23 Clinton 48 Sanders 28 O'Malley 3
Clinton +20

Texas (3 polls) 252 Delegates


9/8-11/8 Clinton 52.0 Sanders 21.3 O'Malley 1.3
Clinton +30.7

Virgina (1 Poll) 110 Delegates

11/4-11/9 Clinton 63 Sanders 27 O'Malley 5
Clinton +36

Alabama () 60 Delegates

(no polls yet)

Alaska Caucus ( ) 28 Delegates


(no polls yet)

American Samoa caucus ( ) 10 Delegates

(no polls yet)

Arkansas ( ) 37 Delegates


(No current polls)

Minnesota caucus ( ) 93 Delegates


(no current polls)

Vermont 26 Delegates


(no polls yet)

11 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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National and State polls through Super Tuesday (from RealClearPolitics.com) (Original Post) CajunBlazer Jan 2016 OP
kick CajunBlazer Jan 2016 #1
One correction: Ken Burch Jan 2016 #2
Must be a typo - but you have Sara Palin CajunBlazer Jan 2016 #3
Colorado was never for Hillary. snoringvoter Jan 2016 #4
i have friends in massachusetts.... restorefreedom Jan 2016 #5
Some of those polls are rather old CajunBlazer Jan 2016 #6
this cycle seems to be turning polls on their heads restorefreedom Jan 2016 #7
There seems to be quite a few people who can't make up their minds, and following Cal33 Jan 2016 #9
i wish we had more states righht off the bat. restorefreedom Jan 2016 #11
There will be new polls for all of the March 1 MineralMan Jan 2016 #8
Message auto-removed Name removed Jan 2016 #10

restorefreedom

(12,655 posts)
5. i have friends in massachusetts....
Fri Jan 22, 2016, 10:32 AM
Jan 2016

no way that spread is anything close.

also very skeptical of co and nv. and iowa appears to have already tipped bernie.

but, pollsters gotta eat.....

CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)
6. Some of those polls are rather old
Fri Jan 22, 2016, 11:02 AM
Jan 2016

I wish there was up to date polling in all of the states, because there is no way this contest is going to decided in the first 2 or even the first 4 states unless Hillary were to take all 4 which, at this point at least, isn't going to happen.

In my humble opinion too much emphasis is placed on Iowa and New Hampshire which are atypical for both the Democrats and the Republicans. For those two state there is a new Democratic and Republican polls every other day, where as the polls for Texas, with it huge number of delegates and scheduled for two three weeks later, are too old to be really reliable. Same for Virginia and other large states in the Super Tuesday primary. Other states with more delegates than either Iowa and Hampshire in that same primary have no polls at all.

As you say, the pollsters have to eat, and right now for better or worst the money for polls is in two state that don't represent the nation.

restorefreedom

(12,655 posts)
7. this cycle seems to be turning polls on their heads
Fri Jan 22, 2016, 11:25 AM
Jan 2016

i also don't like how a few early states always get a bigger influence on the nominating process. this race is going to go on for quite a while, and the pollsters will continue to be mystified.

gonna be interesting, for sure

 

Cal33

(7,018 posts)
9. There seems to be quite a few people who can't make up their minds, and following
Fri Jan 22, 2016, 11:54 AM
Jan 2016

the lead of the first two states to help make up their minds for them could be a
natural consequence.

MineralMan

(146,286 posts)
8. There will be new polls for all of the March 1
Fri Jan 22, 2016, 11:51 AM
Jan 2016

primary events done after IA and NH. Those will provide a better look at how those states are looking. Right now, the polls are too old to accurately reflect voter sentiment.

I'm sure we'll be seeing those poll results within a week after the NH primaries. It will be interesting.

Response to CajunBlazer (Original post)

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