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DemocratSinceBirth

(99,708 posts)
Thu Jan 21, 2016, 04:38 PM Jan 2016

Another Iowa Poll, another Clinton lead-Clinton 52% -Sanders 43%






SURGE 10 DAYS BEFORE THE CAUCUS. CRUZ AND SANDERS FALTERING AT
FINISH.
In a new, statewide Iowa poll, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump have surged to 9 and 10
point leads in Iowa with just 10 days before the first in the nation voting begins. Clinton
receives 52% of the vote and Sanders at 43%. Trump leads his Republican rivals with
33%, followed by Ted Cruz at 23%, Marco Rubio (14%), and Ben Carson (9%) round out
the top four with the rest of field under 6%; Rick Santorum -- who won the 2012 Iowa
GOP Caucus with 25% of the vote -- has less than 1% of Iowans this time around, and
Mike Huckabee who won the 2008 Iowa Caucus is at 2%.
The survey began January 18, the day after the latest Democrat debate, and concluded
January 20, the day following Sarah Palin’s endorsement of Donald Trump.
“At this point, while both Trump and Clinton have significant leads in their own primaries
the electorate appears volatile, and it is still up in the air as to who will win” said Henry
Krause, a Senior Political Communication major at Emerson College, who helped
oversee the project. The data fluctuated on the three days of polling on both sides with
Clinton holding a 14 point lead on Monday, dropping to 9 points on Tuesday and was at
1 point, 48% to 47% on Wednesday. Trump also say variability over the three days
watching a 13 point lead on Monday drop to 4 points on Tuesday and rebounding on
Wednesday to 12 points 35% to 22% over Cruz.


http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_542e7f5df4e14162851de1c77b0df5f4.pdf



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Another Iowa Poll, another Clinton lead-Clinton 52% -Sanders 43% (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2016 OP
Hillary surging ahead 11 days before the caucus! workinclasszero Jan 2016 #1
Timing is everything. DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2016 #2
Could be... workinclasszero Jan 2016 #22
lol mhatrw Jan 2016 #21
Hillary Takes the Hill! MineralMan Jan 2016 #3
Iowa is Senator Sanders' Battle of Saratoga, Gettysburg, and Battle Of Inchon rolled into one./nt DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2016 #5
Follow me, men! MineralMan Jan 2016 #7
Laughing out loud. Edit to add. Laughing in a good way. riversedge Jan 2016 #15
This does not look like much of a surge for Hillary to me... Bjorn Against Jan 2016 #4
Shhhh... HerbChestnut Jan 2016 #6
Don't tell anybody those subsamples consist of 86 people and are virtually meaningless... DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2016 #8
Polling flucates from day to day KingFlorez Jan 2016 #11
Sanders fans and the media say Sanders is SURGING if gains one or two points. riversedge Jan 2016 #14
The Trend for that poll is not too great... book_worm Jan 2016 #9
Please see Post 8 DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2016 #10
Saw this and immediately thought of you. NorthCarolina Jan 2016 #12
Message auto-removed Name removed Jan 2016 #13
Kick & recommended. William769 Jan 2016 #16
The Bernie surge is a myth, but don't tell the MSM! MoonRiver Jan 2016 #17
More good news. Alfresco Jan 2016 #18
How old is this poll? B Calm Jan 2016 #19
Great news for Hillary! beaglelover Jan 2016 #20
 

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts)
1. Hillary surging ahead 11 days before the caucus!
Thu Jan 21, 2016, 04:41 PM
Jan 2016

But...but...the bernie revolution....???

Must be a conspiracy

mhatrw

(10,786 posts)
21. lol
Fri Jan 22, 2016, 02:30 PM
Jan 2016

The data fluctuated on the three days of polling on both sides with Clinton holding a 14 point lead on Monday, dropping to 9 points on Tuesday and was at 1 point, 48% to 47% on Wednesday.

Bjorn Against

(12,041 posts)
4. This does not look like much of a surge for Hillary to me...
Thu Jan 21, 2016, 04:54 PM
Jan 2016

"The data fluctuated on the three days of polling on both sides with Clinton holding a 14 point lead on Monday, dropping to 9 points on Tuesday and was at 1 point, 48% to 47% on Wednesday."

If that trend continues Hillary is in big trouble.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,708 posts)
8. Don't tell anybody those subsamples consist of 86 people and are virtually meaningless...
Thu Jan 21, 2016, 04:59 PM
Jan 2016

Don't tell anybody those subsamples consist of 86 people and are virtually meaningless, by themselves

Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

MoonRiver

(36,926 posts)
17. The Bernie surge is a myth, but don't tell the MSM!
Fri Jan 22, 2016, 01:42 PM
Jan 2016

I'm trying to decide if they want a Republican in the WH, or just a primary horse race. Either way, the CNN/ORC, demonstrably flawed, "poll" keeps getting trotted out, despite results from other reputable polls, like this one, showing Hillary ahead.

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