According to our latest polls-only forecast, Hillary has a 72% chance of winning the Iowa caucuses

[riversedge]

And with Polls Plus, she gets a 85% chance of winning the Iowa Caucuses



http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/iowa-democratic/#polls-only
2016 Primary Forecasts
The odds and polls for presidential primaries and caucuses, updated daily.

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UPDATED 3:04 PM EST | Jan 22, 2016
L Iowa Democratic caucuses

According to our latest polls-only forecast, Hillary Clinton has a 72% chance of winning the Iowa caucuses.
Polls-plus forecast
Polls-only forecast

Chance of winning, based on state polls only.
Dec. 15, 2015Jan. 1, 2016Jan. 15Feb. 10255075100%

[MoonRiver]

1. Looking good!

[mcar]

2. K&R

[Uponthegears]

3. As I told DSB

I appreciate the fact that Ms Clinton's supporters believe that "inevitability" is a theme that serves the well. I cannot criticize them for pushing it. I believe, however, that her desperate actions speak louder than your confident words. I guess we will see.

[hobbit709]

4. Here is a little clip to go with your cheerleading

[MineralMan]

5. We'll be finding out soon how the caucuses go in Iowa.

There will be disappointing news for some people in the results.

Many are putting far too much emphasis on the importance of Iowa's results, I'm afraid.

[Lucinda]

7. +1

[pipoman]

6. She's got it in the bag....just as well go home until the general....

[riversedge]

8. Hillary does not take anything for granted and neither does her Team and supporters.