I believe CNN blew it on one of its exit polls.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

Maybe

[morningfog]

1. Which? MA?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

2. Looks that way, doesn't it...

But I have seen exit polls off by as much as ten percent.

[Barack_America]

3. Certainly possible, but...

...there's a big chunk not reporting from within a sea of Bernie counties.

So we will just have to see.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

6. Predictit is a live betting market. You can bet until the polls close.

When the exit polls came out HRC dropped frpm 80 cents to 40 cents. She's now up to 96 cents.

https://www.predictit.org/Market/1725/Who-will-win-the-2016-Massachusetts-Democratic-primary

[Barack_America]

7. Oh yeah, do they do mortgages too? A little subprime speculation on the side?

Sorry, I don't gamble.

I don't know MA well enough to guess how this is going to play out.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

8. The Pentagon was going to use gaming markets to predict the next terrorist attacks

The Pentagon was going to use gaming markets to predict the next terrorist attacks as it is based on the theory of the wisdom of the crowds. The Pentagon ended up abandoning using gaming markets to predict a terrorist attack because it came off as being ghoulish.

[Recursion]

9. Which is a shame: they're pretty much the most reliable predictor of complex systems (nt)

[DemocratSinceBirth]

10. I don't know why people so casually dismiss them...

There is a lot of research that has gone into the wisdom of the crowd theory. BTW, I don't want to be misconstrued as believing they are infallible, but it is a reliable indicator when it comes to predicting all kinds of events...

I don't gamble but I enjoy watching the live political markets.

[JaneyVee]

4. Whats happening?

[ismnotwasm]

5. Hillary is ahead

[TSIAS]

11. CNN doesn't do exit polls

I believe the data is used by all the major outlets. MSNBC was also reporting a lead for Sanders in MA.