How many states does Bernie need to take tonight to 'win'?

[Joe the Revelator]

I say 3 for a major night for him given the states in play, and 2 gives him a lot of room to breath and keep going. What say you?

[litlbilly]

1. i would take 2 or 3

[thereismore]

2. I say I don't play the media game. It's about delegates not wins. nt

[Peace Patriot]

15. Exactly! The number of state 'wins' is irrelevant.

The accumulation of delegates in this long campaign is the important thing. Big progressive states still to come.

I'm not up on the details of proportional delegates states vs. "winner take all" states. But I'm pretty sure that all current states are proportional, so Sanders will get pledged delegates even if he 'lost' the state. (Margin of victory or loss determines how many.) At least some of the future states, after today, may be "winner take all."

[TreasonousBastard]

3. Too many.

[mvd]

4. OK was nice; shows he can win outside of NE

Does he still have a chance in MA? That would be a discouraging loss. How many Bernie areas left?

[Joe the Revelator]

5. MN, CO, MA

Would be places that I would say there is a CHANCE

[mvd]

6. Yes if he takes those I would consider it a good night

If not, well there are still big states left. Campaigns can turn.

[Codeine]

13. I'm convinced you'll get MA, but by how much?

My guess? Not enough to make a mathematical difference overall.

Maybe MN? I hae no idea whats up in CO, either. That's just a goofy clusterfuck like all caucuses.

[jillan]

7. It's all about the delegates

[jcgoldie]

8. The problem is

Even if he takes MA, MN, and CO for a total of 5 ... they will all be close to 50/50 delegate splits... meanwhile Hillary is shellacking him in the south even beating expectations... shes going to get a haul.

[JaneyVee]

10. This is exactly right. She only needs to keep it tight.

If she wins any one of those tonight its a shellacking.

[noretreatnosurrender]

9. One

All he needs is 1 state to win. That's a win, right?

[Codeine]

11. How many delegates will those wins give him.

He's killing in VT and OK, but anything else would likely be a close win with very little delegate advantage. Hill is PASTING him in the South, with big victory margins and correspondingly big delegates gains. How does Sanders make up that deficit with small wins?

[jg10003]

12. If Bernie wins 363 delegates (out of 865) then he is on track....

to overtake Clinton if he wins the big northern states and California.

[JI7]

14. he will stay in it after today no matter what