Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search
 

99th_Monkey

(19,326 posts)
Tue Mar 1, 2016, 11:48 PM Mar 2016

Looks like Bernie's winning 4-5 states tonight (out of 11 total). That a VERY respectable showing.

These results are NOT a Clinton "mandate" for Hillary (or her supporters) to climb on
a high-horse and start demanding that Bernie "get out now".

That is total BULLSHIT. Don't buy into it for a second.

GO Bernie!!!!

130 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Looks like Bernie's winning 4-5 states tonight (out of 11 total). That a VERY respectable showing. (Original Post) 99th_Monkey Mar 2016 OP
the delegate count for Hillary is devastating to his campaign bigtree Mar 2016 #1
It could get there one day, but it won't be tonight. morningfog Mar 2016 #3
This message was self-deleted by its author SCantiGOP Mar 2016 #127
Super-establishment-delegates. Optimism Mar 2016 #14
You are right, its bullshit DJ13 Mar 2016 #35
Yeah, Google's doing it too, and it reminded me of an article... drokhole Mar 2016 #129
Thats frightening DJ13 Mar 2016 #130
True. artislife Mar 2016 #48
Seconded and also Mira Mar 2016 #65
I don't remember the Superdelegate meme in 2008. dchill Mar 2016 #70
It was a big issue in 2008 thesquanderer Mar 2016 #79
Yes, at the end. dchill Mar 2016 #84
I'm not sure what various media was reporting... thesquanderer Mar 2016 #92
Well, there were more candidates to split... dchill Mar 2016 #94
True, yet the article shows BO and HRC at the center of the SD battle in Feb (n/t) thesquanderer Mar 2016 #97
How did Bernie win OK? creeksneakers2 Mar 2016 #71
MSNBC did the same thing, adding unpledged superdelegates John Poet Mar 2016 #115
Copied to my computer LittleGirl Mar 2016 #122
Okay silenttigersong Mar 2016 #123
lol, Nice try, littletwig. Fronkonsteen Mar 2016 #33
Ignore. tommcc99 Mar 2016 #49
Actually, not at all. JDPriestly Mar 2016 #50
To be sure, I hope what you suspect is true... Herman4747 Mar 2016 #61
Bernie wasn't running, and the economy had not yet fallen apart. JDPriestly Mar 2016 #100
The economy had fallen apart gwheezie Mar 2016 #116
The economy had fallen apart but the media and the public did not realize it fully until JDPriestly Mar 2016 #120
If You're in the Bay Area or L.A. yeah. Bernie terrority. Duckfan Mar 2016 #90
We see what you did there. bvf Mar 2016 #66
... kath Mar 2016 #67
Actually, it's not... It was expected to be less... MrMickeysMom Mar 2016 #68
less than 200 difference real devistating lol PatrynXX Mar 2016 #72
I think the delegate count for Hillary is devastating to HER campaign... dchill Mar 2016 #75
She's now leading by more than 200 delegates, with no Sanders "firewall" in sight. George II Mar 2016 #80
but only 24% of all delegates have been distributed thus far. retrowire Mar 2016 #83
Ah yes, our Martin O'Malley supporter ventures his opinion again. delrem Mar 2016 #86
Reality bites... FarPoint Mar 2016 #102
Kick and rec warrprayer Mar 2016 #2
Gee I thought he was suppose to only win VT? Cobalt Violet Mar 2016 #4
Yes it's a great moral victory Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Mar 2016 #5
If you can't see that Bernie Sanders has run an A+ campaign, you're blind. Maedhros Mar 2016 #103
It looks good! Rosa Luxemburg Mar 2016 #6
The ones demanding can all have some pie too! nc4bo Mar 2016 #7
You know what that pie had in it don't you? notadmblnd Mar 2016 #81
It's not about states. yallerdawg Mar 2016 #8
Now try one that doesn't count superdelegates. jeff47 Mar 2016 #13
Don't count all the votes! yallerdawg Mar 2016 #17
You can count them when they are actually cast. jeff47 Mar 2016 #20
These primaries are selecting delegates to go to the convention. yallerdawg Mar 2016 #22
:facepalm: jeff47 Mar 2016 #28
Some superdelegates have changed their vote. yallerdawg Mar 2016 #43
No, they are suddenly being counted this year. jeff47 Mar 2016 #56
How many votes do you need to win the party primary? yallerdawg Mar 2016 #62
80% of the unpledged delegates are still to be decided. jeff47 Mar 2016 #64
I thought Bernie won OK, too Aerows Mar 2016 #74
He did, I just don't know how their superdelegates have pledged. (nt) jeff47 Mar 2016 #82
It is March 1st, silly. nt artislife Mar 2016 #51
Superdelegates. Aren't. Pledged. Until. Convention. gcomeau Mar 2016 #40
It taught us superdelegates follow the fucking primary vote. yallerdawg Mar 2016 #53
Almost there... gcomeau Mar 2016 #63
Plus some of the states Hillary won are going to a republican in the general election. Gregorian Mar 2016 #9
Bernie won Oklahoma? yallerdawg Mar 2016 #23
Kind of my feeling on the whole thing rpannier Mar 2016 #41
Not just some of the state's. Except for her MA squeaker, all her wins are in red states. hedda_foil Mar 2016 #60
It looks like he may take Democrats abroad (votes coming in another week). HooptieWagon Mar 2016 #10
Samoa went Clinton rpannier Mar 2016 #44
Speaking of Samoa... kristopher Mar 2016 #77
Very interesting rpannier Mar 2016 #110
Tulsi is quite well spoken ... Optimism Mar 2016 #125
Congratulation to the Bernie supporters, your candidate gave a strong showing today! nt anotherproletariat Mar 2016 #11
Thanks. tommcc99 Mar 2016 #57
Very respectable but.... calguy Mar 2016 #12
Things are looking UP for Bernie from here on in. 99th_Monkey Mar 2016 #16
Stay in. Stay fighting rpannier Mar 2016 #47
If it would have been the Big Sky primary TheFarseer Mar 2016 #15
Yes, I hope Bernie wins Mass. as well. 99th_Monkey Mar 2016 #18
Sorry about this. Some people don't like to consider this GoneFishin Mar 2016 #36
It also depends on which regions are reporting thesquanderer Mar 2016 #95
Not to mention, there are a lot of states similar to Colorado that have yet to have their contests karynnj Mar 2016 #19
I'm in Blue Oregon, and we're feeling the Bern here. 99th_Monkey Mar 2016 #21
My Washington state daughter says the same of her state karynnj Mar 2016 #24
Yep 99th_Monkey Mar 2016 #27
That's the whole purpose behind Super Tuesday KamaAina Mar 2016 #29
Hillary is not doing well in the Northern states that actually vote Democratic in presidential JDPriestly Mar 2016 #42
Yup. nt artislife Mar 2016 #54
It will be nice Old Codger Mar 2016 #118
Yep. I'm glad we have primaries by state 99th_Monkey Mar 2016 #121
That's a very good idea! Peace Patriot Mar 2016 #124
i too vaguely recall the kerfuffle over ordering of primaries 99th_Monkey Mar 2016 #128
Great Job, Bernie!!!! Skid Rogue Mar 2016 #25
Thank you. nt 99th_Monkey Mar 2016 #30
Thanks. tommcc99 Mar 2016 #58
Besides, the Bernier states are still to come. Gene Debs Mar 2016 #26
WC Fields: Anyone who hates dogs and children can't be all bad Feeling the Bern Mar 2016 #31
does Texas allot delegates proportionally or winner-takes-all for Dems? nt TheDormouse Mar 2016 #32
i think all states in Dem Primary are proportional .. 99th_Monkey Mar 2016 #37
that's what I thought too, but looking for confirmation nt TheDormouse Mar 2016 #55
All Democratic primaries and caucuses are proportional jmowreader Mar 2016 #76
Republican primaries are a mix, with various convoluted permutations. (n/t) thesquanderer Mar 2016 #88
Bernie did extremely well. Did anyone think he would win one of the Southern states? JDPriestly Mar 2016 #34
Was surprised he won OK so easily, but dissapointed he lost by about 2.5% in MA. EndElectoral Mar 2016 #45
When I was a kid in OK half my relatives insisted it wasn't a Southern state Codeine Mar 2016 #85
I used to think we were mid western madokie Mar 2016 #126
Let's see how it goes now that the more progressive states are coming up. jalan48 Mar 2016 #38
Yeppers. Roger that. nt 99th_Monkey Mar 2016 #69
Sanders should stay until he wishes to stay. Beacool Mar 2016 #39
So was Obama and he came back strong. EndElectoral Mar 2016 #46
Fail Jtrupin123 Mar 2016 #93
How so? Beacool Mar 2016 #114
Which means nothing at this point. eom passiveporcupine Mar 2016 #111
Bernie needed 126 delegate pickup... is on target for 189! Great Results!!! Kip Humphrey Mar 2016 #52
Wow. That's great news!!! reformist2 Mar 2016 #73
What do you mean, he needed 126 delegates? Based on what? Elmer S. E. Dump Mar 2016 #108
And as soon as Camp Weathervane starts yakking... SoapBox Mar 2016 #59
Four, and one has to win more than one-third of the states, and some BIG states, to win.... George II Mar 2016 #78
Totally agree! Great showing for an insurgent candidate... Peace Patriot Mar 2016 #87
Awesome showing for Bernie! basselope Mar 2016 #89
I don't buy into it for goddamn one minute.. KauaiK Mar 2016 #91
agreed. Not bad at all. liberal_at_heart Mar 2016 #96
Sanders did better in blue states. Clinton did better in red (read: conservative) states. PoliticalMalcontent Mar 2016 #98
Seems like she dominates in the deep south. Smarmie Doofus Mar 2016 #99
My mistake it is only republican tonight nadinbrzezinski Mar 2016 #101
Geez, I totally forgot about AK 99th_Monkey Mar 2016 #105
It is only the R side of the house nadinbrzezinski Mar 2016 #107
got it. thanks. nt 99th_Monkey Mar 2016 #112
You are right, it is a good showing. Congratulations to Sanders and his supporters for still_one Mar 2016 #104
Thank you for your civil and respectful congrats 99th_Monkey Mar 2016 #106
Believe me, the Sanders' wins tonight threw a lot of us off balance still_one Mar 2016 #109
I am not surprised this remained competitive nadinbrzezinski Mar 2016 #113
I only *hoped* he might get 3, so yes-- great showing. Marr Mar 2016 #117
Yes, maybe they'll buy their own spin. .. would be nice. 99th_Monkey Mar 2016 #119

Response to morningfog (Reply #3)

Optimism

(142 posts)
14. Super-establishment-delegates.
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:03 AM
Mar 2016

CNN and their bullshit inclusion of Superdelegates when they show the delegate total graphic. All in hopes of making it appear there's been some sort of massive blowout tonight. There hasn't been! Don't be discouraged Bernie supporters! Not to diss all those Southern states Hillary won, but those are highly unlikely to vote for the Democrat in November. Oklahoma (which also dislikes Trump) DOES like Bernie. Crossover appeal. But the BIG news is Bernie's results in MN and CO. Not to mention the tie in MA !

Time for yet another donation to Sander's campaign. ENCOURAGEMENT! OPTIMISM !!

drokhole

(1,230 posts)
129. Yeah, Google's doing it too, and it reminded me of an article...
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 11:18 PM
Mar 2016

...about how they could sway the election for Hilary (from Aeon):

Looking ahead to the November 2016 US presidential election, I see clear signs that Google is backing Hillary Clinton. In April 2015, Clinton hired Stephanie Hannon away from Google to be her chief technology officer and, a few months ago, Eric Schmidt, chairman of the holding company that controls Google, set up a semi-secret company – The Groundwork – for the specific purpose of putting Clinton in office. The formation of The Groundwork prompted Julian Assange, founder of Wikileaks, to dub Google Clinton’s ‘secret weapon’ in her quest for the US presidency.

We now estimate that Hannon’s old friends have the power to drive between 2.6 and 10.4 million votes to Clinton on election day with no one knowing that this is occurring and without leaving a paper trail. They can also help her win the nomination, of course, by influencing undecided voters during the primaries. Swing voters have always been the key to winning elections, and there has never been a more powerful, efficient or inexpensive way to sway them than SEME ('Search Engine Manipulation Effect').
 

artislife

(9,497 posts)
48. True.
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:33 AM
Mar 2016

I am loving how the counties broke down in all the states. There were a lot more Bernie supporters across board than camp weathervane was counting on. And look where Bernie has strong numbers. Then compare to how many republicans voted.

If she is the nominee, she better get better at reaching across a lot of tables or she will be very sad in November

But what the Hell, I am very happy with the results. Would have loved to have add the MA as a win, but we showed up in very close numbers there. Bernie got delegates in every state....it looks like h didn't get any in Vermont. That is the last I saw, who know if it has changed.

And I am not counting superdelegates until convention. That's when they cast their votes.

thesquanderer

(11,982 posts)
92. I'm not sure what various media was reporting...
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 01:13 AM
Mar 2016

...but the link I posted showed that there were issues about them even about as early in the process as we are today.

dchill

(38,462 posts)
94. Well, there were more candidates to split...
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 01:16 AM
Mar 2016

them between, so it wouldn't have been such a seemingly deciding factor.

 

John Poet

(2,510 posts)
115. MSNBC did the same thing, adding unpledged superdelegates
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 02:06 AM
Mar 2016

who had endorsed Hillary into the delegate totals, clearly misrepresenting the delegate results of actual voting. The networks all have their favorite in this.




JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
50. Actually, not at all.
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:34 AM
Mar 2016

California has 546 votes or delegates and will go big-time for Bernie.

I'm out campaigning on the street here and people really like Bernie. I've campaigned in a lot of elections, and I have never seen anything like the enthusiasm for Bernie in California. It is incredible.

 

Herman4747

(1,825 posts)
61. To be sure, I hope what you suspect is true...
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:43 AM
Mar 2016

...however, it should be noted that California went for Hillary in 2008.

gwheezie

(3,580 posts)
116. The economy had fallen apart
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 02:08 AM
Mar 2016

The economy is pretty strong right now when you compare it to the rest of the world.

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
120. The economy had fallen apart but the media and the public did not realize it fully until
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 02:21 AM
Mar 2016

the Fall of 2008 after the primaries had been held.

The economy is stronger now than it was in 2009-2011, but it isn't good. Most of the financial gain from the wonderful technology we have goes to the top 1% of our population. Listen to Bernie!

Duckfan

(1,268 posts)
90. If You're in the Bay Area or L.A. yeah. Bernie terrority.
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 01:12 AM
Mar 2016

But the Central Valley may be a different story.

Emphasis on "maybe".

MrMickeysMom

(20,453 posts)
68. Actually, it's not... It was expected to be less...
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:54 AM
Mar 2016

I know you don't follow the threads that talk about this, so consider this a reminder that we do discuss things like this, right along with the issues.

PatrynXX

(5,668 posts)
72. less than 200 difference real devistating lol
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:55 AM
Mar 2016

alot of Bernie friendly states coming up too. ie Union territories not Confederate states

dchill

(38,462 posts)
75. I think the delegate count for Hillary is devastating to HER campaign...
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:57 AM
Mar 2016

going forward from here.

George II

(67,782 posts)
80. She's now leading by more than 200 delegates, with no Sanders "firewall" in sight.
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 01:05 AM
Mar 2016

Outside of Maine, it doesn't look like he's close to a win in the remaining 35 states. No "path to victory".

retrowire

(10,345 posts)
83. but only 24% of all delegates have been distributed thus far.
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 01:07 AM
Mar 2016

Pwease mr bigtree, expwain to us childwen how da hell dats devashtating to buhnies campaign???

keep wishing us away! lalalala

 

Maedhros

(10,007 posts)
103. If you can't see that Bernie Sanders has run an A+ campaign, you're blind.
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 01:43 AM
Mar 2016

You may not like the man, but you have to give him credit for the thousands of people he's mobilized and his nothing short of phenomenal fund raising.

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
20. You can count them when they are actually cast.
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:11 AM
Mar 2016

They have not been cast yet, and they have changed in every single primary since superdelegates were created.

yallerdawg

(16,104 posts)
22. These primaries are selecting delegates to go to the convention.
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:15 AM
Mar 2016

So you're saying we shouldn't count any votes, since none have been cast?

Or just the ones you don't want to count.

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
28. :facepalm:
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:21 AM
Mar 2016

Dear god that has to be one of the least-aware posts this primary season.

Pledged delegates are required to vote for one particular candidate. So we know which candidate they will be voting for at the convention. Because they have no choice. These primaries and caucuses are selecting pledged delegates (indirectly).

Superdelegates still have a choice until their vote is actually cast. And in every. single. primary since superdelegates were created, they have changed their votes.

For example, John Lewis said he'd vote for Clinton in 2008. He voted for Obama after Obama won his district. Superdelegates will be making the same political calculus at the convention this year.

yallerdawg

(16,104 posts)
43. Some superdelegates have changed their vote.
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:31 AM
Mar 2016

Therefore, we don't count them.

Except, everyone else counts them!

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
56. No, they are suddenly being counted this year.
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:36 AM
Mar 2016

Every previous year, the media did not include superdelegates in delegate tallies. Suddenly, they are including superdelegates. Golly, I wonder why?

You can be sure NH's superdelegates are going to feel enormous pressure to change their vote by the convention. And after tonight, so are CO, VT and MN's.

yallerdawg

(16,104 posts)
62. How many votes do you need to win the party primary?
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:45 AM
Mar 2016

2,382. A number similar to all the recent primaries!

So let's not count the total votes until we get to the convention.

That's the plan. That's the rationalization.

OK.

No matter how many votes Hillary accumulates, it won't meet your "special Hillary standard."

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
64. 80% of the unpledged delegates are still to be decided.
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:48 AM
Mar 2016

And the primary calendar is South heavy at first. Southerners are more conservative, even the Democrats. Today and next week should be the best environment for Clinton.

And she did not get a "knock-out" tonight, since Sanders won where he was expected to lose.

 

gcomeau

(5,764 posts)
40. Superdelegates. Aren't. Pledged. Until. Convention.
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:29 AM
Mar 2016

How fucking hard is that to comprehend? No matter what they say now who they are supporting is indeterminate until the convention. Period.

Did 2008 teach you nothing?

 

gcomeau

(5,764 posts)
63. Almost there...
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:47 AM
Mar 2016

It taught us superdelegates follow the *overall* primary vote.

As in, whoever wins the most pledged delegate wins. And the Superdelegates will realign their support *however is necessary* to confirm that outcome.

So talking about any candidate having any superdelegate locked up when the primary isn't even half over is monumentally stupid. Because they don't.



(And of course he didn't steal it, wtf are you talking about?)

Gregorian

(23,867 posts)
9. Plus some of the states Hillary won are going to a republican in the general election.
Tue Mar 1, 2016, 11:57 PM
Mar 2016

That doesn't bode well for her, or I should say us. But that hasn't happened yet.

rpannier

(24,329 posts)
41. Kind of my feeling on the whole thing
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:31 AM
Mar 2016

Winning SC, Oklahoma, Texas and others, while important in the primary, will mean very little in the GE
And no, I do not believe that having Castro as veep will make Texas competitive or force the Republicans to spend more money there
We've been hearing that about Governor's races and other races in Texas for the last 10 years or so and it never happens

Clinton or Sanders same electoral result

South Carolina, Georgia gonna go Republican by 6+ (likely more)

hedda_foil

(16,371 posts)
60. Not just some of the state's. Except for her MA squeaker, all her wins are in red states.
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:39 AM
Mar 2016

Basically, she's sweeping the Confederacy. That's because the Democrats in those states are predominantly majority AA and they have been overwhelmingly loyal to Secretary Clinton. Unfortunately, the states themselves are overwhelmingly Republican.

 

HooptieWagon

(17,064 posts)
10. It looks like he may take Democrats abroad (votes coming in another week).
Tue Mar 1, 2016, 11:58 PM
Mar 2016

I think Clinton took American Samoa caucus.

rpannier

(24,329 posts)
44. Samoa went Clinton
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:32 AM
Mar 2016

Dems Abroad will likely go Sanders
Would be a minor miracle if he didn't win Democrats Abroad

kristopher

(29,798 posts)
77. Speaking of Samoa...
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 01:00 AM
Mar 2016

Polynesian-Caucasian, Tulsi was born in 1981 in Leloaloa, American Samoa, the fourth of five children born to Carol and State Senator Mike Gabbard. When Tulsi was two, the family moved to Hawaiʻi, where they first settled in Wahiawa on Royal Palm Drive, where Tulsi’s sister, Vrindavan, the family’s youngest, was born...
https://www.votetulsi.com/tulsi-gabbard

Optimism

(142 posts)
125. Tulsi is quite well spoken ...
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 03:48 AM
Mar 2016

... and very telegenic. A very positive face for the Sanders campaign, and she was extremely eloquent tonight when speaking of the need for a President that does NOT believe in 'regime change' and the carnage that always ensues. Not just in Iraq and Libya, but also looking forward in Syria. She's seen what war has done to her brothers and sisters in arms (two deployments, I believe) and she does NOT want Hillary to be the nominee. She's the most calm and measured in Bernie's camp, and looks to be becoming the go-to spokesperson for these talking heads shows.

Hell, I know it's still early in the game, but if Bernie were to somehow (SOONER rather than later) announce her as his preferred Veep choice (assuming Warren declines) ... it could well take the wind out of Hillary's sails at this crucial time. The more women to choose from on national tickets, the better. Especially when crucial matters of war and peace are on the line. Plus hey ... another mixed-race leader from Hawaii ... what's not to love?! Maybe just that alone would be reason enough for the hoped for Obama endorsement!

 

99th_Monkey

(19,326 posts)
16. Things are looking UP for Bernie from here on in.
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:07 AM
Mar 2016

Hillarians and TV pundits were peddling the bullshit that "Bernie will only
win VT, and that's about it"

Bernie is winning at least 4, maybe 5, out of 11.

Not bad for someone polling at 3% nationally just 9 months ago,
no matter how you want to parse it.

rpannier

(24,329 posts)
47. Stay in. Stay fighting
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:33 AM
Mar 2016

Get that 25+% of the delegates and make some noise on the platform committee

TheFarseer

(9,319 posts)
15. If it would have been the Big Sky primary
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:05 AM
Mar 2016

instead of the SEC primary, the results would be as lopsided for Bernie. Too bad they'll call Minnesota and Colorado after most people go to bed. Have to be honest, I'm disappointed if Mass holds up for Clinton.

GoneFishin

(5,217 posts)
36. Sorry about this. Some people don't like to consider this
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:28 AM
Mar 2016

but I have been watching the Mass returns since both Bernie and Hillary were near 100,000 votes each, but with Hillary ahead by about 22,000. Now, both are in the 500,000 range and the gap is about the same. I watched each time the returns came in, and the gap between them didn't vary much the entire time. What are the odds that Hillary's 22,000 vote lead would be compressed into the very first 20% reported, but for the next 80% that reported Bernie and Hillary would have almost the exact equal count of votes? It seems unnatural.

thesquanderer

(11,982 posts)
95. It also depends on which regions are reporting
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 01:16 AM
Mar 2016

I don't know what this will look like by the time you see it, but...

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2016/primaries/2016-03-01#MA-Dem

a lot of the unreported regions are (based on surrounding precincts) likely to go for Bernie. But they are calling it for Hillary, so I guess the population of the unreported areas is smaller.

karynnj

(59,500 posts)
19. Not to mention, there are a lot of states similar to Colorado that have yet to have their contests
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:11 AM
Mar 2016

while the south where Hillary has won the bulk of her delegates.

karynnj

(59,500 posts)
24. My Washington state daughter says the same of her state
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:16 AM
Mar 2016

It is ridiculous how distorted the emphasis on the southern states - which we never win in the general election - is. So many of these were frontloaded. Bernie today noted that 15 states were done -- 35 are left.

I think HRC is the more likely nominee, but it is still possible that she could lose.

 

KamaAina

(78,249 posts)
29. That's the whole purpose behind Super Tuesday
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:21 AM
Mar 2016

to give the most conservative states (okay, not Mass. ) an outsized voice in the process, so that insurgents like Bernie can't build on wins in Iowa and/or NH.

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
42. Hillary is not doing well in the Northern states that actually vote Democratic in presidential
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:31 AM
Mar 2016

elections.

Here is a map of how states vote in presidential elections.

http://www.270towin.com/historical-presidential-elections/

 

Old Codger

(4,205 posts)
118. It will be nice
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 02:12 AM
Mar 2016

To actually possibly have some impact on the primary, usually over by the time we have ours.

 

99th_Monkey

(19,326 posts)
121. Yep. I'm glad we have primaries by state
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 02:22 AM
Mar 2016

but I think there needs to be a lottery each election year to decide which states
get to go first, middle and last. That would be so much more fair for all regions.

I hate the Eastern state's always telling the Western states who's "going to win"
and/or who we "get to" vote for.

Peace Patriot

(24,010 posts)
124. That's a very good idea!
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 02:56 AM
Mar 2016

Maybe after we demote you-know-who, we can push that with the DNC, or maybe as a Democratic Party platform item. I frankly can't remember how this odd stackup of red states first happened. I think it happened over a long period of time, with states jockeying for position. I can't even think right now WHO decides the order of states. I recall a bunch of fights about it in the...90s? The state legislatures? Constitution says states have control over election rules. So it must be up to each state, in agreement with the political parties. But it could be a platform item as a policy goal in the states, to do a lottery, or some fairer system. I'm in California and I'm sick and tried of being told who our nominee is before I get to vote.

 

99th_Monkey

(19,326 posts)
128. i too vaguely recall the kerfuffle over ordering of primaries
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 02:04 PM
Mar 2016

but am fuzzy on the details. As I recall it was quite a can of worms
that calmer heads never wanted to open up again, because it became
so contentious, involving states v. federal power, etc.

Given Bernie's fiery commitment to increase voter participation,
I could see him supporting some constructive changes in this
regard when he's in the WH.

Here is a proposal by the National Association of Secretaries of State:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rotating_Regional_Primary_System

The Rotating Regional Primary System is a proposed system for reform of the United States presidential primary process, in which the country would be divided into four regions for primary elections. The plan has been promoted since 1999 by the National Association of Secretaries of State.[1]

The plan provides that the individual state primaries (or caucuses) would be grouped into 4 regions, each region voting in a different month--either March, April, May or June. Individual states in a region would vote on or soon after the first Tuesday of their month, though not necessarily on the same day. The first year, the order would be determined by lottery, and subsequently rotate for each election.

To continue traditional early primaries in Iowa and New Hampshire, they would be permitted to hold their primaries or caucus before any of the regions.


It calls for a lottery of states to determine the ordering of the states
within each region. It's apparently been 'on the table' since 1999.
fascinating stuff.

Skid Rogue

(711 posts)
25. Great Job, Bernie!!!!
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:18 AM
Mar 2016

He honestly did better than I thought he would. I'm happy for you guys and I'm glad he's in the race. Great Job!!!!!!

 

99th_Monkey

(19,326 posts)
37. i think all states in Dem Primary are proportional ..
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:28 AM
Mar 2016

don't recall where I heard that, so can't verify.

Anyone else know for sure?

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
34. Bernie did extremely well. Did anyone think he would win one of the Southern states?
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:25 AM
Mar 2016

Virginia was a possibility but lots of people working for the current administration work there.

Bernie won the majority of Northern states plus Oklahoma and Looks like maybe Colorado also. Great work.

Minnesota is not completely in yet is it? I counted that for Bernie based on the results I have seen.

EndElectoral

(4,213 posts)
45. Was surprised he won OK so easily, but dissapointed he lost by about 2.5% in MA.
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:33 AM
Mar 2016

But now the race starts. There is Florida he'll most likely lose, but then a lot more northern and western states.

The Massachusetts loss stings a bit, but the vote is proportioned so there's very little difference in delegate apportionment there. I thought Massachusetts voters were a bit more progressive, but they chose the conservative hawk tonight. So be it. On to the next group. Glad we're through most of the confederacy.

 

Codeine

(25,586 posts)
85. When I was a kid in OK half my relatives insisted it wasn't a Southern state
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 01:08 AM
Mar 2016

but rather Midwestern. The other half haughtily proclaimed themselves proud Southerners.

I just thought it was a swampy dump with too many water moccasins and snapping turtles trying to get at my little ankles.

madokie

(51,076 posts)
126. I used to think we were mid western
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 04:07 AM
Mar 2016

then I joined the navy and man o man did I ever talk like the southerners so my impression of the state from then going forward was we are southern.

Beacool

(30,247 posts)
39. Sanders should stay until he wishes to stay.
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:28 AM
Mar 2016

Although, he'll be far behind in pledged delegates when all is said and done.

Beacool

(30,247 posts)
114. How so?
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 02:06 AM
Mar 2016

She's polling ahead in all March 15 states and predicted to win them by the 538: FL, IL, NC and OH. She's also ahead in MI. There are a lot of delegates in those states. She'll win NY, is polling well in PA (which she won in 2008 by almost 10%) and will probably do well in MD too.

George II

(67,782 posts)
78. Four, and one has to win more than one-third of the states, and some BIG states, to win....
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 01:03 AM
Mar 2016

...the nomination.

Peace Patriot

(24,010 posts)
87. Totally agree! Great showing for an insurgent candidate...
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 01:09 AM
Mar 2016

...and, by God, done with no corporate/bankster money, & no superpacs--a virtually unknown US senator (black-holed by the corpo-fascist media, who are still trying their best to bury him), with only 3% support 9 months ago!

Now he's beating Trump by 12 pts in national polls. Clinton does only half as well and she loses to Cruz & Rubio. Sanders beats them all!

He could win this nomination if more of the superdelegates decide to go with the best candidate! That CAN happen now. I was a bit worried about all those wrong polls and the "narrative" spun around them. I think I'll stop worrying about David Brock's "narratives."

for Bernie Sanders and for all of us, and especially for Sanders volunteers in ALL of today's states!

KauaiK

(544 posts)
91. I don't buy into it for goddamn one minute..
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 01:12 AM
Mar 2016

If she didn't have Wassermann-Schultz to rig the system in her favor it would be a whole different story. I hope Wassermann-Schultz will see the same fate as Lee Atwater.

Go Bernie and go get 'em Tulsi Gabbard!

98. Sanders did better in blue states. Clinton did better in red (read: conservative) states.
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 01:19 AM
Mar 2016

Things that make you go 'hmmm.'

Clinton squeaked one out in Massachusetts and took the recently purple-ish Virginia.

Sanders took the purpe-ish Colorado, along with the Minnesota and of course his home state of Vermont.

Curiously, Clinton took all of the red states except for Oklahoma. I'm pretty sure Clinton isn't going to be swinging any of those red states around come Nov. 2016.

You'd think Clinton as a moderate would appeal to independents, but looking at the numbers they don't trust her and would probably only vote for her to avoid a Trump presidency. That's not a good reason to nominate her though. Nominate someone who inspires! Nominate someone who gives a damn about someone other than themselves.

 

99th_Monkey

(19,326 posts)
105. Geez, I totally forgot about AK
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 01:44 AM
Mar 2016

seems like the M$M did too.

Hey where are you seeing the results??

Seems the NYTimes forgot about AK too, as it's not on their website of primaries.
http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
107. It is only the R side of the house
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 01:47 AM
Mar 2016

Guardian clarified that oopsie moment for me

I hate it when states do that.

And the NYT forgot it as well, for the dems, It is for the Rs

still_one

(92,110 posts)
104. You are right, it is a good showing. Congratulations to Sanders and his supporters for
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 01:43 AM
Mar 2016

CO, Minnesota, and Oklahoma. Those are good solid states from different regions of the country. This will continue, no one is going away

 

99th_Monkey

(19,326 posts)
106. Thank you for your civil and respectful congrats
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 01:46 AM
Mar 2016

same to you guy on your wins tonight... gotcha lotsa delegates. well done.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
113. I am not surprised this remained competitive
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 01:59 AM
Mar 2016

and I said as much yesterday.

And personally I am happy as punch. I like competitive primaries.

 

Marr

(20,317 posts)
117. I only *hoped* he might get 3, so yes-- great showing.
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 02:10 AM
Mar 2016

Super Tuesday was always Hillary's advantage. Sanders is doing surprisingly well here. Should be interesting as this thing goes forward.

 

99th_Monkey

(19,326 posts)
119. Yes, maybe they'll buy their own spin. .. would be nice.
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 02:16 AM
Mar 2016

oh.. speaking of champaign ... just for tonight .. maybe we Bernistas
deserve a glass or two. It was an awesome night, here's to many more
wins down the road.

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»Looks like Bernie's winni...