2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumredstateblues
(10,565 posts)itsrobert
(14,157 posts)n/t
Lizzie Poppet
(10,164 posts)I was hoping he might win, too...but even if he doesn't (called for Hillary, but with over 15% uncounted as I type this), his delegate tally there will be good.
litlbilly
(2,227 posts)Cali_Democrat
(30,439 posts)That would be a strange prediction considering Hillary had almost no chance in Vermont.
Stallion
(6,473 posts)nm
MADem
(135,425 posts)Codeine
(25,586 posts)I'm sure some dumbass newb posted that in some group or other, but nobody with an ounce of sense thought Clinton would sweep it. She outperformed like a fucking BOSS in the South, though.
mythology
(9,527 posts)SheenaR
(2,052 posts)On all of the betting sites. Not unexpected.
Every poll had her up for a week also
jillan
(39,451 posts)Beacool
(30,244 posts)He'll get a number of delegates out f it.
Codeine
(25,586 posts)Bernie needed some delegate advantage there, too.
Beacool
(30,244 posts)Has he been correct about every other race for both parties?
morningfog
(18,115 posts)MADem
(135,425 posts)jeff47
(26,549 posts)MADem
(135,425 posts)I'll be quite blunt--if I had to choose, for Clinton, a choice of OK or MA, I'd take MA any day of the week.
But truly at the end of the day this is more about bragging rights. The delegate count isn't a huge swing in either contest.
This was a very good night for Clinton. She must be very pleased.
morningfog
(18,115 posts)MADem
(135,425 posts)I was very focused on MA. Surprised and pleased at the outcome--this was a very good win tonight here in the Commonwealth. The point spread in Boston was a big flapping deal, too. She crushed it, despite incessant ads that ran constantly (the "Look for America" one came on every half hour it seemed).
This was ground game that pulled it out for her--tight, textbook, ground game and superb organization.
morningfog
(18,115 posts)I had watched it narrow and felt like it would go to Hillary today. I got several mailers from Hillary but with no tv didn't see the ads play.
Liberal_Stalwart71
(20,450 posts)despicable.
But that's o.k. Those people will get a big serving of REALITY tonight.
Recursion
(56,582 posts)I was expecting Sanders to outperform that.
MADem
(135,425 posts)Lots of GOTV voter contact, verification of polling places (which changed in many places), rides to the polls, etc.
jeff47
(26,549 posts)Cali_Democrat
(30,439 posts)Not all that bad for Nate though!
Basically a 50/50 split.
jeff47
(26,549 posts)That's a miss for Silver.
Cali_Democrat
(30,439 posts)It only assigns a percentage chance to win.
Not familiar with his work, eh?
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-we-are-forecasting-the-2016-presidential-primary-election/
jeff47
(26,549 posts)I'm also aware that a 10-point-win is outside his MOE.
Cali_Democrat
(30,439 posts)Response to Cali_Democrat (Original post)
JaneyVee This message was self-deleted by its author.
Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin
(107,063 posts)Cheese Sandwich
(9,086 posts)MADem
(135,425 posts)You don't win the state without those two.
Sanders had a good deal of support in the Western part of the state--unfortunately, that's not a population center so even though you get a lot of "map color" for those kinds of wins, you don't get as many votes.