2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumBernie carried one demographic last night: white men.
Demographic percentages across the 11 state results:
Black voters: Clinton 83%, Sanders 15%
Hispanics: Clinton 67%, Sanders 33%
White voters: Clinton 50%, Sanders 48%
White women: Clinton 57%, Sanders 41%
White men: Sanders 54%, Clinton 44%.
Interesting that Clinton is capturing the women vote after a rough start (the 'special place in hell' fiasco in NH).
Bernie has to widen his appeal for a political revolution to occur.
GreatGazoo
(3,937 posts)Sanders does better as people learn more about him and what he is proposing. He has great ads but has been unable to court the MSM in any effective way.
kstewart33
(6,551 posts)It is a fact. It may be uncomfortable and condescending but demographics significantly influence how campaigns are run. And Bernie's campaign is no exception.
Obama won because of demographics. GWB's win was substantially influenced by demographics. And the core of Clinton's advantage now is demographics.
GreatGazoo
(3,937 posts)People in media are obsessed with demographics because that is the world they live in but they are forcing individual people into convenient little boxes. It is not as if people say 'oh I am a member of group X therefore I will vote for candidate Y.' Demographics are static, people and information are dynamic.
Demographics can be used to target different groups with different messages, as we saw last week. But mostly demographics are used by lazy journalists who don't want to talk about the ways in which issues and proposals cut the electorate into distinct segments. For example people who are approaching retirement age now, of any race, creed, etc, are more likely to be moved by messages about saving Social Security. Inversely, people without children or without student debt are unlikely to pay much attention to messages about reducing the cost of higher education.
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kstewart33
(6,551 posts)But the young aren't turning out in large enough numbers. Probably won't this month because of bad timing for Bernie: spring break at hundreds of universities.
Welcome to DU!
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LexVegas
(6,031 posts)Freddie Stubbs
(29,853 posts)JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)Orsino
(37,428 posts)She had a shot at 100% of these demographics before Sanders showed up.
These numbers look much like the result of normal MSM penetration.
BreakfastClub
(765 posts)say they wouldn't vote for a woman for POTUS under any circumstance. There you go. So why does Hillary get more of the woman vote? It's not because women are choosing Hillary b/c she is a woman, it's because there are men who won't vote for a woman.