2016 Postmortem

LS_Editor

(893 posts) Mon Mar 7, 2016, 08:13 PM Mar 2016

Sanders within margin of error in Michigan

My state doesn't vote until the end of April. This race is not even close to over. #feelthebern

Trump leads GOP field in Michigan; Democratic race close

In the Democratic race, Clinton leads Sanders 51.9 percent to 46.9 percent, which is well within the margin of error. On the GOP side, Trump leads with 36.1 percent, followed by Ted Cruz at 19.5 percent, Marco Rubio at 18.1 percent and John Kasich at 8.9 percent.

9 replies

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Sanders within margin of error in Michigan (Original Post) LS_Editor Mar 2016 OP

Plus Michigan is an open primary. Qutzupalotl Mar 2016 #1

Excellent NowSam Mar 2016 #2

Bill is charging his bullhorn batteries as we speak Red Oak Mar 2016 #4

Lol NWCorona Mar 2016 #6

Does anyone bother to look at those numbers SheilaT Mar 2016 #3

It could also be 58% to 40% Cheese Sandwich Mar 2016 #5

Or 46% Clinton to 53% Sanders. Math is fun. LS_Editor Mar 2016 #7

I think if Sanders ties (+/- 2%) or wins Michigan, we have a new ballgame. tabasco Mar 2016 #8

I am trying really hard to be optimistic. Kalidurga Mar 2016 #9

Qutzupalotl

(14,302 posts)

1. Plus Michigan is an open primary.

Reply to LS_Editor (Original post)

Mon Mar 7, 2016, 08:17 PM

Mar 2016

Where do you think the crossover votes will go?

NowSam

(1,252 posts)

2. Excellent

Reply to Qutzupalotl (Reply #1)

Mon Mar 7, 2016, 08:19 PM

Mar 2016

I think he has a very good chance there even if Mr. Bullhorn Bill tries to muscle in and slow down/suppress votes.

Red Oak

(697 posts)

4. Bill is charging his bullhorn batteries as we speak

Reply to NowSam (Reply #2)

Mon Mar 7, 2016, 08:52 PM

Mar 2016

Last edited Mon Mar 7, 2016, 09:54 PM - Edit history (1)

We should put together an office pool on the dirty tricks that will be played tomorrow.

See who gets it right.

NWCorona

(8,541 posts)

6. Lol

Reply to Red Oak (Reply #4)

Mon Mar 7, 2016, 08:58 PM

Mar 2016

SheilaT

(23,156 posts)

3. Does anyone bother to look at those numbers

Reply to Qutzupalotl (Reply #1)

Mon Mar 7, 2016, 08:45 PM

Mar 2016

after a primary? Or caucus that's open?

Cheese Sandwich

(9,086 posts)

5. It could also be 58% to 40%

Reply to LS_Editor (Original post)

Mon Mar 7, 2016, 08:56 PM

Mar 2016

If the margin of error is 6%

LS_Editor

(893 posts)

7. Or 46% Clinton to 53% Sanders. Math is fun.

Reply to Cheese Sandwich (Reply #5)

Mon Mar 7, 2016, 09:55 PM

Mar 2016

And funny you didn't present that possibility with your expertise in margins of error. Also, must have been a mistake you rounded up for Clinton's number (51.9 to 52) and went from that, and rounded down Sanders' number despite it being 46.9 (you made it 46).

Remind me never to ask you to officiate anything.

tabasco

(22,974 posts)

8. I think if Sanders ties (+/- 2%) or wins Michigan, we have a new ballgame.

Reply to LS_Editor (Original post)

Mon Mar 7, 2016, 10:03 PM

Mar 2016

It will show he can close a gap with good campaigning and help him in future contests.

Kalidurga

(14,177 posts)

9. I am trying really hard to be optimistic.

Reply to LS_Editor (Original post)

Mon Mar 7, 2016, 10:18 PM

Mar 2016

But, Michigan is my home state. I still have a large number of relatives there probably hundreds I really can't count them all. I couldn't even manage to talk to them all when we had the big reunion we took up the whole park. Anyway not the brightest tools in the shed or the sharpest bulbs in the pack or something like that.

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