2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumLooking ahead at the March 15 elections.
Based on polling, the only state that isn't clearly leaning strongly toward Hillary is Missouri. There is no really good polling available for MO, so it's more difficult to predict the outcome there.
However, I will go out on a limb and predict that MO goes for Hillary by a few percentage points. If that's the case, it is very likely that Clinton will sweep all five states and rake in a solid majority of the pledged delegates that will be allocated based on those elections.
Those five states represent a large bloc of 691 delegates. A sweep by a substantial margin would be a big plus for Clinton.
frazzled
(18,402 posts)Note: not to nitpick, but these are not "elections." They are party primaries. Nobody is getting elected to any office, at any levelfrom judges and Water Reclamation District members to state Representatives and presidential candidateson the basis of these primaries and caucuses. They are to choose the nominees to run for election in the fall.
At any rate, I participated in "early voting" for the first time. I generally love going to the polls, in person, on the actual day. But I won't be in town on primary day (my daughter just had a baby!). So we marched off, at our convenience, to an early voting site this Saturday and cast our votes for a slew of primary races. It felt anticlimactic to do this on a regular day, without going home to watch the returns that night! But I'm sure glad it was available.
MineralMan
(146,287 posts)in a roundabout way in most states. But that's a rhetorical thing really. I'm glad you've voted already. I try to make it to the polling place, mainly so I can see my neighbors who are also voting. The only time I've ever voted otherwise was when I was in the USAF and had to use an absentee ballot.
I like the suspense of voting on election day and watching the returns. Silly, but fun.
frazzled
(18,402 posts)here in Illinois. We had to mark off boxes for "no more than nine" delegates. But it's still sort of roundabout: only the delegates of the person who is chosen in the state to become the nominee will go to the convention. It's still not an election to office. (It's possible, if you're kind of stupid, to vote for one candidate while choosing another's delegates.) But I digress. I only stick on this point because I believe too many people do not understand the difference between a primary and a general election. I also think too many people think primaries are only about presidential candidates. There are a slew of important contested races for a number of offices in my state, and I take them just as seriously as the presidential contest.
bigwillq
(72,790 posts)She is well on her way to the nomination.
MineralMan
(146,287 posts)Maybe the media will pay for a new poll soon. I'd like a better idea than a poll from August, really.
JRLeft
(7,010 posts)More war, deregulation, and free trade.
bigwillq
(72,790 posts)For the country at the moment but a large portion of primary voters disagree with me. But, I support democracy.
JRLeft
(7,010 posts)whooped their ass enough. After the TPP annihilates American jobs, you will see democrats on this board placing the blame squarely on republicans. LMFAO! Bookmark this thread.It's coming.