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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumMichigan numbers: When it's this close....
How many delegates go to the winner since it's proportional? I'm not giant wonks like some of you here so please help me out.
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Michigan numbers: When it's this close.... (Original Post)
PyaarRevolution
Mar 2016
OP
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)1. This is pretty close to 50/50 split.
Sanders +4 is my guess.
onehandle
(51,122 posts)2. Even if Hillary got 0%, she would be winning the nomination by a mile. nt
Massacure
(7,498 posts)3. The Green Papers has a pretty good explanation of how delegate math works:
thesquanderer
(11,955 posts)4. If they each win about 50% (half) of the vote...
...they should each get about 50% of the delegates. Don't let "proportional" be a scary word. Michigan has 130 delegates, so with each getting about half, it should end up being in the neighborhood of 65 for each of them
For Bernie to win, he's going to have to start doing more than tie, he has to have some decisive wins to make up for being as far behind as he is. But there's still time, and I don't want to take anything away from what looks like a great come-from-behind showing.
PyaarRevolution
(814 posts)5. Thanks.
Mississippi is over 15% too which I hoped so at least that won't be a shutout on delegates.