Pledged Delegate Count: H-1161, B-837 (20 from IL remain pending) Bernie needs 57.9%, H-42.1%
Pledged Delegate Count: H-1161, B-837 (20 from IL remain pending) Bernie needs 57.9%, H-42.1% of the remaining 2,053 pledged delegates to win.
The numbers are damn tough. For illustrative purposes only, let's assume Bernie takes 65% of the delegates from every contest except those that will likely be his toughest states to win (NY, MD, PA, CA, and NJ) and an even split in those five states. Even under this unlikely scenario, which gives him 65% in places like P.R., KY, D.C., etc., and 50% in NY, MD, PA, CA and NJ, he would fall 27 pledged delegates short of the 2,026 pledged delegate majority.
Hillary is likely to reach 2,026 pledged delegate majority prior to the end of the voting process. Depending on how she well she does, it will most likely occur on June 7.
As long as Bernie is in, Hillary will not likely reach 2,383 (total delegate majority) through pledged delegates alone unless she receives 59.5% of the total remaining pledged delegates. This would be her best case scenario. It is, therefore, possible for her to go into the convention having secured the nomination without reliance on the super delegates. It would, however, require almost running the board.