Tonight puts us across the half-way point (delegate-wise) for the primaries

[Recursion]

Should be an interesting second half going forward, particularly since the South is now completely played out.

[DemocracyDirect]

1. Feels good!

[RobertEarl]

2. Half way

In the first half Hill won x numbers of delegates

In the second half Bernie can win x+1 delegates.

The race is not over.

[Electric Monk]

3. DWS gave it her best shot, to encourage the "drop out now, before it's over" meme. nt

[Recursion]

4. And in practice the front-loaded southern schedule has always been enough before

This is kind of new ground.

[Cali_Democrat]

6. In 2008 Obama won most of the Southern states and it was much closer back then

His lead was about 90 delegates around this time.

Hillary has about a 300 pledged delegate lead.

[Recursion]

7. Yep, but he had the polls lead going west that Sanders does

Like I said, new ground.

If I were a betting man, I'd bet Clinton. But if I were a hedging man, I'd hedge.

[Cali_Democrat]

8. Obama's largest lead was only 115 delegates according to WAPO

So he never actually broke out against her.

But the lead still proved to be insurmountable because of proportional allocation.

[Recursion]

9. Yep. Like I said, Clinton is the strong favorite

This is why I don't understand the Sanders's side's rant against the concept of super-delegates: that's his only realistic path to the nomination. (I'm a lukewarm Sanders supporter who would prefer the majority of pledged delegates be respected if that goes Clinton's way, as it looks like, but if people really think Sanders is "America's last hope" or whatever they should be lobbying super's left and right to save the country.)

(I still think we lost our best shot when O'Malley dropped out...)

[kristopher]

14. I understand your reasoning.

My version has this integrated in at a high level of consciousness.

https://scholar.princeton.edu/sites/default/files/mgilens/files/gilens_and_page_2014_-testing_theories_of_american_politics.doc.pdf

And this.
The Economist Intelligence Unit’s Democracy Index 2015: Democracy in an age of anxiety
http://64.37.52.189/~parsifal/EIU2015.pdf

I'm sure you're aware of that information, but in your hierarchy of values it is placed in a different tier than I think is normal for strong Bernie supporters - which is most of us. Although I can understand maintaining emotional distance.

eta: As a result of your reminder I came across this just after posting. Thought it seemed related.

[Cali_Democrat]

5. DWS said she wanted Bernie to drop out?

Link?

[Recursion]

10. Obviously she hasn't said that, and probably doesn't think it

Every single primary face-to-face or knock-and-drag is a notch on the bedpost for the General, so as far as that goes I'd like to see this primary contested until DC as long as we can turn the acrimony down a notch.

[JimDandy]

11. Tonight started the erosion into Hillary's delegate lead. Tonight was Bernie's night!

Sanders 73 Delegates

Clinton 57 Delegates

(approx. - will undoubtedly change a bit)

Keep it up Bernie! My state, WA, is going to whack that lead a lot more this Saturday!! Going to be a really bad week for Hillary.

[Recursion]

13. WA is going to be an absolute massacre

So is AK. HI is completely opaque to me, but if it's also a massacre then Clinton's lead will still be there but not remotely as big as it is now.

[kristopher]

12. Thanks for noting the milestone. nt