2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumBernie Sanders Now needs landslides to gain ground on Hillary Clinton
The trio of elections Tuesday demonstrated just how difficult it is for Bernie Sanders to wrest the Democratic nomination from front-runner Hillary Clinton.
Looked at in isolation, Mr. Sanders had a good night. He won two states; she carried one. But in the end, Mr. Sanders came away with six more pledged delegates on the night than his rival.
That is not enough to significantly dent Mrs. Clintons lead and reach a goal the Sanders campaign has set for itself: persuading superdelegates that he is surging and they should abandon Mrs. Clinton.
Mr. Sanders could score several victories in Western states and beyond. But because delegates are awarded proportionately, narrowing Mrs. Clintons delegate lead will require him to notch landslidesnot merely winsto garner big shares of available delegates.
An examination of the 25 contests stretching from now until mid-June shows opportunities for Mrs. Clinton to hold her lead or even build on it. As a presidential candidate in 2008, she faced then-Sen. Barack Obama in each of those states. She won 11 contests; Mr. Obama won 14.
But her 11 victories came in states and one territory, Puerto Rico, that in the 2016 primaries account for a whopping 1,342 delegates. By contrast, the 14 contests she lost in her last campaign offer only 547 delegates this year.
http://www.wsj.com/articles/bernie-sanders-now-needs-landslides-to-gain-ground-on-hillary-clinton-1458750919
And some upcoming states which have primaries that favored Barack Obama in 2008 such as Kentucky, Maryland and DC are probably solid for HRC.
Gomez163
(2,039 posts)Tarc
(10,476 posts)SFnomad
(3,473 posts)Until Clinton gets across the finish line, Sanders can "technically" still win. But in reality, it's not going to happen. Clinton was faced with this same, but opposite, situation back in 2008.
Maedhros
(10,007 posts)No reason to support Hillary, though.
Every reason to work harder to help Bernie defeat her.
ViseGrip
(3,133 posts)tk2kewl
(18,133 posts)virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)I am looking forward to their attempts to dismiss the results from this coming weekend.
Yuugal
(2,281 posts)Yeah, about that...... The NYTimes has Bernie with 73 and Hillary with 55. So yes, I'm not surprised a corporate rag said the total diff was only 6.