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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumClinton win predicted in Hawaii (not based on polling)
"[Gabbard] is very popular out here, but she's certainly not beloved in a way that [Paia, Maui-born former Congresswoman] Patsy Mink was," Pignataro said. "Sanders is using her in commercials, and if [he] gets the nomination she's certainly on the short list for VP. But Gabbard represents all of Hawaii outside of Honolulu, while most of the voters are in Honolulu, so in practical terms her influence may be small."
That means 2016 could be a slightly different animal than 2008, when Hawaii-born Barack Obama was on the roster against Clinton and his Aloha State ties likely helped him there. He said the caucus he went to at Maui's Baldwin High School was a "circus," but the 2016 excitement on Maui has been thus far limited to Jane Sanders' appearance, a Clinton field office in Wailuku and a sign-waving for Clinton that took place Thursday.
He said there have been a handful of campaign events two islands to the west, on Oahu.
As is the case with many states, Clinton's supporters come from Hawaii's Democratic establishment: Governor David Ige and former Governors Cayetano, Ariyoshi and Waihee, Senators Brian Schatz and Mazie Hirono and Honolulu Rep. Mark Takai.
"Every other day it seems I get an email from the Clinton camp listing huge numbers of prominent Asian-Americans, women, native Hawaiians, etc. out here who are backing Clinton. A few unions out here are backing her, too," he said.
http://cltampa.com/politicalanimal/archives/2016/03/24/a-different-bird-saturdays-hawaii-democratic-caucus-might-not-turn-out-the-way-you-expect#.VvW67Xrl7O8
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Clinton win predicted in Hawaii (not based on polling) (Original Post)
Skwmom
Mar 2016
OP
PredictWise and BornToRunTheNumbers both like Sanders' chances in Hawaii, Alaska & Washington
Attorney in Texas
Mar 2016
#1
Attorney in Texas
(3,373 posts)1. PredictWise and BornToRunTheNumbers both like Sanders' chances in Hawaii, Alaska & Washington
http://predictwise.com/politics/2016-president-primaries#March26DEM
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2016/03/march-26-predictions-bernie-will-sweep.html
I guess we'll see who's right soon enough.
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2016/03/march-26-predictions-bernie-will-sweep.html
I guess we'll see who's right soon enough.
jillan
(39,451 posts)2. I have 2 words for you. Tulsi. Gabbard.
Cali_Democrat
(30,439 posts)4. I have one word for you: Islamophobia
msongs
(67,395 posts)7. yu can have her nt
Else You Are Mad
(3,040 posts)3. If you read the article..
It becomes obvious that this post is misleading, the article only states that Anthony Pignataro a newspaper editor & Colin Moore, a political science professor, believe that Clinton will win. This isn't based upon any real polls, just the opinions of two people.
Skwmom
(12,685 posts)6. I'll edit.
Gwhittey
(1,377 posts)5. You trying to get a Secretary of H2O Transportation
Skwmom
(12,685 posts)8. I'm sick of the stupid games that are played.
Lucinda
(31,170 posts)9. Interesting! I guess we will know soon enough
Thanks for the link!