Predictwise now gives Bernie 9% chance of winning the nomination (up from 5%)

[thesquanderer]

Of course it's still a long shot, but that's a really nice jump from just a couple of days ago.

Not that I expect this to silence those calling for him to drop out, but really, with a small-but-not-insignificant 9% chance of victory, why would anyone want to drop out unless they simply ran out of money? And at this point, he's not running out of money.

[Kalidurga]

1. Every time you flip a coin the chances it will come up one side or the other is 50%

Predictions don't often match reality otherwise everyone at the race track would be rich.

[Thinkingabout]

2. Wow

[thesquanderer]

3. Yup. I don't think he's been this high since he won New Hampshire.

Of course he's still the underdog by a mile. But in terms of the odds of success, low as they might be, he's regained a noticeable amount of ground.

[Orsino]

4. Seems abut right, if we were talking about coin tosses.

There might be a trend in his or her favor at any time. I dunno.

[FlatBaroque]

5. Typo. Actually it's 99%. :)

[thesquanderer]

6. Well that may be a bit of wishful thinking. ;-)

But even 9% is better than a lot of people have given him credit for, and it's definitely far from impossible.

If there's a 9% chance of rain, while odds may be against it, you still shouldn't be shocked if you get wet.