How can NY not vote for this guy?

[kcjohn1]

Embodiment of a New Yorker lol. Sorry I know it's old but I get crack out of it ever time I see it.

[hrmjustin]

1. No thanks. This is Clinton country.

[choie]

2. Sorry, but You don't speak for NY

n/t

[hrmjustin]

3. Neither do you. But all the polls and just living here tells me who is going to win.

She will win NYC and the surrounding suburbs big.

[Wilms]

4. It's where the 5% live.

She's got that going for her.

[hrmjustin]

6. Feel better?

[Wilms]

9. What?

Aren't there piles of the richest people in the country living there? And don't many polls show that she's got a lock on the 5% vote?

[hrmjustin]

11. First I thought you lived here and second if you did you would know why that doesn't matter.

Most of the upper crust here are not registered Democrats.

[Wilms]

17. Wall Street has PLENTY of so-called "Democrats".

Don't even.

[hrmjustin]

21. Yes some but the rich only make up a small part of this state.

We are middle income and poor people for the most part.

[Wilms]

28. Understood.

What strikes me is Teachout's performance in the state against Cuomo in the primary. What did that say??

[hrmjustin]

29. I voted for Teachout and it said not everyone was sold on Cuomo.

But the turnout of that primary and that of April 19 will be different.

[brooklynite]

37. ...that 2/3 of the Democrats didn't vote for her?

You're not running to do better than expected; you're running to win.

[Wilms]

38. And Bernie has done a lot of that winning, hasn't he.

+ In a typical general election a 60-33 win would pretty good. But for a sitting governor in a party primary it's bad by the standard of recent history. Ahead of the primary FiveThirtyEight looked at party primary races around the nation involving incumbent governors since 2002 -- and Cuomo's percentage of the vote in this primary ranks near the bottom of this list.

It's an especially weak result for Cuomo considering two other factors: 1) Just a few months ago polls indicated very few people knew much of anything about Zephyr Teachout and 2) Cuomo had an enormous money advantage.

http://alloveralbany.com/archive/2014/09/10/clickable-county-by-county-results-for-the-cuomo-t

[brooklynite]

40. So has Clinton...

...bottom line: Zephyr Teachout started behind Cuomo...and stayed there.

nb - I'll be happy to support her in NY-19 if she can actually win the Primary; just as I'll be happy to support Sanders. In all honesty, I'd give Teachout better odds of winning in November.

[beam me up scottie]

5. Pfft. You don't speak for New York, these people know one of their own:

[hrmjustin]

7. He still won't win this borough. Sorry but a block party will not cut it.

I appreciate him trying but he will only win the northwest corner of Brooklyn.

The central, eastern, and southern ends of the boroughs will go for Hillary.

[beam me up scottie]

8. You don't speak for New York, you don't get to dismiss those supporters.

How insulting that you would even try.

[hrmjustin]

10. I am on the ground campaigning and canvassing as I do throught every year all over Brookkyn

and I can tell you where he will win and where he won't.

But hey you got picture so there is that.

[beam me up scottie]

12. Sure you are.

Bernie's a native and his supporters recognize one of their own, even if you don't.

[hrmjustin]

19. Being a native doesn't mean anything here and if you knew NY political history you would know that.

[beam me up scottie]

20. It must mean something to those folks and you don't speak for anyone but yourself.

[hrmjustin]

23. I speak from experience. No doubt you know a lot of your home region based on you political

activism.

[beam me up scottie]

24. Again that has NOTHING to do with your dismissal of Bernie supporters in NY.

Neither you nor Hillary own Brooklyn, stop acting like it.

Let people post threads about New York without you constantly trying to derail them.

This is the third thread you've tried to ruin.

[hrmjustin]

25. And who elected you hall monitor?

[beam me up scottie]

26. I'm just calling it like I see it. Other people live in New York too.

[hrmjustin]

27. Yes as do I and when NY threads come up i will be the realist and tell political reality.

[beam me up scottie]

30. Calling a state "Clinton country" isn't reality, it's entitlement.

And that's what bothers Hillary supporters: Bernie got in the way of the coronation.

She's going to have to work for those votes after all.

[hrmjustin]

32. Actually I think Sanders did Hillary a favor.

I believe what doesn't kill you makes you stronger.

[choie]

13. I live in NYC

And have seen plenty of Bernie supporters.

[hrmjustin]

15. Yes but not many. The demographics don't work for him,

He will have to do better with African American and Hispanics.

Sorry but reality is reality.

[brooklynite]

41. He'll take the hipster community in Williamsburg...and the progressive community on the UWS of Manh

He won't take the African American Communities in Harlem, or Crown Hts or Bed-Sty or East New York
He won't take the Jewish communities in South Williamsburg or Sunset Park
He won't take the Asian communities in Queens
He won't take the Russian community in Brighton Beach
He won't take the Hispanic community in Washington Hts

[DeadLetterOffice]

14. You do remember there are whole big sections of New York...

... that AREN'T NYC, right?

Upstate, Finger Lakes, Adirondacks, the North Country, Buffalo, Utica, etc. etc.
Knowing Brooklyn and knowing New York state aren't the same thing. Downstaters seem to forget that, sometimes.

[hrmjustin]

16. True but there is no evidence to suggest he will overwhelm her in those areas to overcome her

Huge advantage in the NYC region,

[DeadLetterOffice]

18. Guess we'll see come Primary Day. n/t

[hrmjustin]

22. True.

[Live Bait]

31. I already have inside information that Brooklyn is not as strong for Clinton as hrmjustin

would indicate. He's just hoping.

[beam me up scottie]

33. Good to know!!!

Look what happened to all of those who were hoping she had WA, AK and HI.

[hrmjustin]

34. Your info on Bay Ridge is wrong. Borough Park will be competitive but not a Sanders landslide.

[AtomicKitten]

35. Looks like a great party.

[brooklynite]

36. Probably for the same reason I didn't vote for Reagan...

...that fact that a guy is funny in a movie isn't something I would ever bring into consideration.

[Tarc]

39. If Sanders gets 40% in NY, he can consider that a moral victory.

[MineralMan]

42. Easy. They just vote for that woman.

They have a choice, see...