Assuming Hillary's lead remains at 270 on June 14, Bernie will need 493 superdelegates

[Renew Deal]

That's 69% of all 714 supers. He currently is losing Supers 72-6.

This all assumes Hillary's lead doesn't expand from VI, PR, NJ, NM, CA, and DC.

So how is Bernie going to flip minimum 450 super-delegates?

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/D

[DavidDvorkin]

1. With magic

There's no other answer.

[Renew Deal]

2. I see that

[Dem2]

3. Shouldn't be a problem

I'm sure the supers will note his infallibility and change their minds.

Also, I've read on DU that the other candidate, can't think of her name, is a war criminal and white collar fraudster, corporatist bankster lover and an oligarch to boot. Seems Bernie has this one sewn up.

[SFnomad]

4. Secretary Clinton will have the majority of Pledged Delegate .... BS wants to steal the nomination?

[MineralMan]

5. He's not going to.

[morningfog]

6. The only way is if the FBI recommends charges against

Hillary and/or her staff.

Or some other scandal or health issue.

Supers won't flip based on GE polling nor should they. But Bernie should stay in and play it out. The fact is, we haven't had the supers decide a nomination since the super delegate process was installed. It could be interesting. And contrary to the pissing and moaning, it doesn't hurt our eventual nominee in the fall.

[Garrett78]

9. They aren't deciding the nomination this year either.

No more than they did in 2008. Actually, they played a bigger role in 2008. If Sanders chooses to not concede, that doesn't somehow mean the superdelegates are deciding the nomination. It just means the convention meets the definition of "contested."

[morningfog]

10. That's inaccurate.

Hillary conceded in 2008 before the convention. We don't know what may have happened had she taken the case to the convention. A third of the super delegates voted for her despite the fact that she had conceded.

A contested convention means it's not over and will be decided by the super delegates during the floor vote.

[Joe the Revelator]

7. Frankly- they are Hillary's to lose.

Which given her poll numbers and her looming indictment, she seems quite capable of doing.

[KingFlorez]

8. He can't

[Doctor Jack]

11. I wish they would but they won't

People keep bringing up charges from the FBI. Sure, that would do it but I have been hearing for 6 months "charges expected soon", "charges coming, possibly next week", "keep an eye on things this wednesday, it could be huge". And yet, nothing ever happens.

I think any chance of Sanders convincing superdelegates to switch passed a long time ago. The remaining superdelegates will probably come out in favor of clinton once her current PD and SD numbers pass the magic number and any hopes Sanders had will be long gone.