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kentuck

(111,074 posts)
Sun Jun 5, 2016, 08:43 AM Jun 2016

What are the odds of Bernie winning the majority of the "super delegates"?

And is there a point where Bernie becomes unnecessarily divisive for the Democratic Party? After all, he is running as a Democrat.

If Bernie is behind in pledged delegates after all the primaries are over, does he have a chance to overtake Hillary by persuading the majority of super delegates to vote for him?

It seems to me that the odds are very slim for that to happen?

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stone space

(6,498 posts)
2. The same as his odds of winning the pledged delegate count.
Sun Jun 5, 2016, 08:52 AM
Jun 2016

After all, the supers (as a group, not individually) are going to follow the pledged delegates.





 

CrowCityDem

(2,348 posts)
3. The square root of negative one: irrational and non-existent
Sun Jun 5, 2016, 08:58 AM
Jun 2016

Yes, there is a point where he drags the party down. That clock begins on June 15th. If he drags this out after DC votes, all he's doing is making the story all about him, when even by his own words, it's supposed to be about beating Trump. Everyone is giving him until voting is done, but after that, he needs to get on board with reality.

thesquanderer

(11,982 posts)
6. Predictwise has given Sanders a 3% to 5% chance of nomination over the last 48 hours or so.
Sun Jun 5, 2016, 09:33 AM
Jun 2016

So to the extent that one can predict these things at all, I guess he has a 3 to 5 percent chance of winning the majority of super delegates (since that's pretty much the only way he gets nominated).

LiberalFighter

(50,836 posts)
8. Only if he can make the case to them.
Sun Jun 5, 2016, 09:35 AM
Jun 2016

If he has failed to make the case at this point why would they switch over to him now?

splat

(2,294 posts)
9. Superdelegates were invented to forestall the Bernies
Sun Jun 5, 2016, 09:36 AM
Jun 2016

After George McGovern took the party over the cliff and gave us Nixon, the party built in a way for those who worked for the party to have a greater say in who their nominee would be.

They will not support Bernie. Hillary has earned this nomination fair and square.

Gothmog

(145,063 posts)
11. Sanders has no chance of convincing the super delegates to flip
Sun Jun 5, 2016, 12:50 PM
Jun 2016

Sanders is a very weak general election candidate and there is no way that the super delegates will support someone who is not really a member of the party. Sanders would kill down ballot candidates and many super delegates will be on the ballot and do not want to have Sanders kill their chances

 

eastwestdem

(1,220 posts)
12. Today on "AM Joy" the pundits admitted that Sanders' objective is to break up the party.
Sun Jun 5, 2016, 12:54 PM
Jun 2016

This message needs to be spread far and wide. A broken party cannot effectively face the repubs, and clearly Sanders does not care. He is one of the biggest egomaniacs we have seen in politics in a very long time. He needs to be stopped.

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