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geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
Mon Jun 6, 2016, 08:33 PM Jun 2016

the AP is not helping Clinton by declaring her the nominee based on undisclosed superdelegates

It feeds into the inaccurate perception by some that she's winning the nomination by back room deals instead of at the ballot box.

I would hope Clinton's people would deny that they think they've won this, until tomorrow.

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the AP is not helping Clinton by declaring her the nominee based on undisclosed superdelegates (Original Post) geek tragedy Jun 2016 OP
if they do...textbook plausible deniability virtualobserver Jun 2016 #1
this seriously does not help Clinton, they should be pissed in Brooklyn geek tragedy Jun 2016 #3
I think that an argument can be made either way virtualobserver Jun 2016 #4
to be blunt, I don't think this helps anyone but the AP, which is going geek tragedy Jun 2016 #6
Actually, Hillary may benefit... thesquanderer Jun 2016 #38
I agree with you, GT. This takes some of the wind out of the "8 pm Tuesday" sails, thesquanderer Jun 2016 #25
Yeah, I think I agree with that. DCBob Jun 2016 #2
Different rules for Hillary! yallerdawg Jun 2016 #5
Doesn't matter. Tomorrow, she'll have MineralMan Jun 2016 #7
yes, but tomorrow was planned to be her night to declare victory, she was asking geek tragedy Jun 2016 #10
Helpful? Who cares? MineralMan Jun 2016 #15
the AP should be reporting news, not manufacturing it nt geek tragedy Jun 2016 #16
They're reporting their survey information. MineralMan Jun 2016 #26
I agree! n/t texstad79 Jun 2016 #32
If this was any other candidate but Hillary this primary race bigdarryl Jun 2016 #8
"If this was any other candidate but Hillary this primary race Would have been over a month ago." TimPlo Jun 2016 #14
If the field had been bigger Bernie would have been an also ran PepperHarlan Jun 2016 #36
Why should Hillary be treated differently than Obama was in 2008? Beacool Jun 2016 #9
the AP is reporting it based not on an election return, not on superdelegates announcing their votes geek tragedy Jun 2016 #12
I know we are on the same side, but I'm sick and tired of people treating her hard won win Beacool Jun 2016 #24
Yup! texstad79 Jun 2016 #33
I hear ya, just wish that the media would stick to reporting commitments that are made public. geek tragedy Jun 2016 #40
re: "Obama was ahead by {less}...Yet, on June 3rd he was declared the presumptive nominee" thesquanderer Jun 2016 #20
Yes, but her pledged delegate advantage is a lot larger than Obama's was in 2008. Beacool Jun 2016 #28
The AP did the same thing with the Trump announcement Peacetrain Jun 2016 #11
There are people who are going to believe that regardless KingFlorez Jun 2016 #13
The AP would have been calling the Super Delegates who have not committed for months MohRokTah Jun 2016 #17
Yes, and they're not supposed to do that. The campaign is supposed to make that geek tragedy Jun 2016 #21
Probably, but the AP wants to be the first with the story. MohRokTah Jun 2016 #23
smoke filled rooms Rosa Luxemburg Jun 2016 #18
I am surprised it took a new agency this long to state MyNameGoesHere Jun 2016 #19
They just want the headlines. BKH70041 Jun 2016 #22
This doesn't bother me as much, but I wish they had waited until after tomorrow's primary Blaukraut Jun 2016 #27
Voters are not that important when you have SUPER Delegates...n/t Mohammed_Lee Jun 2016 #29
I read here on DU that supers have as much clout as 10,000 "regular" voters. panader0 Jun 2016 #39
I think most California voters who are going to vote for Hill have. ucrdem Jun 2016 #30
I agree. She'll clinch tomorrow, with the majority of pledged delegates and the YouDig Jun 2016 #31
I just repaired my SO's laptop and this story was the 1st that popped up when machine started Dem2 Jun 2016 #34
Clinton did state that she still has some primaries to win Gothmog Jun 2016 #35
It didn't stop them from padding the delegate lead before the first vote. morningfog Jun 2016 #37
 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
3. this seriously does not help Clinton, they should be pissed in Brooklyn
Mon Jun 6, 2016, 08:35 PM
Jun 2016

their victory night is tomorrow night, and the AP is jumping it.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
6. to be blunt, I don't think this helps anyone but the AP, which is going
Mon Jun 6, 2016, 08:38 PM
Jun 2016

to get a lot of attention for this stunt

thesquanderer

(11,982 posts)
38. Actually, Hillary may benefit...
Mon Jun 6, 2016, 11:17 PM
Jun 2016

...in that, if she doesn't do very well tomorrow (i.e. loses CA), she may claim that this announcement depressed voter turnout among her supporters.

thesquanderer

(11,982 posts)
25. I agree with you, GT. This takes some of the wind out of the "8 pm Tuesday" sails,
Mon Jun 6, 2016, 08:48 PM
Jun 2016

and gives Sanders some more leeway in how to handle it. This "pre-announcement" doesn't do Hillary any favor.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
10. yes, but tomorrow was planned to be her night to declare victory, she was asking
Mon Jun 6, 2016, 08:41 PM
Jun 2016

superdelegates to STFU about this for a very good reason

we all knew it was pretty much locked up, but this isn't helpful, imo

MineralMan

(146,284 posts)
15. Helpful? Who cares?
Mon Jun 6, 2016, 08:44 PM
Jun 2016

It doesn't matter one bit, really. AP got a beat on this, based one their own SD survey.

MineralMan

(146,284 posts)
26. They're reporting their survey information.
Mon Jun 6, 2016, 08:48 PM
Jun 2016

That's news they collected. Reporters go out to get stories, or we'd have no news.

 

bigdarryl

(13,190 posts)
8. If this was any other candidate but Hillary this primary race
Mon Jun 6, 2016, 08:40 PM
Jun 2016

Would have been over a month ago. The left has become Clinton's primary enemy even more than the right wing

 

TimPlo

(443 posts)
14. "If this was any other candidate but Hillary this primary race Would have been over a month ago."
Mon Jun 6, 2016, 08:43 PM
Jun 2016

So true if it was a better honest person than Clinton who had same known name as her Sanders who was a no name Senator from VT would of not even had a chance. But he has won nearly half the delegates even though 1 out 100 people(guesstimate) in the US even knew who Sanders was back in Dec 2015.

 

PepperHarlan

(124 posts)
36. If the field had been bigger Bernie would have been an also ran
Mon Jun 6, 2016, 09:26 PM
Jun 2016

Bernie benefited greatly by the unusually small field. Had Warren gotten in, or had 2-3 more solid candidates been in the race, Bernie would have been broke and in his usual back bench spot in the Senate by the end of February.

Beacool

(30,247 posts)
9. Why should Hillary be treated differently than Obama was in 2008?
Mon Jun 6, 2016, 08:40 PM
Jun 2016

Obama was ahead by only 102 pledged delegates and the popular vote was also razor thin. Yet, on June 3rd he was declared the presumptive nominee.

Hillary has almost triple Obama's pledged delegate advantage and is ahead by several million votes, but she shouldn't be called the presumptive nominee after NJ closes its polls tomorrow night?

Why is that, because she's a woman or because her last name is Clinton???

Screw that!!!! Hillary will be the nominee because she earned it.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
12. the AP is reporting it based not on an election return, not on superdelegates announcing their votes
Mon Jun 6, 2016, 08:42 PM
Jun 2016

but on their reaching out to superdelegates to get them to spill the beans about whether they had committed to Clinton.

I am pro-Clinton in this, I just don't think this is helpful to her. Clinton didn't want her victory declaration to be this way.

We're on the same side.

Beacool

(30,247 posts)
24. I know we are on the same side, but I'm sick and tired of people treating her hard won win
Mon Jun 6, 2016, 08:48 PM
Jun 2016

as a coronation. She earned the right to that nomination, it wasn't given to her on a platter.

I don't think that anything that the party says to the media is going to stop them from declaring her the presumptive nominee after polls close in NJ tomorrow night. They are already saying it today.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
40. I hear ya, just wish that the media would stick to reporting commitments that are made public.
Mon Jun 6, 2016, 11:30 PM
Jun 2016

if the campaign doesn't go public with them, they don't belong on the scoreboard.

there's a real transparency issue there. unknown delegates are giving someone the one?

that looks shady.

Clinton won this fair and square. She won it because she got the most votes.

thesquanderer

(11,982 posts)
20. re: "Obama was ahead by {less}...Yet, on June 3rd he was declared the presumptive nominee"
Mon Jun 6, 2016, 08:46 PM
Jun 2016

One big difference is that, on June 3rd, the primaries were over, there were no states left to vote.

Beacool

(30,247 posts)
28. Yes, but her pledged delegate advantage is a lot larger than Obama's was in 2008.
Mon Jun 6, 2016, 08:54 PM
Jun 2016

Mind you, I'm not advocating that the media do this tomorrow night, but they already started doing so by saying that Hillary only needs 23 delegates to clinch the nomination.

Peacetrain

(22,874 posts)
11. The AP did the same thing with the Trump announcement
Mon Jun 6, 2016, 08:41 PM
Jun 2016

Rachael was talking about this just a few days back.. how odd it was.. on a Thursday night the AP announced that Trump had arrived at enough delegates..

KingFlorez

(12,689 posts)
13. There are people who are going to believe that regardless
Mon Jun 6, 2016, 08:43 PM
Jun 2016

This report isn't going to make much of a difference in the end. After tomorrow night, the game really is completed.

 

MohRokTah

(15,429 posts)
17. The AP would have been calling the Super Delegates who have not committed for months
Mon Jun 6, 2016, 08:45 PM
Jun 2016

Some of the 40 she holds in reserve obviously told the AP they were voting for Hillary.

Thus, they were able to make the call tonight.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
21. Yes, and they're not supposed to do that. The campaign is supposed to make that
Mon Jun 6, 2016, 08:46 PM
Jun 2016

announcement.

I would imagine the Clinton people are annoyed.

BKH70041

(961 posts)
22. They just want the headlines.
Mon Jun 6, 2016, 08:46 PM
Jun 2016

This is why I don't trust the media.

Don't see it as an advantage for either side. Clinton voters are just as likely to say "she's already won so why vote" as Sander's supporters are to say "he's lost so why vote." Really dumb reporting from where I stand.

Clinton will be the nominee. Just let the whole process play out and quit trying to make the news, you stupid media fucks.

Blaukraut

(5,693 posts)
27. This doesn't bother me as much, but I wish they had waited until after tomorrow's primary
Mon Jun 6, 2016, 08:53 PM
Jun 2016

It's almost like the AP did this on purpose to create some doubt as to the voice of the voters. Although the AP did do the same thing when Trump clinched the nomination.

ucrdem

(15,512 posts)
30. I think most California voters who are going to vote for Hill have.
Mon Jun 6, 2016, 08:56 PM
Jun 2016

Vote by mail here is very popular, above 65% as I recall. Haven't seen stats but that's what I've been hearing a lot this week.

YouDig

(2,280 posts)
31. I agree. She'll clinch tomorrow, with the majority of pledged delegates and the
Mon Jun 6, 2016, 08:56 PM
Jun 2016

majority of total delegates and the majority of popular votes.

Dem2

(8,168 posts)
34. I just repaired my SO's laptop and this story was the 1st that popped up when machine started
Mon Jun 6, 2016, 09:05 PM
Jun 2016

I was kind of shocked.

Gothmog

(145,086 posts)
35. Clinton did state that she still has some primaries to win
Mon Jun 6, 2016, 09:22 PM
Jun 2016

I agree with your analysis and I believe that the Clinton campaign would have preferred this to be announced tomorrow

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