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pnwmom

(108,973 posts)
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 12:11 PM Jun 2016

Why Hillary didn't want the AP to make the call last night.

The optimal time for her campaign would have been after NJ voting was completed at 5 o'clock Pacific Time -- when voting would still be ongoing in California.

NJ is going heavily for Hillary, and so there would be no wish to suppress any vote there.

Also, NJ would have given her the 19-23 delegates she still needed to reach the majority of all delegates (depending on the source). She wanted pledged delegates to put her over the top -- not super delegates.

And then if voting slowed in CA, it wouldn't have mattered. It might even have helped Hillary, since last minute voters would be more likely to be younger (read, Bernie) voters. (That's true in a typical election, anyway.)

So she really didn't benefit from getting the election called last night. There's little reason to think there was anything involved other than AP and Reuters and NBC all competing to see who could report the story first.

40 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Why Hillary didn't want the AP to make the call last night. (Original Post) pnwmom Jun 2016 OP
Agreed. I don't think any of it really ultimately matters, but as an HRC supporter Zynx Jun 2016 #1
Maybe she wouldn't have clinched in Jersey Skink Jun 2016 #2
NJ is a closed primary where she is ahead by 20-30 points. pnwmom Jun 2016 #7
Agreed. It was the media doing what the media does; trying to be first. Garrett78 Jun 2016 #3
I'm pissed they called it and I bet Clinton is too. grossproffit Jun 2016 #4
Me too and me too. auntpurl Jun 2016 #5
I'm very upset! This will overshadow the historic component of her victory. eastwestdem Jun 2016 #28
Yep. I'm so mad. I'm still steaming over it. grossproffit Jun 2016 #39
Totally agree with your take on this. DCBob Jun 2016 #6
you forgot something grasswire Jun 2016 #8
Your point is related to mine: she wanted the race to be called pnwmom Jun 2016 #10
Keep shoveling. nt grasswire Jun 2016 #11
I wouldn't have wanted a whiff of voter fraud to factor in Skink Jun 2016 #12
"impetus to rage against the machine". lol, even imaginary things do that. R B Garr Jun 2016 #13
The AP can count to 2383. They did so, and reported the results. TwilightZone Jun 2016 #17
You are correct. From my vantage point in No. CA, the Sanders people are still getting out to vote. eastwestdem Jun 2016 #29
LOL! nt merrily Jun 2016 #9
I agree. Now it just adds another layer of conspiracy to the already full plate of R B Garr Jun 2016 #14
The Clinton campaign was not responsible for the AP's call Gothmog Jun 2016 #15
Yep. I think she's just as pissed about it as Bernie (nt) Nye Bevan Jun 2016 #16
The election is 5 months away texstad79 Jun 2016 #18
Unless she was headed toward an embarrassing loss in California Tom Rinaldo Jun 2016 #19
Big time loss in California coming up. Skink Jun 2016 #23
She knew that was coming. This way if he still has a big win she can claim it's not valid. JudyM Jun 2016 #37
Yeah, but in the long run it won't make much difference. progressoid Jun 2016 #20
Yeah I agree. ismnotwasm Jun 2016 #21
I agree. Also, she had a victory rally planned in Brooklyn for tonight. herding cats Jun 2016 #22
I live in NJ. We have party boss assholes who vote with Christie, finally having good challengers. TheBlackAdder Jun 2016 #24
DON'T try explaining this Political Science *101 lesson to Bernsters. Surya Gayatri Jun 2016 #25
Who was teaching that class? Joseph Goebbels? d_legendary1 Jun 2016 #30
Hello? Did you read the OP? You are essentially agreeing with it and with me... Surya Gayatri Jun 2016 #32
You know damn well I wasn't replying to the OP d_legendary1 Jun 2016 #35
I'm sure I am in no position to tell you what you were talking about. Surya Gayatri Jun 2016 #36
That darn AP is in it for Bernie. bigwillq Jun 2016 #26
The media is not her friend WhiteTara Jun 2016 #27
The media is the friend of those who will help further its agenda d_legendary1 Jun 2016 #31
True. But..... MFM008 Jun 2016 #33
Pout. She won TOOO SOOON!!! Lol morningfog Jun 2016 #34
I think it'll be forgotten in a few weeks. n/t Orsino Jun 2016 #38
Meh Stuckinthebush Jun 2016 #40

Zynx

(21,328 posts)
1. Agreed. I don't think any of it really ultimately matters, but as an HRC supporter
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 12:17 PM
Jun 2016

I would have preferred that they wait until tonight.

Skink

(10,122 posts)
2. Maybe she wouldn't have clinched in Jersey
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 12:18 PM
Jun 2016

So they manufactured this. But I agree it didn't help her cause.

pnwmom

(108,973 posts)
7. NJ is a closed primary where she is ahead by 20-30 points.
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 12:21 PM
Jun 2016

And it has plenty of African American voters. She would have more than clinched the race in NJ.

Garrett78

(10,721 posts)
3. Agreed. It was the media doing what the media does; trying to be first.
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 12:18 PM
Jun 2016

It takes a bit of the wind out of the celebration sails, and potentially weakens the post-clinching bump.

But the media is all about beating others to the punch.

 

eastwestdem

(1,220 posts)
28. I'm very upset! This will overshadow the historic component of her victory.
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 01:52 PM
Jun 2016

She will likely get less delegates than she would have otherwise.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
6. Totally agree with your take on this.
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 12:19 PM
Jun 2016

Hillary wanted it to happen tonight. Its now a bit anti-climatic and further pisses off the Berners.

grasswire

(50,130 posts)
8. you forgot something
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 12:22 PM
Jun 2016

You forgot that this premature crowning has lit a bigger fire under Bernie or Bust and given impetus to rage against the machine that is HRC and the DNC. This will be the last establishment ruled election. The coalition of progressives and independents now being forged outnumbers the paltry and putrified Third Way.

We're coming for your establishment.

pnwmom

(108,973 posts)
10. Your point is related to mine: she wanted the race to be called
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 12:24 PM
Jun 2016

as a result of the pledged delegates in NJ, not because of the super delegates who decided to endorse her.

This has angered Bernie supporters without bringing any real benefit to her campaign.

Skink

(10,122 posts)
12. I wouldn't have wanted a whiff of voter fraud to factor in
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 12:31 PM
Jun 2016

They really should have waited till after today's vote.

R B Garr

(16,950 posts)
13. "impetus to rage against the machine". lol, even imaginary things do that.
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 12:38 PM
Jun 2016

Lots of imaginary things.

TwilightZone

(25,456 posts)
17. The AP can count to 2383. They did so, and reported the results.
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 01:08 PM
Jun 2016

Your anger is misplaced and disingenuous. You've been raging against Clinton and the DNC for months. This changed nothing.

Better luck next time.

 

eastwestdem

(1,220 posts)
29. You are correct. From my vantage point in No. CA, the Sanders people are still getting out to vote.
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 01:55 PM
Jun 2016

I've receive two calls from the Sanders campaign this morning (although one was not very polite when I said that I had already voted for Hillary)...but they are certainly motivated. The Hillary supporters are much more ready to believe that the primary is over, and their vote is not necessary.

I predict that this AP thing will greatly benefit Sanders, both in CA and NJ (where Hillary should still win, but the margin will be less...so she will get less delegates than predicted).

R B Garr

(16,950 posts)
14. I agree. Now it just adds another layer of conspiracy to the already full plate of
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 12:41 PM
Jun 2016

CT's. The press just wanted to be first.

And we all know that Bernie wants those superdelegates. So the superdelegates are fine. He just doesn't want them to go with her. I'm so tired of this phoniness and his double standards.

Gothmog

(145,086 posts)
15. The Clinton campaign was not responsible for the AP's call
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 12:46 PM
Jun 2016

It is clear that the Clinton campaign would have preferred that this call was delayed a day

Tom Rinaldo

(22,912 posts)
19. Unless she was headed toward an embarrassing loss in California
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 01:18 PM
Jun 2016

That would be the exception to your otherwise sound case. Now she benefits from a full day positive news cycle without having the glow of being the first woman called the presumptive nominee stepped on mere hours later by coverage of a humiliating defeat. As things now stand though she will also escape the worst of that, even if she does lose California. She can simply say her voters chose to stay home after the nomination was called for her, having nothing left to prove, while Bernie's still turned out to cast a protest vote.

Not the best case way to be called the presumptive nominee, true, but far better than it might well have played out had AP not inserted itself into the process. If Hillary was afraid she might lose in California, than AP stepping in when it did was a godsend for her.

JudyM

(29,225 posts)
37. She knew that was coming. This way if he still has a big win she can claim it's not valid.
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 02:37 PM
Jun 2016

Which has the dual significant benefits to her of (1) providing cover for a loss in CA as well as (2) implications for superdels' decisionmaking.

progressoid

(49,969 posts)
20. Yeah, but in the long run it won't make much difference.
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 01:22 PM
Jun 2016

There are a few thousand more hurdles before November.

ismnotwasm

(41,975 posts)
21. Yeah I agree.
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 01:23 PM
Jun 2016

Social media is a scambling to fix the damage--telling people to "get out and vote!"

Hillary has "won" --we've known this for a long time, there was no reason for AP to jump into the fray like this.

I don't get the CT, but then, I never do.

herding cats

(19,558 posts)
22. I agree. Also, she had a victory rally planned in Brooklyn for tonight.
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 01:25 PM
Jun 2016

Originally it was assumed the media would call it after she wins in NJ. The plan was for her to then make her speech thanking her supporters, congratulating Bernie on a tough race, and of course eviscerating Trump.

The AP jumped the gun, and basically messed everything up.

TheBlackAdder

(28,182 posts)
24. I live in NJ. We have party boss assholes who vote with Christie, finally having good challengers.
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 01:28 PM
Jun 2016

.


The AP's pre-ejac will probably affect these state & local challengers, keeping Christie's stranglehold on the state.

The AP should have waited 24 hours. It really does noting more than reinforce that media is tampering in politics.



It's not like they haven't done that since before Boss Tweed's time, but it's becoming similar now.

.

 

Surya Gayatri

(15,445 posts)
25. DON'T try explaining this Political Science *101 lesson to Bernsters.
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 01:42 PM
Jun 2016
THE AP CALL WAS A CONSPIRACY TO SUPPRESS VOTING FOR SANDERS.

And, don't tell them any different.

d_legendary1

(2,586 posts)
30. Who was teaching that class? Joseph Goebbels?
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 01:58 PM
Jun 2016

Its an excellent way of getting people NOT to vote if a winner is called before ALL the ballots are cast. This will affect both Sanders and Clinton supporters who planned to vote today. Its irresponsible journalism, but then again HRC is ahead so why bother with journalistic integrity and fair elections, right?

 

Surya Gayatri

(15,445 posts)
32. Hello? Did you read the OP? You are essentially agreeing with it and with me...
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 02:11 PM
Jun 2016

Hillary would have been better off if the AP had NOT made the call.

"So she really didn't benefit from getting the election called last night. There's little reason to think there was anything involved other than AP and Reuters and NBC all competing to see who could report the story first."


d_legendary1

(2,586 posts)
35. You know damn well I wasn't replying to the OP
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 02:16 PM
Jun 2016
DON'T try explaining this Political Science *101 lesson to Bernsters.

THE AP CALL WAS A CONSPIRACY TO SUPPRESS VOTING FOR SANDERS.

And, don't tell them any different.


I was replying to this snyde remark, but please tell me what else I was talking about that I wasn't.

 

Surya Gayatri

(15,445 posts)
36. I'm sure I am in no position to tell you what you were talking about.
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 02:23 PM
Jun 2016

Only you could possibly figure that out.

As for my reference to Political Science 101, it's the lesson included in those quotes and that conspiracy believers refuse to acknowledge.

WhiteTara

(29,699 posts)
27. The media is not her friend
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 01:49 PM
Jun 2016

and it ultimately hurt her and helped Trump as it pushed his Sh*t off the front page.

d_legendary1

(2,586 posts)
31. The media is the friend of those who will help further its agenda
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 02:01 PM
Jun 2016

The media has been known to take down people who oppose it (Howard Dean) and prop up people who help advance an agenda (Howard Dean).

MFM008

(19,804 posts)
33. True. But.....
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 02:11 PM
Jun 2016

NBC election desk guy said that they were going to call it no matter what any of the candidates wanted so there it is.

Stuckinthebush

(10,843 posts)
40. Meh
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 05:45 PM
Jun 2016

She'll be fine either way. As Nancy Pelosi said today when asked what happens if Clinton doesn't win California...

"Nothing"

She will be the presumptive nominee regardless. The noise will be there regardless. In a few days this will be forgotten as just a rough primary.

On to the GE!

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