2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumSanders need a "Mathematical Miracle" to win California
So they say on CNN. Looks like the polls were likely wrong in the last week.
Barack_America
(28,876 posts)Let's go with that.
Cali_Democrat
(30,439 posts)Wanna flesh that one out a little more?
Barack_America
(28,876 posts)Corporate666
(587 posts)Bernie stole Michigan, right?
Can't have your cake and eat it too. Either polls are reliable and deviation from polls indicates fraud.
OR
Polls are unreliable and shouldn't be used to "know" what the results will be.
Or, like everything else with the Bernie campaign, does the opinion change in a heartbeat depending on whether it's helpful or hurtful to the Sanders campaign?
Hoyt
(54,770 posts)LonePirate
(13,386 posts)Strong ground games and campaign organizations win early votes where more and more contests are won (just as in FL and OH, for instance).
upaloopa
(11,417 posts)Bernie's crowd are mostly white independents.
ContinentalOp
(5,356 posts)And the AP shut that down!
Hekate
(90,189 posts)How did the AP prevent anybody from voting? That is a ridiculous assertion. Just ridiculous.
ContinentalOp
(5,356 posts)But I was worried about npp republicans voting for Sanders since Trump already has the nomination. But after AP called it for Clinton last night, there would be no reason for conservatives to screw with our primary today.
Hekate
(90,189 posts)Gaaah.
The point you make about conservatives messing with our primary is the whole reason I am in favor of closed primaries.
Cheers
LenaBaby61
(6,965 posts)IE: Mail in Ballots.
Younger people, well, they vote when they "feel" like it most of them. I wish they would vote more, but oh well
still_one
(91,947 posts)with 32% counted, if Sanders did manage to pull something out, it would be close, no blowout win for sure
Live and Learn
(12,769 posts)still_one
(91,947 posts)and while Bernie can still pull this off, if he does, it will be close
Live and Learn
(12,769 posts)still_one
(91,947 posts)Response to Doctor Jack (Original post)
Ken Burch This message was self-deleted by its author.
Doctor Jack
(3,072 posts)Don't worry about it
Ken Burch
(50,254 posts)Warren DeMontague
(80,708 posts)Doctor Jack
(3,072 posts)Don't even worry about it
Warren DeMontague
(80,708 posts)IIRC both Bush and McCain were leading CA when only 15% or so of the results were in, in '04 and '08 respectively.
Now, Hillary may carry the more liberal areas, but I wouldn't go on the early numbers.