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joshcryer

(62,269 posts)
Tue Jan 10, 2012, 11:24 PM Jan 2012

Looks like the 2012 NH GOP turnout is going to be 30k~ less people than 2008. (hmm, nope, wrong)

Last edited Wed Jan 11, 2012, 01:45 AM - Edit history (1)

Turnout in 2008 was 239,328: http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P08/NH-R.phtml

With 72% reporting, the turnout is around 160,486: http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/primaries/state/nh

Assuming the trend continues, they will barely break a 200,000 person turnout.

edit: 235,698 votes with 95% reporting, so it looks like it's close to the 2008 turnout, but not by much.

9 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Looks like the 2012 NH GOP turnout is going to be 30k~ less people than 2008. (hmm, nope, wrong) (Original Post) joshcryer Jan 2012 OP
Yep.... FrenchieCat Jan 2012 #1
I was watching MSNBC and Shapton, I think, pointed it out. joshcryer Jan 2012 #2
Rachel has just completed her comments on the low turnout. Liberal_Stalwart71 Jan 2012 #3
indeed.. ge626dfil Jan 2012 #6
Lets be honest. You can't expect Mittens Thrill Jan 2012 #4
Probably many independents skipped it this time, since they had no reason to endorse a republican SoCalDem Jan 2012 #5
I believe you may be right Art_from_Ark Jan 2012 #7
Very light turnout here in SW NH and Raven Jan 2012 #8
except that it is actually down overall among republicans WI_DEM Jan 2012 #9

joshcryer

(62,269 posts)
2. I was watching MSNBC and Shapton, I think, pointed it out.
Tue Jan 10, 2012, 11:33 PM
Jan 2012

Otherwise I agree, it's barely making a notice.

I remember when here on DU the GOP Iowa caucus was being touted as proof in a sea change for Republicans.

Thrill

(19,178 posts)
4. Lets be honest. You can't expect Mittens
Tue Jan 10, 2012, 11:43 PM
Jan 2012

to excite anyone. He'll get the hate Obama vote. But thats about all

SoCalDem

(103,856 posts)
5. Probably many independents skipped it this time, since they had no reason to endorse a republican
Wed Jan 11, 2012, 12:26 AM
Jan 2012

and Obama is unopposed.

They may also sit out the election if they remain disinterested

Art_from_Ark

(27,247 posts)
7. I believe you may be right
Wed Jan 11, 2012, 12:35 AM
Jan 2012

It is way too early to make any substantial conclusion about this. Nothing will really matter, I think, until after the R's have decided on their nominee.

Raven

(13,889 posts)
8. Very light turnout here in SW NH and
Wed Jan 11, 2012, 09:15 AM
Jan 2012

it was a beautiful day. I don't think republicans and independents are very excited about the field. I also think people are waiting to see if the next republican "favorite" will crash and burn. Romney is known up here but not particularly liked. I don't think this bodes well for the republicans in the GE.

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
9. except that it is actually down overall among republicans
Wed Jan 11, 2012, 11:39 AM
Jan 2012

because take the new/independent voters that Paul got from the total.

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