2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumLooks like the 2012 NH GOP turnout is going to be 30k~ less people than 2008. (hmm, nope, wrong)
Last edited Wed Jan 11, 2012, 01:45 AM - Edit history (1)
Turnout in 2008 was 239,328: http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P08/NH-R.phtml
With 72% reporting, the turnout is around 160,486: http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/primaries/state/nh
Assuming the trend continues, they will barely break a 200,000 person turnout.
edit: 235,698 votes with 95% reporting, so it looks like it's close to the 2008 turnout, but not by much.
FrenchieCat
(68,867 posts)have the pundits breathlessly mentioned it?
Didn't think so.
joshcryer
(62,269 posts)Otherwise I agree, it's barely making a notice.
I remember when here on DU the GOP Iowa caucus was being touted as proof in a sea change for Republicans.
Liberal_Stalwart71
(20,450 posts)ge626dfil
(51 posts)Thrill
(19,178 posts)to excite anyone. He'll get the hate Obama vote. But thats about all
SoCalDem
(103,856 posts)and Obama is unopposed.
They may also sit out the election if they remain disinterested
Art_from_Ark
(27,247 posts)It is way too early to make any substantial conclusion about this. Nothing will really matter, I think, until after the R's have decided on their nominee.
Raven
(13,889 posts)it was a beautiful day. I don't think republicans and independents are very excited about the field. I also think people are waiting to see if the next republican "favorite" will crash and burn. Romney is known up here but not particularly liked. I don't think this bodes well for the republicans in the GE.
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)because take the new/independent voters that Paul got from the total.