Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search
30 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Why was California turnout so high in 08? (Original Post) Skink Jun 2016 OP
Because the AP had not called the election the night before... leftinportland Jun 2016 #1
They came out in large numbers above all Hortensis Jun 2016 #2
They came out for Clinton in 2008 and again in 2016. grossproffit Jun 2016 #7
Sure. I would have if I still lived there. Hortensis Jun 2016 #10
California was very competitive in 2008 and Obama generated really widespread enthusiasm. Zynx Jun 2016 #3
Obama generated really widespread enthusiasm? SFnomad Jun 2016 #5
I think Bernie generated widespread enthusiasm Dem2 Jun 2016 #20
Didn't everywhere have insane turnout in 2008? Ace Rothstein Jun 2016 #4
It was held on February 5th in 2008 grossproffit Jun 2016 #6
It was on super tuesday. Way more impact. taught_me_patience Jun 2016 #8
Yep - it was earlier in the primary season in 2008 RockaFowler Jun 2016 #16
Massively important point Dem2 Jun 2016 #21
Hillary ain't no Obama One Black Sheep Jun 2016 #9
She inspires me and millions of others. grossproffit Jun 2016 #11
Hillary WON California in 2008 JI7 Jun 2016 #14
Yeah but she obviously didn't inspire woolldog Jun 2016 #15
I'm not retired and I'm not elderly justiceischeap Jun 2016 #17
This survey is awkward for you mythology Jun 2016 #27
It wasn't so high, it's just that this cycle it was low, but not as low as many other States Bluenorthwest Jun 2016 #12
We had our primary of Super Tuesday, February 8 Agnosticsherbet Jun 2016 #13
Which is why it's so strange when people claim California hadn't mattered in a long time. -nt- Lord Magus Jun 2016 #29
It was in February nadinbrzezinski Jun 2016 #18
That primary was held in February, early enough to play an important part pnwmom Jun 2016 #19
Because it was in February? Recursion Jun 2016 #22
hope and change? tandem5 Jun 2016 #23
8 years of George Bush and Obama vs. Clinton. SaschaHM Jun 2016 #24
Democratic turnout was much higher overall in 2008, since there was a highly competitive contest tritsofme Jun 2016 #25
It has already been noted that all the democratic primaries have all had lower voter... dubyadiprecession Jun 2016 #26
In the 2008 primaries jamese777 Jun 2016 #28
I know HRC has an enthusiasm problem Skink Jun 2016 #30

leftinportland

(247 posts)
1. Because the AP had not called the election the night before...
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 06:55 PM
Jun 2016

In 2008 the primary was unusually early...in February.

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
10. Sure. I would have if I still lived there.
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 07:13 PM
Jun 2016

It'd be interesting to know who excited the most haters by what margin, Hillary or Obama. I'd guess Obama might carry that honor, but I really have no idea.

Zynx

(21,328 posts)
3. California was very competitive in 2008 and Obama generated really widespread enthusiasm.
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 06:56 PM
Jun 2016

Obama wasn't just exciting for 18-29 year olds. He also really excited professional class Democrats as well.

One Black Sheep

(458 posts)
9. Hillary ain't no Obama
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 07:12 PM
Jun 2016

Democratic turnout has been WAY down this year, across the board. Hillary doesn't inspire people and get massive crowds like Obama did, the only one who did that this year was Bernie. But even Bernie couldn't match Obama in some aspects, like getting massive turnout.

That is why it is very puzzling to see people try and use Obama's unprecedented success as a yardstick for Hillary, because Hillary will be lucky to get a small slice of Obama's enthusiastic voters to go out and vote for her...she just is not that type of candidate. She only excites elderly and retired long time Democrats, not the youth, and not independents, like Obama did, in a massive way.

In short, Hillary ain't no Obama. Far from it.

 

woolldog

(8,791 posts)
15. Yeah but she obviously didn't inspire
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 08:33 PM
Jun 2016

Californians the way Obama did....even though she beat him by 400k in a high turn out primary. Oh, wait ...

 

mythology

(9,527 posts)
27. This survey is awkward for you
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 10:26 PM
Jun 2016
http://www.gallup.com/poll/190343/trump-clinton-supporters-lead-enthusiasm.aspx

Sure Clinton isn't Obama, but Sanders isn't Clinton. I do think that Clinton learned from 2008 and is specifically avoiding the large rallies as those don't play to her strengths. She seems much more comfortable in smaller settings and it's obviously worked well enough to win the nomination.
 

Bluenorthwest

(45,319 posts)
12. It wasn't so high, it's just that this cycle it was low, but not as low as many other States
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 07:44 PM
Jun 2016

It's a disappointing outcome of this cycle.

Agnosticsherbet

(11,619 posts)
13. We had our primary of Super Tuesday, February 8
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 08:29 PM
Jun 2016

Being one of the first primaries raised a lot of excitement.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
18. It was in February
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 08:48 PM
Jun 2016

the last time... and the AP did play an effect.

That was the last time we had a primary earlier in the cycle, the state just got tired of paying for it, and the parties will not, so there you go.

pnwmom

(108,977 posts)
19. That primary was held in February, early enough to play an important part
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 08:51 PM
Jun 2016

in the process.

This year, everyone but the most die-hard Bernie people realized that the contest was decided by New York, at the latest. Even Bernie had said that New York was the key race -- till he lost it.

SaschaHM

(2,897 posts)
24. 8 years of George Bush and Obama vs. Clinton.
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 10:05 PM
Jun 2016

Two historic candidates, a despised incumbent, losing 2 elections in a row, and a failing economy.

tritsofme

(17,376 posts)
25. Democratic turnout was much higher overall in 2008, since there was a highly competitive contest
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 10:09 PM
Jun 2016

between Obama and Clinton.

Clinton v Bernie while much closer than expected, just wasn't particularly competitive, Clinton was always the prohibitive favorite.

dubyadiprecession

(5,707 posts)
26. It has already been noted that all the democratic primaries have all had lower voter...
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 10:16 PM
Jun 2016

turnout. Even with hillary's supposedly popular opponent, turnout was still down from 08'.

jamese777

(546 posts)
28. In the 2008 primaries
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 10:31 PM
Jun 2016

Barack Obama got 17,584,692 popular votes nationwide and Hillary got 17,857,501.
In 2016 Hillary Clinton currently has 16,001,432 votes with some California Vote By Mail votes still being counted and the D.C. primary yet to go.

Skink

(10,122 posts)
30. I know HRC has an enthusiasm problem
Thu Jun 9, 2016, 12:05 AM
Jun 2016

But reading the posts after work tonight, and they are all excellent points I am starting to believe this year voter suppression is real. I can't fathom how the major news outlets all had it about 2 points apart and then also we all know about the surge.

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»Why was California turnou...