2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumUh She's still short 199 delegates
NY Times says so: http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results
metroins
(2,550 posts)Pretty sure we don't need to live in the past.
Gore1FL
(21,128 posts)Let's live in the now with the math of the now.
Hillary is the presumptive nominee, we should focus on progress and defeating Trump.
Gore1FL
(21,128 posts)But don't pretend that it's already happened or that there isn't business to do at the convention.
metroins
(2,550 posts)The pretending has been since March that the voters would choose Sanders.
They have not.
Gore1FL
(21,128 posts)Please proceed, governor.
metroins
(2,550 posts)I'm glad we're not arguing.
stevil
(1,537 posts)Don't watch the convention though, LOL!
Gore1FL
(21,128 posts)It's important and interesting.
Not sure what you are trying to imply.
lancer78
(1,495 posts)is implying that you will be disappointed at the convention when HRC wins on the first ballot.
Gore1FL
(21,128 posts)LanternWaste
(37,748 posts)Let's live in the now with the math of the now..."
Math implicitly suggests statistical probabilities and statistical improbabilities we are currently seeing. Patterns emerge, valid inferences, then predictions made.
Math speaks, the biased ignore it.
Gore1FL
(21,128 posts)Convention Date - This Date > 0
Things happen at the convention. The convention is important.
Bias ignores it...
Live and Learn
(12,769 posts)bigwillq
(72,790 posts)Where does he make them up?
larkrake
(1,674 posts)from fringe to here, proving the majority of americans want radical change away from corruption. If the party wants support, each and every person will rise and applaude him.If they want the enthusiasm, they will have to work for it. Without enthusiasm, Hillary does a face plant in the General.
Generic Brad
(14,274 posts)If the majority of Americans preferred Sanders he would have won the nomination. They supported his opponent instead. To assert otherwise, frankly, is baffling.
larkrake
(1,674 posts)Your tunnelvision of only party baffles me. The General is only 29% dems.
Why do you think only half the dems are americans? The movement isnt just dems either, it is every american struggling
mythology
(9,527 posts)It's really hard to claim that there is some majority that would have just voted for Sanders if only they could when she won more open primaries than he did. She actually won double the number of open primaries.
If there were some massive number of Sanders supporters, they would have found a way to turn out like they did for Obama in 2008.
larkrake
(1,674 posts)Lord Magus
(1,999 posts)If there really was a voting majority who wanted Bernie to be the nominee, he would be the nominee. If he had won all the open primaries that would've been enough to give him a majority of pledged delegates.
larkrake
(1,674 posts)Christ, I cant wait until the Hilbots close their group and fade away in censorship
lancer78
(1,495 posts)Democrats were 38% of the electorate. Indies were only 29%.
http://ropercenter.cornell.edu/polls/us-elections/how-groups-voted/how-groups-voted-2012/
larkrake
(1,674 posts)No one will know until after the GE.
brewens
(13,578 posts)I loved part of what Trump had to say during one of the debates. Mostly on infrastructure and what he'd seen other countries doing around the world. The same debate where he threw 9/11 and the Iraq war in Jeb's face. If Trump is elected, I will both love it and be royally pissed if he got YUUUUGE infrastructure rebuilding jobs program through! Love it because it's what we really need, but pissed because it's something Congress would never have let Obama have.
Hillary won't get a big rebuilding jobs bill either. If it was a republican though, hell with paying for it! Just like they always can do if they want to.
A lot of Trumps voters are idiots that are all jazzed about his racist crap, but many would probably be supporting a candidate like I imagine.
larkrake
(1,674 posts)rjsquirrel
(4,762 posts)He wants a coronation!
midnight
(26,624 posts)TwilightZone
(25,467 posts)democrattotheend
(11,605 posts)Do you really think the party establishment, most of whom have written Bernie off from the start, are suddenly going to override the Democratic voters and give him the nomination? Even MoveOn opposes that.
The only way I see that happening is if she is indicted or otherwise implodes. And even then I don't trust the supers to nominate Bernie, which I think is part of why he is fighting for every last delegate.
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)popular vote, what else is needed. There will be one vote at the convention and it will be over. At least this the way it works in the DNC convention.
KingFlorez
(12,689 posts)Number23
(24,544 posts)2383 pledged and super delegates combined needed. She has 2777.
Where is all of this so-called "confusion" from you guys coming from? And more importantly, what is the point of it?
sweetloukillbot
(11,009 posts)I'm so done with this...
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)... is going and stupid ass'd Hannity said Hillary could "barely" beat Sanders
They've been on the Mexican judge all day though...
lol
Hannity is saying Hillary has a problem with minorities !!! lofl!!
ALL FAUX news viewers are posting on DU now... lofl
Number23
(24,544 posts)about how many delegates are needed to win the Democratic nomination.
grossproffit
(5,591 posts)caquillo
(521 posts)Without supers, she just needed a majority of pledged delegates, which is 2,026. As you can see, she crossed that mark and then some.
At this point, Hillary has the majority of pledged delegates, the popular vote, and most contests/states won. She has won by every metric. The superdelegates are not going to deny her the nomination.
Quit dreaming and move on. Seriously.
larkrake
(1,674 posts)One Black Sheep
(458 posts)She will need the help of the super delegates, who won't vote until the convention, to get the required number.
Demsrule86
(68,555 posts)One Black Sheep
(458 posts)if all super delegates switched to Bernie, for whatever reason, Bernie would have 2,450 delegates, which is more than the 2,383 required.
Even if this possibility is only 10% likely to happen, or even only 1% likely to happen, nevertheless, it is there.
Demsrule86
(68,555 posts)Your candidate lost.
Loudestlib
(980 posts)it could have swung the primaries.
mythology
(9,527 posts)would have switched. He didn't.
Loudestlib
(980 posts)lancer78
(1,495 posts)lancer78
(1,495 posts)a third of Sanders super-delegates are from states that HRC has won. However, only 20% of her super-delegates have come from states that Sanders has won.
Demsrule86
(68,555 posts)Yet he won the delegates and they switched. Had Bernie won, they would have switched to him.
wyldwolf
(43,867 posts)Tarc
(10,476 posts)It's time to accept it and move on.
GoneFishin
(5,217 posts)senz
(11,945 posts)GoneFishin
(5,217 posts)ozone_man
(4,825 posts)She won't have enough pledged delegates before the convention.
Meanwhile, the FBI is continuing their investigations. It's not over til it's over as Yogi said.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)We won't let him.
senz
(11,945 posts)senz
(11,945 posts)Good minds, kind hearts, and big souls. Not bad at all.
MFM008
(19,806 posts)And the main reason she has been accused of being untrustworthy is 25 years of lies and innuendo most from republicans.
Or " we just don't like her"
Cloths
Hair
Voice
Alleged support of stuff we don't know or she might or, may have.
senz
(11,945 posts)as revealed through her behavior, not her looks. Who gives a shit about looks? Heck, our candidate, whom we adore, is half bald with a fringe of fly-away white hair, stooped posture, and a gravely voice. He ain't pretty, but he's honest and good.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)scscholar
(2,902 posts)One of the two will have to get over 50%.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)calguy
(5,306 posts)Give it up. Your hard headedness is getting the best of you.
Time to face reality. Come back from fantasyland. The country is moving on. You can join in or continue to sit in the corner imagining a world that will never be. You'll never see your dreams come true by ignoring reality.
LAS14
(13,783 posts)She has won a majority of pledged delegates, and if somehow super delegates were wiped from the system, she'd still win.
senz
(11,945 posts)...Clinton could have lost every state and still won the nomination with superdelegates
http://usuncut.com/politics/superdelegates-robbed-voters-primary/
These SDs were rich establishment insiders -- Hillary people who don't give a damn about voters in their own states.
If SDs were wiped from the system, Hillary could not win.
MattP
(3,304 posts)senz
(11,945 posts)Lord Magus
(1,999 posts)If Hillary had "lost every state" she most certainly wouldn't have "still won the nomination with superdelegates" because there's nowhere near enough superdelegates for that to happen.
Your own math is also way off, because if SDs were wiped from the system, Hillary would have 2197 delegates with 2026 needed to win. Or are you forgetting that if SDs ceased to exist, there would only be 4051 total delegates instead of 4766?
lancer78
(1,495 posts)Clinton got roughly 20% of her super-delegates from states Bernie won?
Did you bother to realize that Bernie got roughly 33% of his super-delegates from states Clinton has won?
The point of your post is irrelevant, as is Bernie whining about how SD's vote.
HERVEPA
(6,107 posts)geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)She won the pledged delegate majority by a huge margin. She won the popular vote margin by a huge margin. She is the presumptive nominee and will be the official nominee within two months.
Because, you know, she won the primary.
Time to stop living in denial.
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)"Contested convention" over.
dubyadiprecession
(5,707 posts)Go Hillary!!
bigtree
(85,990 posts)...
jcgoldie
(11,631 posts)This silly flip the superdelegates bullshit is beyond stupid.
krawhitham
(4,644 posts)It's over, they will not leave her for any reason but a live killing or a FBI indictment
Neither of those two are likely, so stop acting like small children. And if one does happen Sander will still get nomination, no since in being dicks now it gains you nothing besides looking like crybabies
senz
(11,945 posts)Beacool
(30,247 posts)I wonder if they even realize how offensive they are. Obama was a hair ahead of Hillary in 2008 on both metrics: pledged delegates and the popular vote. Yet, no one in the party would have dared to take the nomination away from the first AA candidate to have finished the primary process in the lead.
Hillary has triple Obama's pledged delegate advantage and over 3M more votes than Sanders, but some people here act as if it's OK to deny that she's the clear winner. Yes, let's not nominate the first woman in history to have won the primaries, and who has done so by a wide margin.
Beacool
(30,247 posts)sister_rosa_refried
(447 posts)Good DAY Madam!
baldguy
(36,649 posts)and your own link shows she has 2,777 Total Delegates.
senz
(11,945 posts)baldguy
(36,649 posts)Stop lying.
senz
(11,945 posts)anytime before then.
And don't be calling me a liar.
baldguy
(36,649 posts)Stop lying.
senz
(11,945 posts)Since you have so much spare time, read this too:
http://usuncut.com/politics/superdelegates-robbed-voters-primary/
baldguy
(36,649 posts)You've got less than a week, then your time is up.
senz
(11,945 posts)and threatening little old ladies.
Whatever does it for you, honey.
Lord Magus
(1,999 posts)It's called not lying.
senz
(11,945 posts)And if you think that's a lie, then you aren't very well informed.
caquillo
(521 posts)The difference between the two is that pledged delegates are won in caucases/primaries, and those delegates are bound (or pledged) to that particular candidate. On the other hand, unpledged delegates (aka superdelegates) are made up of former presidents, senators, party leaders, etc. who can pledge whenever they please. But neither officially votes until the convention. Hillary currently has 574 superdelegates who have pledged support to her, and Sanders has 45. Pundits and news outlets count them in the overall tally, because these superdelegates have already pledged their support to either candidate.
Once again, Hillary doesn't need exactly 2,383 pledged delegates to clinch the nomination. She just needs a majority of pledged delegates, which is 2,026. Before Tuesday, she had 1,812 pledged delegates. She just needed 214 pledged delegates to reach a majority of 2026, which she did and now has 2,203.
One last time, the superdelegates WILL NOT switch sides now, especially since Hillary has won the majority of pledged delegates, popular vote, and contests/states won. The supers have never gone against the will of the people, and they're not going to start now, considering that Hillary has been a Democrat for nearly b50 years and has proven her worth and loyalty to the party. On the other hands, Sanders has only been a Democrat for one year, since he decided to co-opt the party's infrastructure to launch his presidential campaign. But before, he'd always been very critical -- even harsh -- toward the party and has continued to be during the last months of his campaign. That's why it's lunacy to believe that these party leaders will ditch the longtime Democrat who has won by every metric in order to appease the outsider who is losing badly and who has had nothing but bad things to say about the Democratic Party.
StevieM
(10,500 posts)Neither is going to happen. She won the most votes and the most delegates. She will be the nominee.
lancer78
(1,495 posts)senz
(11,945 posts)-- which neither candidate does and neither candidate will (because it is so close) -- then the SD vote at the convention will decide it.
I know you want her to have already won, but she hasn't.
So just be patient, enjoy the summer, and July 25 will be here before you know it.
lancer78
(1,495 posts)the result of the vote is not in doubt. The electoral college does not meet until the end of December, but we know who the president will be after November 8th (2000 being the exception).
senz
(11,945 posts)If you don't like it, take it up with the rules committee of the DNC.
Number23
(24,544 posts)Will you PLEASE stop filling up this forum with this nonsense?!! Why don't you READ instead of arguing with everyone because you are wrong about everything!
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/us/elections/primary-calendar-and-results.html?_r=0
lancer78
(1,495 posts)pledged delegates over 50% of the pledged delegates. Sanders could "flip" 380 super-delegates and he would still lose.
It is finished unless something unexpected happens to Clinton.
midnight
(26,624 posts)Response to LiberalElite (Original post)
rjsquirrel This message was self-deleted by its author.
Stuckinthebush
(10,844 posts)Jesus H keerist in a pickle jar. I swear that this forum gets nuttier and nuttier every time I visit. You just have to chuckle at the ridiculous antics. Bless their hearts!
dlwickham
(3,316 posts)Ace Rothstein
(3,161 posts)Can't tell.