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Clinton 44%, Trump 34% (Ipsos/Reuters (Web) 6/18-6/22) (Original Post) Dem2 Jun 2016 OP
Is there any way we can make this +67? ffr Jun 2016 #1
Those are great numbers! Spazito Jun 2016 #2
Hillary's favorable/unfavorable getting better! BootinUp Jun 2016 #3
Chuckle: Americans Identifying as Republican Down to 23% Stallion Jun 2016 #4
Democrats up to 40%, Independents down to 27%. TwilightZone Jun 2016 #14
I want the House. onehandle Jun 2016 #5
And crushed oswaldactedalone Jun 2016 #6
Like freeking cockroaches! leftofcool Jun 2016 #8
Still to early to draw conclusions...wait until August when both nominees are locked in. brooklynite Jun 2016 #7
Agreed. TwilightZone Jun 2016 #9
agreed. I am happy about down ballot chances of course. Bucky Jun 2016 #12
Quite possibly a landslide CobaltBlue Jun 2016 #10
44%? WTF? Bucky Jun 2016 #11
Like it or not, too many people keep electing lazy-ass, do-nothing GOP-ers. Go figure. randome Jun 2016 #13

ffr

(22,669 posts)
1. Is there any way we can make this +67?
Thu Jun 23, 2016, 11:18 AM
Jun 2016

I'd like to be a part of making that happen, so I can pop the champagne bottle when news breaks that every GOP up for re-election was defeated.

GOP OUT!

Stallion

(6,474 posts)
4. Chuckle: Americans Identifying as Republican Down to 23%
Thu Jun 23, 2016, 11:22 AM
Jun 2016

being called a Republican is almost a slur these days-that's sounds like what you'd expect after the Great Depression

That's a historically very low number

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/party-identification

TwilightZone

(25,467 posts)
14. Democrats up to 40%, Independents down to 27%.
Thu Jun 23, 2016, 07:42 PM
Jun 2016

With those numbers, it's not surprising that Dems have a big lead in the generic House numbers.

Bucky

(53,998 posts)
12. agreed. I am happy about down ballot chances of course.
Thu Jun 23, 2016, 07:12 PM
Jun 2016

but the weakness at the top of the ticket still concerns me

 

CobaltBlue

(1,122 posts)
10. Quite possibly a landslide
Thu Jun 23, 2016, 06:24 PM
Jun 2016

Over 2008 and 2012, the average number of votes cast nationwide for president of the United States were approximately 130 million.

A +14 margin means winning by about 18.2 million raw votes.

In 2012, Barack Obama was re-elected by about 5 million votes and a margin of +3.86. (There were about 129 million presidential votes cast.)

This +14 suggests a Democratic shift of +10 percentage points from a gain of around 13 million more votes nationwide.

This +14 suggests we may be in for a 2016 Democratic presidential-winning landslide quite possibly on the scale of 400 electoral votes. That has not happened since Republican George Bush won 40 states and 426 electoral votes in 1988. On the Democratic side, the last was Lyndon Johnson having won 44 states (plus District of Columbia) and 486 electoral votes in 1964.

It will be interesting to see if this level of a polling margin is maintained over the next four-plus months. What makes that possible is the comparison of R-vs.-D and whose nominee does a better job of holding same-party support with those reported exit polls—nationwide and state-by-state—come Election Night. (That would also reveal which party is gaining more crossover voters. I tend to think the self-identifying “independent” voters will likely carry for the presidential winner as well.)

Bucky

(53,998 posts)
11. 44%? WTF?
Thu Jun 23, 2016, 07:11 PM
Jun 2016

sorry, but that's unacceptable. We should not be depending that heavily on Trump being unpopular

I am not pleased with my Democratic party's performance right now

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