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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWho will win the presidency? (FiveThirtyEight.com)
Chance of winning
Hillary Clinton
80.6%
Donald Trump
19.3%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
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Who will win the presidency? (FiveThirtyEight.com) (Original Post)
workinclasszero
Jun 2016
OP
UMTerp01
(1,048 posts)1. Thats not what the media wants to hear
They want this to be a tight race so that they can keep up the ratings. Other people want it to be a tight race and I think actually want Trump to win so they can say "Told you Bernie would've been better"
Lil Missy
(17,865 posts)2. I was told on DU that Hillary couldn't possibly beat Trump. Who to believe?
Doctor Jack
(3,072 posts)3. Nate Silver did get 1 primary prediction wrong
He calls thousands of races with extreme accuracy but he got one wrong. That means he is a total joke, according to some.
AgadorSparticus
(7,963 posts)4. Whoa! I can dig those numbers! Nice.