2016 Postmortem

triron

(21,994 posts) Mon Oct 3, 2016, 12:24 PM Oct 2016

new Virginia poll HRC +7 (5-way)

http://cnu.edu/cpp/pdf/oct%203%202016%20report-final.pdf

Clinton gains among millennials.

5 replies

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***new Virginia poll HRC +7 (5-way)*** (Original Post) triron Oct 2016 OP

McMullen is starting to out-poll Stein bluestateguy Oct 2016 #1

I have a feeling that McMullen may continue to gain support. progressoid Oct 2016 #2

With this poll and the CO poll basically putting the states out of reach in 35 ish days.... SaschaHM Oct 2016 #3

There it is, right there... our baseline. NT Adrahil Oct 2016 #4

She's going to win Nevada and most likely Florida. Arkana Oct 2016 #5

bluestateguy

(44,173 posts)

1. McMullen is starting to out-poll Stein

Reply to triron (Original post)

Mon Oct 3, 2016, 12:36 PM

Oct 2016

Stein draws from Hillary. Johnson draws evenly from both (though that may vary in different states). McMullen draws from Trump.

I think McMullen is on the ballot in 31 states.

progressoid

(49,969 posts)

2. I have a feeling that McMullen may continue to gain support.

Reply to bluestateguy (Reply #1)

Mon Oct 3, 2016, 01:19 PM

Oct 2016

While Stein and Johnson fade a bit.

SaschaHM

(2,897 posts)

3. With this poll and the CO poll basically putting the states out of reach in 35 ish days....

Reply to triron (Original post)

Mon Oct 3, 2016, 01:23 PM

Oct 2016

Even ceding OH/NV/FL/NC to Trump (which the Dems aren't doing) would mean that he lost.

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)

4. There it is, right there... our baseline. NT

Reply to SaschaHM (Reply #3)

Mon Oct 3, 2016, 01:44 PM

Oct 2016

Arkana

(24,347 posts)

5. She's going to win Nevada and most likely Florida.

Reply to SaschaHM (Reply #3)

Mon Oct 3, 2016, 02:23 PM

Oct 2016

I would cede Iowa to Trump--it just doesn't look like it's in the cards this time--but I'd fight tooth and nail for North Carolina.

Ohio...Ohio I have no idea. It's going to be on turnout I guess.

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