Ohio just went blue in 538 "now" score.

[LAS14]

[Democrats Ascendant]

1. Yes!!!!!!!

[Mamajami]

23. What the hell is up in Ohio?

I just heard on the radio that Trump was up in Ohio by 7 its???

I called my cousin to ask what was up and he told me not to believe it. He doesn't know anyone he works with (large insurance firm) or anyone in his neighborhood in Cleveland who is a Trump supporter.

That said, I worry about the bull crap that could be going on behind the scenes. Someone is lying.
What this means to me is that Ohio need folks on the ground to really be poll watchers and any machines need to really examined.

[SleeplessinSoCal]

32. Gary Kasparov on ABC yesterday says Putin hacking voter databases in swing states

Cyber War is a kind of war we've never experienced, but have prepared for. But who will win?

http://abcnews.go.com/ThisWeek/video/richard-clarke-retaliation-russia-lead-cyber-war-42513517

[mainstreetonce]

2. Hillary is giving a great speech on taxes

In Toledo right now.

[annabanana]

5. really really good one

enjoying it

[LenaBaby61]

11. Hillary is giving a great speech on taxes.

She's tearing it UP for sure mainstreetonce

[tavernier]

15. And even Fox is carrying it!!

I had to peek

[Adrahil]

48. And if she doesn't mention Trump...

It'll get no coverage.

[Farmgirl1961]

3. it doesn't yet show up in the "polls only" forecast

I'm sure that someone has already answer this question...but which of the forecasts is "most accurate"? Polls-plus, polls only or now forecast?

[bluestateguy]

4. I she can move her national lead to at least 4 pts, that should be enough for Ohio

And 5 or 6 would definitely cinch Ohio.

[geek tragedy]

6. were there any actual Ohio polls, or is this being driven by national #s? nt

[LAS14]

8. You can click on the state to see what's behind the predictions.

[geek tragedy]

10. yeah, but that requires effort and stuff (it's just national #s, btw--

almost all the polls listed show Trump ahead)

[TeamPooka]

7. GOTV!!!!

[ffr]

34. I am. I am, brother!

HFA volunteer for over a month now and working every night of the week.

We're going to deliver Nevada for Hillary.

[Joe941]

9. Then we know florida...

is in the bag as well!

[Buckeye_Democrat]

12. I still don't see any new Ohio polls.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/ohio/#now

EDIT: I certainly don't mind the forecast, though! The only post-debate poll that I saw (not from the 538 site) was from Cuyahoga County in which Clinton gained 3% on Trump there. If she made similar gains statewide, then she'd probably have the lead indeed.

[molova]

13. If Trump keeps screwing up, I can see Alaska blue soon

LOL.

[GoCubsGo]

14. I think it will get even bluer once the LeBron effect kicks in.

I am guessing this poll was taken before his endorsement.

[onehandle]

16. He cannot win in any scenario without Pennsylvania. We will win it all here. nt

[Farmgirl1961]

17. I am seeing great polling numbers today for Hillary Clinton (!!!!!!!)

and we see Donald Trump digging his hole bigger and bigger. We all hope he digs such a deep hole that it is impossible for him to get out.

But I want to caution all of us, including myself, from taking a celebratory lap too early. We have over a month to go before election day and who knows what kind of chaos and crap could occur that day. Let's keep making sure we have Hillary's back, as well as all the Democrats up and down the ticket and save our celebrations for after the election.

But having said that... a little clapping is in order.

[book_worm]

18. Probably not for long with today's Quinnipiac Poll giving Trump a 5-pt lead.

[geek tragedy]

21. back to red.

The only thing that's indicated Clinton has a shot in Ohio is David Plouffe saying so. Every single public poll shows Trump ahead there.

[Coolest Ranger]

19. Don't celebrate just yet

please show up in force on election day

[George II]

20. Do you mean Florida? All three categories* still show Trump with a tiny lead.

*Polls Only, Polls Plus, Now Cast

[geek tragedy]

22. they had leaning blue before the Ohio poll dropped today, due to national numbers.

their model hasn't quite processed that Ohio has joined Missouri as a hood ornament for Democrats instead of being a swing state

[LAS14]

26. No, I meant Ohio. It came. It went.

[George II]

27. Still VERY close though, could go either way.

[Scurrilous]

24. K & R

[rivegauche]

25. Good. I hope they can hold it. nt

[zenabby]

28. Waiting for OH, AZ and GA to go blue

It will happen before election day!

[Cryptoad]

29. We've got em on grouind,,,,

with our foot on their throat..... dont let up.... keep throwing the coal to it,,,,, we got to get teh senate back!

[TonyPDX]

30. John Boehner just ordered another double.

[ghurley]

31. Showing red now... but North Carolina is blue in all 3 forecasts!!! n/t

[greatlaurel]

33. We need to get the vote out here in Ohio! GOTV!

GOTV!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Ohio is being set up for voter fraud. Jon Husted is trying to keep the feds out of Ohio to prevent hacking of the results. We need poll watchers and people to get out the vote.

Come to Ohio to help if you can. Phone banking from your home if you cannot come. Ohio is being set up to have our votes stolen. Also, the Koch brothers have put in a lot of advertising dollars to keep the job killer, Rob Portman, in the Senate. The lying media ads have hurt Strickland. We need progressive money here to correct the record, now.

Ohioans were backing Strickland for Senate until the progressive medias ads stopped and the Koch money came pouring in. Strickland is a plain spoken guy and a lot of the Democratic money people do not care for him. This bias against a son of Appalachia is hurting the Democratic Party and the nation by not backing a solid Democratic vote in the Senate.

[PoindexterOglethorpe]

35. While that's nice,

the election is five weeks away, and at the moment the polls and polls plus forecasts both show Trump with a pretty good chance of winning.

[RBInMaine]

38. So are you rooting for the insane monster who is Trump? If so, you may be in the wrong arena.

[samplegirl]

36. Very few Hillary signs in Ohio

I a sick about it! I am beginning to think that Ohio is no smarter since the Bush years and was hit so hard by it all!

[LAS14]

37. It's flipped back to blue again!

[colsohlibgal]

39. It Had Better Stay Blue

I'll do my part in a C-Bus suburb. That this has been remotely close is an embarrassment.

I was a Bernie gal but now I'm all in on Hillary, hoping Bernie's nudging her further left takes.

This clown cannot be allowed near the nuclear codes. You people thinking about voting Libertarian need to take a closer look. I'm with them on Pot and the security state but the rest of their platform is nuts. The old joke about them being republicans who want to smoke dope isn't far from the truth.

[George II]

40. The good thing about this is now the three numbers are up around 70% again or higher:

These are not poll results, but probabilities of wins:

Polls Only - 68.7% to 31.3%
Polls Plus - 71.8% to 28.2%
Now Cast - 79.6% to 20.4%

[NoGoodNamesLeft]

41. On the "Now" page Iowa is close to switching, too

Another couple of days...

[George II]

42. Now cast has Clinton up again, 52-48.

[George II]

43. And now red (actually pink) again - gone back and for four or five times since Saturday

[LAS14]

44. Now: Clinton 51.6, Trump 48.4. I'm getting whiplash.

[George II]

45. Hate to keep doing this, but now (as of an hour ago) Ohio and Florida are blue again.

I guess we'll know for sure sometime on the night of November 8!!!

[LAS14]

46. Polls only is now blue!

[George II]

47. All three categories on 538 now have Clinton over 300 Electoral Votes.

[George II]

49. Nationally all three numbers are above 80% probability, and Ohio has been "blue" since the weekend..

...two of those numbers are now above 60% probability, too.

And, Polls Plus, Polls Only, and Now-Cast have Clinton getting more than 300 Electoral votes.