Monmouth: Clinton leads by 10(!!) 50-40 in Pennsylvania (Senate race tied)

[geek tragedy]

http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_PA_100416/

West Long Branch, NJ - Pennsylvania is looking good for Hillary Clinton, driven by gains among white women voters, according to the Monmouth University Poll . She currently has a 10 point lead over Donald Trump, similar to her 8 point lead in August. The race for U.S. Senate between Democratic challenger Katie McGinty and GOP incumbent Pat Toomey is currently tied. McGinty had a 4 point lead just over a month ago.

Among Keystone State voters likely to cast ballots in November's presidential election, 50% currently support Clinton and 40% back Trump. Another 5% intend to vote for Libertarian Gary Johnson, 2% back Jill Stein of the Green Party, and 2% are undecided. In late August, Clinton led Trump by 48% to 40%.

The Republican nominee's support has slipped among white voters in the Keystone State, who are now divided 46% for Clinton and 45% for Trump. In August, they gave Trump a 48% to 39% edge. This is mainly driven by a swing among white women - who currently support Clinton by a 55% to 35% margin. Just over a month ago, they were divided at 46% for Clinton and 45% for Trump. White men continue to back Trump - 57% to 35% for Clinton - compared with 50% to 32% in late August.

"Clinton has been blanketing the Pennsylvania airwaves with ads that highlight Trump's controversial statements, particularly about women. They appear to have had an impact," said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.

Significantly more Democrats support Clinton (90%) than Republicans who back Trump (75%). That marks a 4 point gain in partisan support for Clinton and a 6 point loss in partisan support for Trump since August. Independents remain divided at 43% for Trump and 38% for Clinton, with 13% supporting Johnson and 5% supporting Stein. Monmouth's prior poll put independent support at Trump 39%, Clinton 36%, Johnson 17%, and Stein 2%.

[apcalc]

1. I am regaining my hope for my state.

[BlueInPhilly]

5. I never lost it N/T

[Funtatlaguy]

2. Let's go Katie!!!!!!!

She may hold the key to us taking back the Senate.
Come on Penn Dems, work ur tails off to elect her!!!!!!!!!!!

[Wounded Bear]

3. Love that 50% number...

if we could do that nation wide, it's in "mandate" territory, and I hope they push that meme like Dubya did.

[thucythucy]

4. Absolutely.

I'm hoping by November to see fifty percent or more all across the country, third and fourth party candidates or not.

[alcibiades_mystery]

6. You were saying...

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12512447975#post8

"Clinton has been blanketing the Pennsylvania airwaves with ads that highlight Trump's controversial statements, particularly about women. They appear to have had an impact," said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.

[geek tragedy]

8. it's hard to say, there are so very many reasons why Clinton would/should be leading with that demo

For one, stuff that Trump himself has said.

I'm still mystified at the disconnect between PA and OH polling. They're usually not more than 3 points apart.

[R B Garr]

7. K&R!

[crazylikafox]

9. Given this huge lead for Clinton, why is Toomey polling so well?

Doesn't make sense unless there's a ton of money from out-of-state being thrown his way.

[geek tragedy]

10. incumbent, but seems unusually high # of

ticket splitters. Not where he wants to be given who has the better GOTV operation in that state

[Cosmocat]

12. This is the only poll showing this

That i have seen. All other polls with this kind of margin for Hill shows about half that lead for mcginty.

[riversedge]

11. K and R.--and steady as she goes