Arizona just flipped to light blue on 538 Now-Cast

[yellowcanine]

There still seems to be room for Clinton's support to grow in many of these battleground states.

[TRUMP-BS-DETECTOR]

1. Crazy

That's insane that Arizona is in play.

[Cracklin Charlie]

2. Have you ever seen such a thing?

Will our first female president be elected in a landslide?

I know she will win, but these polls are beyond my wildest dreams!

[LongtimeAZDem]

5. It's probably not

Despite polls, the likelihood that Democratic voters will turn out in enough numbers to flip the state is extremely remote.

[bbrady42]

6. Sadly true.

I'll believe it when I see it on Nov 9th, no matter what the polls here say prior.

But I will say that I haven't seen a single Trump yard sign in my usually conservative neighborhood. Not even from the people on the corner who always have one for the farthest right wing local candidate.

[TexasBushwhacker]

7. Arizona is about 30% Latino

And Trump has been a very good motivator for Latino voter registration.

[LonePirate]

8. I think Trump will be lucky to win 20% of the Latino vote.

I think Clinton has a decent chance of winning AZ, especially if Trump continues to drop like a rock among women and college educated white voters.

[LongtimeAZDem]

9. SB1070 was also a good motivator for Latino registration, but they didn't actually show up and vote

I hope I'm wrong, obviously, but I'm not going to hold my breath.

[Renew Deal]

10. Wouldn't part of it be Republicans not voting for Trump

And Hillary winning indies?

[LongtimeAZDem]

12. I really doubt that Clinton will win the indies here

Frankly, if it weren't for Johnson, she might be doing better in AZ; as it is, the only poll with her in the lead has her up by only 2 points with a 3.9% MOE. That's just not enough to break the Sun City/Mormon vote.

[yellowcanine]

11. Trump is spending time there though and that is time not in Pennsylvania, Ohio, and North Carolina.

[lamp_shade]

3. I noted also that Iowa is blue in pollsonly as well as nowcast.

Nice.

[Norbert]

4. Ohio "Now-cast" at 59.4% HRC

Now who said Ohio is red?