BREAKING: Trump campaign canceling ad buys in critical swing States

[brooklynite]

Maggie Haberman ‏@maggieNYT 11 minutes ago Manhattan, NY
Trump campaign is canceling hundreds of thousands of dollars in advertising in Fla, NC, OH, possibly other states, per two buying sources.

Overconfidence or hopelessness?

[Renew Deal]

1. Broke?

[ChairmanAgnostic]

2. greed

he is searching for a way to declare that money as a gift or non-taxable donation to his favorite charity - him.

[Renew Deal]

11. You're probably right

[Hortensis]

19. Could be. And/or maybe a promised donor backed out.

Trump undoubtedly wants to keep enough in the kitty to reimburse his own invoices to the campaign, including profit, in full.

[rsdsharp]

39. It's hard to tell from the OP

whether he has cancelled buys he originally intended to make, or whether he's cancelling buys already made. If it's the former it could be a lack of money. But if it's the latter, radio and TV stations require political money to be paid up front before airing the spots. If the buy is cancelled, he would get a refund, although probably not 100%. The closer to the election the cancellation occurs, the smaller the refund, in all probability.

[Hassin Bin Sober]

43. Maybe he wants to save the cash to pay back money he loaned his campaign.

With all the bluster from him about how he was self financing didn't it turn out he was structuring the "self financing" as loans?

It's not like anybody will hold fundraisers to retire his debt.

He can pay himself back and stiff any vendors or employees left holding the bag. As per fucking usual.

[Eleanors38]

82. Well, there is MSM's alert and dutiful coverage of the issues.

[ChairmanAgnostic]

3. question - how reliable of a source is Maggie?

I am not familiar with her.

[PasadenaTrudy]

17. She writes

for the NY Times, as a political correspondent.

[ChairmanAgnostic]

24. I get it every sunday, and read the E-version daily

How come I missed her? Hmm.

Thank you.

[Jason1961]

4. Giving up

It looks to me as though he's recognizing that he made another bad investment and is cutting costs.

He's probably going to funnel his campaign money into his own wallet again.

It's just another good sign for us.

[underpants]

5. Smart. Very smart. Many people are saying it. Those states aren't that important

[Lucinda]

23. LOL

[NewJeffCT]

25. That's awesome

I hope somebody asks him about Sean Hannity on Sunday night.

[VWolf]

63. Reminds me of a line from This is Spinal Tap

"We had to cancel a couple of tour dates in Boston. Don't worry, it's not a big college town."

[Eleanors38]

83. Ha!

[Cary]

6. Incompetence

[Tactical Peek]

7. Weak.

Remember, it's not his money. And the RNC has people who know how to read a poll who realize helping Trump is money down the drain, so they want it for Senate candidates and such.

Sad.

[underpants]

36. Not questioning you but if so it's Dole in 1996 all over again

Haley Barbour (I think) realized that Dole was a lost cause so the party bailed on him.

[Rex]

8. Sure, why waste money on a hopeless run.

He already knows he has no chance in hell.

[rumdude]

9. He's going to keep the money

Anyone who donated to the Trump campaign is a fool.

[NewJeffCT]

30. Yes, I believe you are correct

He wants to keep as much to himself as possible. Why spend a few million dollars on advertisements when he can keep it an line his own pockets? Maybe instead of 6 foot portrait of himself, he can get a 12 foot one now? And, a statue of himself in the courtyard of Mar A Lago.

[AmericanMan1958]

41. Taking the Money and Run

It is what he is best at doing!

[Cosmocat]

60. Who in their right mind

From day one would not know, for a fact, this carpet bagging pos was going come out of this having somehow MADE MONEY off of it.

[Iliyah]

10. Relying on Russian hackers

[Eleanors38]

84. Yeah, I was wondering when his donors would start complaining.

[uponit7771]

12. HE'S KEEPING THE DONATION MONEY !!! He'll find a way to grift the money for personal use

[yellowcanine]

75. yep.

[Gothmog]

13. Trump is not doing that well in fundraising and Trump will not put enough money into the campaign

[NewJeffCT]

28. Trump claimed he forgave his loan to his campaign

in May or June, I believe. However, the initial filing did not have evidence of that forgiveness. Did he ever actually do it?

[Gothmog]

57. Trump considers biggest donation yet to his own campaign

Last week there was a story on politico about trump making a large additional contribution to the campaign in order to be competitive and to purchase $140 million in TV ads for the last month of the campaign http://www.politico.com/story/2016/09/donald-trump-campaign-self-fund-228801

Donald Trump’s aides are discussing the possibility of asking him to write his biggest check yet to his own campaign to fund an ad blitz, and the billionaire candidate is open to the possibility, according to three people close to the nominee.
While Trump’s campaign has experienced a surge in small-dollar fundraising this month that could make an infusion of personal cash unnecessary, major Republican donors are nervous after a rocky first debate against Hillary Clinton and could ramp up pressure on their nominee to invest in the air war.

Trump’s campaign last week said that it was planning a $140-million television and digital advertising push between this week and Election Day, in an effort to cut into the massive advertising advantage enjoyed by Clinton.
Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/09/donald-trump-campaign-self-fund-228801#ixzz4MQa5kmH7
Follow us: @politico on Twitter | Politico on Facebook

That additional campaign contribution is evidently not happening and so the campaign is cancelling advertising commitments

[TSIAS]

14. Hard to tell

It's not as if he is allowed to keep the money he raised, so it wouldn't appear to be a result of being cheap.

If true, this is really bad news for Trump. These states were supposed to be close, and there's no way he wins without winning all of them.

[duncang]

80. He can keep the money raised for his campaign. A lot of people keep it for future runs.

After the election he can pull money from it. Just by saying he is doing feasibility studies in different states. Possibly paying for expenses out of the campaign money. He may even be able to pull some out saying he uses his office at trump towers part time for the same thing.

[Binkie The Clown]

15. And he's running TV ads here in Oregon. Go figure. n/t

[Coolie_J]

16. He knows he's going to lose...

that's why he's doing this. lol.

[Doctor Jack]

18. Is the RNC writing him off and using the money for other races?

A lot of that money is theirs . Maybe they are giving up on him and trying to shore up money for down ticket races? They did it to dole in 1996

[okwmember]

20. Works for me.

Being inundated by political ads is definitely a con of living in a swing state.

[Tess49]

21. And, yet, his ads are playing in Oklahoma. Reddest of the red. nt

[get the red out]

32. I saw one last night here in Kentucky

This state is horrifically red too.

[Tess49]

78. Makes no sense. It's not as if he's at risk of losing here. n/t

[GoCubsGo]

22. He's letting the PACs spend the money.

I get my TV out of Georgia. Some PAC has been constantly running a couple of really nasty anti-Hillary ads for the past few days. One of them likens her to Richard Nixon, which I find pretty hilarious. Hey, assholes. Wrong candidate. (Yes. I know it's just typical right-wing projection.)

I would guess that the Trump campaign is probably low on money, and is saving what little they have for the week or two before the election.

[apcalc]

26. My bet is that he's keeping the money to pay himself.

[Cosmocat]

61. Damn straight he is

No doubt, none.

[Major Nikon]

27. Clinton has to win one of the tossups to win the election

...but Trump has to win all of them.


http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/here-s-nbc-s-new-battleground-map-n661691

[Stubborn]

29. LOL. New Hampshire is not, and has never been, a tossup.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/new-hampshire/

[Major Nikon]

81. From your own source...

Suffolk University/Boston Globe Poll Shows Statistical Dead Heat in N.H., with 2-Point Advantage for Clinton

October 6, 2016

Democrat Hillary Clinton (44 percent) leads Republican Donald Trump (42 percent) in a Suffolk University/Boston Globe poll of New Hampshire voters. The 2-point margin represents a toss-up, as the results are within the poll’s statistical margin of error.

https://www.suffolk.edu/news/67699.php

[Stubborn]

90. Don't be that person.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election



http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nh/new_hampshire_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-6022.htmlforecast/new-hampshire/

She's leading by an average of 5 points and Trump hasn't led in New Hampshire since August.

[Major Nikon]

91. You do realize you are the person listing sources that are saying the same thing, yes?

Actually your source lists even more tossups than NBC (126 electoral votes vs 80), including NH which isn't surprising since RCP has a decidedly right bend.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map.html

[Coyotl]

34. All those "toss-ups" are already blue! That's an old view of this election.

Do you realize how many Trump crimes have come out since that picture was true?

We need a list of Trump's known crimes.

[womanofthehills]

40. fivethirthyeight - updated one hour ago

[Major Nikon]

87. It "came out" 4 hours before I posted it

So I'm guessing not too many.

[Coyotl]

31. Time to bank that money, Donald? The real con becomes obvious.

[dreamer67]

33. 2 thoughts

1) Trump has been raising money on line using other peoples lists and using donor banks. This is very expensive, remember Ben Carson, his fund-raising was costing him upwards of 50% of each dollar raised. So even thought he has raised a lot of money the actual net to spend is not very high.

2) Large Rallies cost a lot of money and non of it is recouped.

3) I am not sure Donald has really canceled any personal debt the campaign has to him personally.

Given the above he is smart enough to know that he is loosing and would rather hoard cash to repay himself.

The only benefit it the con is on the deplorables that are giving him the small donations.

What a shame.

[underpants]

37. WRONG

that's three thoughts

[ColemanMaskell]

35. Thank you for posting that

[Agnosticsherbet]

38. List of cancellations from her twitter feed.

:large

[lark]

47. Wow

They really valued my home city, 2nd highest amount. Weird that that they were spending so much in West Palm Beach which is reliably blue, but then he's just pure stupid. He probably thinks FL is in the bag because Voldemort told him so.

[Jim Dandy]

42. Is it RNC money?

[mcar]

44. He'll be pocketing that money

is my bet.

[BigRig]

45. Time to wrap it up...

Cash infusion complete

[lark]

46. Hip, hip, hurray!

Hopefully that includes No. Fl. so I don't have to see those lying creepy ads again.

[Botany]

48. Surrender Time?

?


I wonder how much Don the Con and Family have grifted off the top?

[grossproffit]

49. He's going full potato on RIGGED/ELECTION FRAUD/THE FIX IS IN!!!!"

[4lbs]

50. Wow. Trump is canceling ads in swing states, but continuing them in states where it is +15 or more

and pretty much guaranteed one way or the other.

Smart!

Genius!

Why can't the GOP run every campaign like this!

[workinclasszero]

51. Cutting his losses

Trump knows its over and wants to pocket all the campaign cash he can get his stubby little fingers on.

[Cryptoad]

52. with four weeks to go,,,,

even trump has know that iis all over but the whinging!

[Yavin4]

53. New Trump campaign theme song

[ailsagirl]

54. Hopelessness, methinks

[Johnny2X2X]

55. He is keeping it

Just as sure as the sky is blue Trump will keep that money. And not just by paying outrageous prices for services to his companies. He's going to try to pocket $tens of millions, I guarantee it. You can see the greed in his eyes, he's like the gold miner in bugs bunny, "mine, all mine, it's mine l, all mine!" He will falsify spending records, filter the money through a dozen paths on paper and in the end he will keep most of it. And just as sure as that, he will brag about making money running for President.

[bigbrother05]

59. What he can't personally pocket he'll use to payoff pols

He always bragged how he used donations to insure he got what he wanted. Campaigns can use left over funds to contribute to other campaigns. Bet he uses remaining funds for politicians in locations he needs favorable zoning/tax rulings.

[Johnny2X2X]

64. Probably some of it

But I tell you, that guy is keeping a lot midnight money. It will be illegal, but he will keep it for himself. This is a guy who settled lawsuits against him with donations intended for charity, he's not going to let go of that money.

[Helen Borg]

56. Or perhaps they have some kind of cheating game in place?

Hope not.

[alcibiades_mystery]

67. Who's going to help him? John Kasich?

They are going to throw all their money at Pennsylvania and hope some of the rest come through.

It's the last ditch strategy of a failing campaign.

[Helen Borg]

79. Dunno, Russian hackers?

...

[yardwork]

58. I'll bet he hasn't paid the contractors and they stopped producing ads.

The ads aren't there because nobody wants to contract with Trump anymore. He stiffs everybody.

[Eleanors38]

86. Good point. News outlets always want full, pre-paid media buys.

[yardwork]

88. Right. And the designers of the ads probably quit.

[Retired George]

62. Trump Mysteriously Scrambles His Ad Reservations In Crucial Swing States

From HuffPo.

[elehhhhna]

65. we'd better plan on sending him flowers

Next month after he's completely destroyed the Republican Party

[bucolic_frolic]

66. Expect Blitzkrieg for debates

followed by all this money reinvested for a media blitz in late October

Gambling and desperation for sure

[remaineruk]

68. Protecting his brand. He will do anything to do that

He and his family will now concentrate on damage limitation as not just his brand but their fortune is at risk. More digging and allegations will drive their business to the ground.

Slipping away and losing will be better than fighting it out. But it may be too late for that. If he doesn't drop the rigging accusations their brand will be finished and bankrupt post election. And this will be a proper brankrupcy with no daddy to bail out. Sad.

[Bernardo de La Paz]

71. Too late. Donald J tRump's brand is now racist, bigoted, prejudiced and toxic. . . . nt

[remaineruk]

74. Yes but he doesn't think that way....he will just be thinking

About how to protect his paper (not real) bank balance. Must be bricking it

[Maru Kitteh]

69. Making TV Great Again

one market at a time

[Auggie]

70. ^^^ THREAD WINNER ^^^

[sorefeet]

72. He is going to need money for

LAWYERS FEES. He has several suits and indictments that will need quite a bit of legal services. I'm sure his kids will need some money too, for their legal fees. If the arrogant, greedy fuck never ran for president, none of his corruption would have been exposed. He cut his own throat.

[TonyPDX]

73. The writing's on the wall, right Don?

This is priceless. He knows that advertising won't translate into dollars, I mean votes, so cutting losses makes more sense.

Standby by for cries of "rigged election" in 3, 2, 1 . . .

[cwydro]

77. I've been seeing a lot of his ads here in NC.

Just recently.

Even saw a billboard for Trump/Pence in Union County today.

[Spitfire of ATJ]

85. Election Night 2012: Romney cancels all staff credit cards leaving many stranded.

[spiderpig]

89. Did he hear something was about to explode with the Access Hollywood audio?

Saving his (other people's) pennies.

[lindysalsagal]

92. Yup. The tape is released, and his campaign is over.

It remains to be seen if the RNC will insist he drop out. This may be his out. He may have had enough.