2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumIs The Republican Party Finished?
Is The Republican Party as we know it gone forever?
I'm not so sure. Every establishment Republican that abandons Trump is a step towards returning to a more traditional party. Is it too late?
If they succeed in returning to a more traditional party, will they change some of their platform...particularly in the areas of social policy? Or will they embrace a hyper-Conservatism based on the demands of their electorate?
This is why we need to have Trump stay in the race as long as possible.
P
Coyotl
(15,262 posts)the Spanish Inquisition.
WiffenPoof
(2,404 posts)...expand on this graph.
get the red out
(13,458 posts)Racism, xenophobia, homophobia, and misogyny are still alive and well, so the Republican Party will be ready to roll with a competitive candidate in 4 years. But it has changed a lot because they have coddled and enabled the lowest common denominator for so long. They shouldn't be shocked.
WiffenPoof
(2,404 posts)... It will once again be the Republican Party.
Coyotl
(15,262 posts)Silent3
(15,018 posts)Last edited Sun Oct 9, 2016, 10:24 AM - Edit history (2)
If the Republican voter base hadn't been offered Trump to appeal to their even baser instincts, that's the kind of Republican nominee we would have gotten this year. Even the so-called "moderates", like Romney supposedly was in the last election, are extremists.
Given the horrid smear campaign that's been over twenty years in the making against Hillary Clinton, she'd have had an even tougher fight against a Republican like Cruz or Pence, regardless of how far out of whack extreme conservatism is, on an issue-by-issue basis, with the American electorate. The American public unfortunately has an amazing ability to tune out and normalize how extreme the Republican party has become.
Trump will probably fracture the Republican party in the short term, but I don't think they have to ability the re-coalesce around anything else besides hyper-conservatism. Despite the wreck this presidential election is causing the Republican party for the moment, and the demographic changes that are against them in the long term, you can't deny how successful the hyper conservative formula has been for Republicans for keeping control of Congress, governorships, and state legislatures all around the country.
I think hyper-conservatism will have to suffer several years of electoral defeat before a more sane and moderate Republican party emerges.
I do consider it possible, though only remotely, that the current stresses will break the Republican party into two distinct parties, of which one or neither will inherit the "Republican" label. In the latter case, the Republican party per se will have died. But the dust will settle eventually to form an opposition party to the Democrats, whatever that party is called, and it will still take some time and a string of defeats for there to be much hope that it will be a moderate version of conservatism.
WiffenPoof
(2,404 posts)Thanx
NHDEMFORLIFE
(489 posts)After Nixon resigned I thought it might go the way of the Whigs.
Rats are tough little rodents. They seem to survive just about anything.