2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum10/11/16 Poll: Clinton Tied With Trump In UTAH, McMullin Close Behind
SALT LAKE CITY Republican Donald Trump appears to have, in his earlier words, "a tremendous problem in Utah" as a new poll shows him slipping into a dead heat with Democrat Hillary Clinton since crude comments he made about women surfaced last weekend.
And along with the billionaire businessman's sudden fall, independent candidate and BYU graduate Evan McMullin surged into a statistical tie with the two major party presidential nominees, according to survey conducted Monday and Tuesday by Salt Lake City-based Y2 Analytics.
"A third-party candidate could win Utah as Utahns settle on one," said Quin Monson, Y2 Analytics founding partner.
McMullin may well have caught lightning in a bottle.
The poll shows Clinton and Trump tied at 26 percent, McMullin with 22 percent and Libertarian Gary Johnson getting 14 percent if the election were held today. Y2 Analytics surveyed 500 likely Utah voters over landlines and cellphones Oct. 10-11 The poll has a plus or minus 4.4 percent margin of error.
http://www.deseretnews.com/article/865664606/Poll-Trump-falls-into-tie-with-Clinton-among-Utah-voters.html?pg=all
DeminPennswoods
(15,265 posts)The last polling I saw from Utah had Clinton at 24% and Trump in the high 30s, iirc. So she's polling about the same, but Trump has cratered. I won't be surprised if McMullin wins Utah or is the reason Clinton does. I could definitely see the Johnson vote moving to McMullin.
writes3000
(4,734 posts)DeminPennswoods
(15,265 posts)considering for Trump to have even the narrowest path to 270, he needs to win ALL the Romney states.
ffr
(22,665 posts)Hillary is answering them directly. Mormons are spread throughout Idaho, Nevada, & Utah.
FreeState
(10,569 posts)Wow. This paper is owned by the Church too.