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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumPoll: Trump falls into tie with Clinton among Utah voters
Deseret NewsALT LAKE CITY Republican Donald Trump appears to have, in his earlier words, "a tremendous problem in Utah" as a new poll shows him slipping into a dead heat with Democrat Hillary Clinton since crude comments he made about women surfaced last weekend.
And along with the billionaire businessman's sudden fall, independent candidate and BYU graduate Evan McMullin surged into a statistical tie with the two major party presidential nominees, according to survey conducted Monday and Tuesday by Salt Lake City-based Y2 Analytics.
"A third-party candidate could win Utah as Utahns settle on one," said Quin Monson, Y2 Analytics founding partner.
McMullin may well have caught lightning in a bottle.
The poll shows Clinton and Trump tied at 26 percent, McMullin with 22 percent and Libertarian Gary Johnson getting 14 percent if the election were held today. Y2 Analytics surveyed 500 likely Utah voters over landlines and cellphones Oct. 10-11 The poll has a plus or minus 4.4 percent margin of error.
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Poll: Trump falls into tie with Clinton among Utah voters (Original Post)
brooklynite
Oct 2016
OP
titaniumsalute
(4,742 posts)1. Hey as long as Trump DOESN'T WIN Utah I'm cool
Don't know anything about this McMullin guy but a split is great for Hillary.
underpants
(182,747 posts)2. The "UTES"?
apnu
(8,754 posts)3. This only hurts Trump.
Hillary has 900 paths to victory, losing Utah wouldn't slow her down at all. Trump, on the other hand, needs every EV possible and has only one road to victory, that's FL, PA, and OH -- all of them.