2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumLet's look at the Senate for a bit
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/senate/?ex_cid=2016-forecastWhich states do you want to see flip blue the most?
For me, its NH, IN, PA and NV. Of them, NV is a long shot, that's a pity.
Nobody is interested in talking about the Senate? Really????
Persondem
(1,936 posts)ananda
(28,834 posts).. without it turning into a rage-rant.
The Dems have really dropped the ball on this stage
of the election.
I definitely blame DWS, but I also blame Donna Brazile
and Hillary Clinton.. and I don't know who else ..
maybe everybody.
We'll be fortunate to come out 50-50. Then Tim Kaine
will have to be the tiebreaker on every fucking vote.
If not, SCOTUS goes conservative by attrition.
apnu
(8,749 posts)Why do you blame Donna Brazile and Hillary for the Democrats Senate choices. Most of those were made way back in the primary season when Hillary and Bernie were killing each other.
metroins
(2,550 posts)They all could do more.
Honestly our fundraising is lacking this cycle and the party barely pushed down ballot.
This cycle could have been ran much better throughout its entirety. At this point, with the GOP in such disarray, we should be talking a wave. We've done great dismantling the GOP but very poorly on building ourselves up.
Mc Mike
(9,111 posts)Tribalceltic
(1,000 posts)this is a pattern we need to make the rethugs ashamed to admit their party
clutterbox1830
(395 posts)If R win NV, it flips to red since it is Harry Reid seat.
Also I think NC will flip too
apnu
(8,749 posts)The trend line for Heck is not good for Democrats.
clutterbox1830
(395 posts)People need to go out and vote.
Persondem
(1,936 posts)I think that the combination of Clinton's ground game plus Trump fatigue (being nice) should tilt things 4-5% towards democrats down ballot. That might not save Strickland in OH, but it would get us wins for McGinty, Hassan, Ross, FL, NV and with IL, WI and IN result in a 2-3 seat majority.
yardwork
(61,538 posts)murielm99
(30,715 posts)She will win. Feingold in Wisconsin.
apnu
(8,749 posts)The Chicago Marathon goes by near my house, I love watching her roll by in her racing chair.
bigdarryl
(13,190 posts)The Koch Brothers are dumping million in that race.
a kennedy
(29,615 posts)Democrat Russ Feingold leads by 2 points, but Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson appears to be coming on strong in their rematch race, according to Wednesday's Marquette University Law School Poll.
Feingold was backed by 46% of likely voters, while Johnson was supported by 44%, with Libertarian Phil Anderson at 4%.
In the Sept. 21 Marquette poll, Feingold led Johnson by 5 points among likely voters in a three-way race. The former three-term U.S. senator has led in every Marquette poll since the race began, although this is the narrowest margin.
The poll results add even more drama as the race enters its critical period, with Feingold and Johnson meeting in debates Friday in Green Bay and Tuesday in Milwaukee.
With control for the U.S. Senate up for grabs, the poll results could also move more outside groups to launch ads in the state amid a shrinking map of competitive races nationally. In recent weeks, both the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee and National Republican Senatorial Committee canceled ad buys in Wisconsin.
http://www.jsonline.com/story/news/politics/elections/2016/10/12/marquette-poll-clinton-leads-trump/91896250/
can NOT afford to allow RoJo to win this seat.
riversedge
(70,077 posts)I went thru Eau Claire WI Tuesday--and saw this gigantic billboard up for Johnson. It was HUGE and had to have cost a pretty penny--it was on the Crosstown Hwy--a very busy highway.
lamp_shade
(14,816 posts)Chasing Dreams
(415 posts)apnu
(8,749 posts)bench scientist
(1,107 posts)brooklynite
(94,333 posts)Patience, grasshopper
apnu
(8,749 posts)D_Master81
(1,822 posts)just b/c i live here and see at least 1 anti-bayh ad every set of commercials, sometimes 2. 2 repub pacs, the nra and young are all airing negative ads against bayh, havent seen 1 ad saying anything about what young has done in congress or wants to do. i thought bayh was a sure in but it must be close with the overwhelming amount of $$$ the repubs are spending on it.
Tarc
(10,472 posts)In another era, she could have been a decent Republican to work with, like an Olympia Snowe. But the Republicans of today, as long as they rely on the hateful tea party wing to keep their majority, need to all be kicked to the curb.
We need to get Grassley of there! He's 83 freaking years old. He will be 89 when his term is up. Between him, breadbag Ernst and Braindead this state has gone to hell in a handbasket!
ibegurpard
(16,685 posts)It would be a retention. Losing it would mean we'd have even more ground to make up.
JCMach1
(27,553 posts)AND gives us the House. Polls will not reflect this much...