New Nevada poll (PPP): Clinton 47 - Trump 43, Masto 43 - Heck 39
A new Public Policy Polling survey of likely voters in Nevada finds Catherine Cortez Masto with her biggest lead in the race to date. Shes at 43% to 39% for Joe Heck.
Hecks disavowal of Donald Trump is hurting him in the race. 34% of voters say that makes them less likely to vote for Heck, compared to only 19% who say it makes them more likely to support him. Among Trump voters, 48% say Hecks statement makes them less likely to vote for him.
You can see the negative impact of Hecks new stance on Trump in his numbers among Republicans. In our tracking last week Heck was already under performing within his own party, winning only 76-13. This week hes fallen even further to having just a 70-15 advantage among voters of his own party.
The impact on Hecks favorability rating with GOP voters is even more pronounced, dropping from 71/19 to 63/25. Cortez Masto now has a net favorability rating 7 points better than Hecks with the overall electorate.
Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by an identical 4 point margin to Cortez Mastos lead, at 47/43. This is the first time weve found Clinton and Cortez Masto polling on par with each other in our Nevada tracking.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NV_101216.pdf
If this holds, Senate control is virtually guaranteed. We'll need four pickups; we currently have WI, IL, IN, and likely PA and NH.