PPP: HRC leads by 4 in Nevada as does Cortez-Masto (D) in Senate Race

[WI_DEM]

Nevada Republicans Abandon Heck For Abandoning Trump

A new Public Policy Polling survey of likely voters in Nevada finds Catherine Cortez Masto with her biggest lead in the race to date. She’s at 43% to 39% for Joe Heck.

Heck’s disavowal of Donald Trump is hurting him in the race. 34% of voters say that makes them less likely to vote for Heck, compared to only 19% who say it makes them more likely to support him. Among Trump voters, 48% say Heck’s statement makes them less likely to vote for him.

You can see the negative impact of Heck’s new stance on Trump in his numbers among Republicans. In our tracking last week Heck was already under performing within his own party, winning only 76-13. This week he’s fallen even further to having just a 70-15 advantage among voters of his own party.

The impact on Heck’s favorability rating with GOP voters is even more pronounced, dropping from 71/19 to 63/25. Cortez Masto now has a net favorability rating 7 points better than Heck’s with the overall electorate.

Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by an identical 4 point margin to Cortez Masto’s lead, at 47/43. This is the first time we’ve found Clinton and Cortez Masto polling on par with each other in our Nevada tracking.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2016/10/nevada-republicans-abandon-heck-for-abandoning-trump.html

Public Policy Polling surveyed 986 likely voters, on behalf of Catherine Cortez Masto for Senate, on October 10th and 11th. The margin of error is +/-3.1%. 80% of participants, selected through a list based sample, responded via the phone, while 20% of respondents who did not have landlines conducted the survey over the internet through an opt-in internet panel

[Thrill]

1. I don't understand why he does so good out there

[aaaaaa5a]

2. That is a real good number for HRC

Obama greatly over performed his Nevada polling in 2008 and 2012.

Harry Reid over performed his polling in 2010. (He was trailing going into election day)

Hispanics are historically badly underrepresented and greatly over play their status on election day in Nevada. (This is NOT true in other states.) If HRC is leading by any polling consensus on election day she will win. In fact if she is down 1-3 points on election day she likely wins. The inability to properly count and weigh hispanics in this state is that big.

If HRC is up 3 on election day, she carries the state by 6 or 7.

[oasis]

3. The heck with Heck.

[Wellstone ruled]

4. It is all about Hispanic Families being

threatened by subtle intimidation from the News Media both Print and otherwise. After the Tea Party took control of our Legislature, with the help of the Koch Bros.and Sheldon Adelson,many simply stayed home out of fear of some action against them. We in the Democratic Party have been doing out reach and assuring all people of Color that we have your back.