Charlie Cook: This election is over.

[RandySF]

Cook has a reputation for cautious, non-partisan analysis, and he’s frequently consulted by both political parties.
His call on the presidential race late Thursday night caused an immediate stir on social media.

Asked by The Hill to explain what it was about the Oct. 13 Fox News poll that caused him to declare the race over, Cook said it was a number of factors.

“Poll was devastating for Trump, from start to finish,” Cook said via email on Friday.

“Trial heats, favorable/unfavorable, candidate attributes, trust on handling issues, role model for children — all horrific for Trump.”

The Fox News poll, conducted by telephone with live interviewers, sampled the opinions of 1,006 registered voters nationwide from Monday through Wednesday.

The poll shows support for the Republican nominee cratering.


http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/301082-respected-election-handicapper-calls-election-for-hillary

[still_one]

1. Only if we get out the vote

[Divine Discontent]

17. right. He doesn't LOSE because of a poll...

he loses from votes for Hillary, and his side not voting!

[saltpoint]

2. 'Horrific' works for me. Trump is not

being smeared by anyone except himself. He's blaming everybody else he can think of, but his polling is tanking and he's taken to vandalizing teleprompters.

[lonestarnot]

3. LOL and he has no intention of paying for the damages! He'll file bkr first.

[saltpoint]

4. Yep. Or he could insist that the Mexicans

pay for the teleprompters. Or Lester Holt.

He has several options, actually.

Lester Holt: "I'm not paying for the fucking teleprompters!"

[lonestarnot]

5. OMG, how many more days of this comedy?

[saltpoint]

6. I hope it's a landslide election, lonestarnot.

Over a certain threshold -- 8 percent? 9 percent? -- between Hillary's popular vote total and Trump's, we get both the House and the Senate.

That would make for a very fine evening.

[lonestarnot]

8. You and me both! Here's to it!

[saltpoint]

9. Drinks around the house! And put it on

the Koch Brothers' tab.

[ginnyinWI]

11. I don't think we'll have to stay up very late for the results.

Maybe 20 minutes after the polls close!

[saltpoint]

12. Twenty minutes works for me, ginnyinWI. We'll need

at least that to get the tacos ready.

[NastyRiffraff]

13. In 2008 the networks called it 2 minutes after the polls closed

in the West Coast.

[VOX]

7. Love to hear this, but also hate to hear it...

Maybe it's my pre-election jitters, but I don't believe in breaking out the champagne until the votes are in. I want all Hillary voters & backers to hustle as if she were 10 points in the hole.

Get out and vote! (Or mail in your ballot ASAP!)

[NastyRiffraff]

14. I agree

Vote, vote early if your state has that option, mail in, etc.

AND...

Get your friends and neighbors out there. Help them if they need it. Make sure they're registered and that their registration is updated/current. If possible, join the campaign's GOTV work. As Michelle said, knock on doors, make calls, talk to everybody you know.

[Coyotl]

10. Lawsuit in 3, 2, ....

He's cooked, fried, and batter coated.

[Maru Kitteh]

15. Deplorable in the hole!

[BainsBane]

16. and that was before the dozen or so women came forward

talking about assault. Polls next week should be interesting.

Nicholas Kristof says there are 15 women whose accounts are credible.

[TeamPooka]

18. Bake that cake! GOTV! nt

[oasis]

19. Enormous landslide on the horizon.

[Gothmog]

20. The Cook Report is a great source

I really respect Cook's analysis

[tallahasseedem]

21. NO, NO, NOOOOO

People need to stop saying this. We need to GOTV. We can say she won when all of the votes are counted November 8th. Until then, we haven't WON.

[ScienceIsGood]

22. I am still nervous! n/t