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2016 Postmortem

triron

(21,984 posts) Sat Oct 15, 2016, 11:42 AM Oct 2016

HRC win probability at 98% per Sam Wang!!

http://election.princeton.edu/

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***HRC win probability at 98% per Sam Wang!!** * (Original Post) triron Oct 2016 OP

IIRC, Wang is one of the more accurate predictors lately... Wounded Bear Oct 2016 #1

I have that site and 538 bookmarked. I'm curious which one will be... Buckeye_Democrat Oct 2016 #2

Wounded Bear

(58,584 posts)

1. IIRC, Wang is one of the more accurate predictors lately...

Reply to triron (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 11:45 AM

Oct 2016

but I'm more interested in the actual vote tallies, both popular and EV.

I want a

Buckeye_Democrat

(14,852 posts)

2. I have that site and 538 bookmarked. I'm curious which one will be...

Reply to triron (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 11:47 AM

Oct 2016

... more accurate on election day.

Unlike Wang, Nate Silver has Iowa and Arizona slightly blue right now, with AZ slightly red in his "polls-plus" model.

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