2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumAP Moves Utah into tossup category.
WASHINGTON (AP) After a week of revelations and allegations about Donald Trump's behavior toward women, a third party twist lends an unprecedented level of uncertainty to one conservative stronghold.
The Associated Press this week moves Utah to a tossup after recent polls there showed a narrowing gap between the Republican nominee and Democrat Hillary Clinton.
While Clinton may not have much upside in a state defined by its relationship with the Mormon church, support for independent Evan McMullin and Libertarian Gary Johnson adds unpredictability to usually Republican Utah.
Two polls conducted in Utah this week, by Monmouth University and Y2 Analytics, showed a 6-point Trump lead and a tie between Trump and Clinton. But both surveys showed McMullin not far behind, earning support from about 2 in 10 likely voters, and Johnson from about 1 in 10.
http://bigstory.ap.org/fff7f60df5124af8824daf74cfa3f221
oberliner
(58,724 posts)A new poll released Sunday by YouGov/CBS shows Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton in Utah by a margin of 17 percentage points.
http://www.sltrib.com/home/4473773-155/new-poll-shows-trump-leading-clinton
RandySF
(58,444 posts)I think the AP also talks to people on the ground. I do know Trump as a 16% approval in Utah.
oberliner
(58,724 posts)Here is more info on the poll:
https://today.yougov.com/news/2016/10/16/clinton-retakes-lead-battleground-states-trump-hol/
Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)So, this is why it's stupid to go off just one poll.
DarthDem
(5,255 posts)Odd that it was posted here to rebut a pro-Clinton story!
triron
(21,984 posts)But averaging those 3 polls probably is closer to what it is.
I have a feeling Utah is very fluid right now.
jmowreader
(50,528 posts)Hillary rebuilt her marriage, and does a lot of charity work. Compare that to the walking orange nightmare and there's no question which way a Christian should vote.