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Hawaii Hiker

(3,165 posts)
Mon Oct 17, 2016, 09:25 AM Oct 2016

Trump underperforming compared to Romney

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/why-trump-s-trouble-he-s-underperforming-romney-2012-n667521

Women: Clinton +20 (55%-35%); Obama +11 (55%-44%)
Men: Trump +3 (48%-45%); Romney +7 (52%-45%)
Whites: Trump +11 (51%-40%); Romney +20 (59%-39%)
Latinos: Clinton +53 (70%-17%); Obama +44 (71%-27%)
African Americans: Clinton +77 (86%-9%), Obama +87 (Obama 93%-6%)
Independents: Trump +6 (41%-35%); Romney +5 (50%-45%)
18-29 year olds: Clinton +18; Obama +23
Whites with college degrees: even; Romney +13.

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Trump underperforming compared to Romney (Original Post) Hawaii Hiker Oct 2016 OP
I should hope so! Cha Oct 2016 #1
Mittens must be feeling warm about that C_U_L8R Oct 2016 #2
Turnout citood Oct 2016 #3

citood

(550 posts)
3. Turnout
Mon Oct 17, 2016, 10:17 AM
Oct 2016

In 2004, Bush had 62 million votes. Mcain and Romney failed to match that number.

But I believe Trump will - based on record primary turnout and the rabidness of his supporters.

Some people don't want to think about that possibility - but I think it is very likely that he gets over 65 million votes; and the popular vote differential will be around 4%.

I don't believe this will be a landslide and certainly wouldn't count on it. Hint - all these people publicly disavowing him...now...and not a year ago...do you really think they won't vote for him?

Trump will outpwrform Romney...but not President Obama's 2012 numbers. HRC has to match his numbers.

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