Nevada Early Voting Report for October 23, 2015

[RandySF]

Democrats destroyed Republicans in the first day of early voting in Nevada, amassing a 13,500 raw vote lead and dominating in Clark County.

The raw numbers, according to the secretary of state, combining early and mail ballots: 41,017-27,606. That’s 49 percent to 33 percent. Democrats are 10 percent above their registration numbers and Republicans right at theirs.

The first numbers in the populous South are very similar to the first day of 2012 while the tallies in Washoe County are significantly larger than they were for the Democrats four years ago.

How much of this is people wanting to end their participation in a relentlessly depressing election and how much is the result of the Democratic machine resurfacing after a 2014 hiatus will become clear after a few more days. But this is an ominous beginning for Republicans, who show little enthusiasm so far, if it mirrors 2012, when President Obama won the state by 6 points and Democrats achieved big gains except for the U.S. Senate race that Dean Heller won by 12,000 votes over Rep. Shelley Berkley. The latter result will still give Republicans hope in the race to replace Harry Reid, especially because Hillary Clinton is no Barack Obama. But this is the kind of break out of the starting gates the Democrats wanted.

There may be less straight partisan voting than in other presidential years, but it’s hard to see how that favors Republicans in a presidential race where Donald Trump is not nearly so strong with the GOP base as Clinton is with the Democratic base. The key is where non major-party voters alight – 9,000 turned out on the first day.



Clark County:

Record turnout of 39,000, 6,000 above 2012. But with 150,000 additional voters, the percentage (3.8 percent) is about the same.

The Democrats won 21,611-10,701. That’s 55 percent to 27 percent, almost identical to what it was in 2012. That means Democrats are turning out 12 points above their registration and Republicans are 2 points below theirs.

If you add in absentee ballots returned so far, the total is 14,137 returned so far, and the Democrats lead there, too: 6,061-5,202.

So the Clark totals: 27,672-15,903. That’s 52 percent to 30 percent.

Frame of reference: In 2012, the Democrats began this way and ended up with a 70,000 raw-vote lead by the end of the two-week period.

Washoe

It was 51-33 up North, and an 1,800 raw vote lead in early voting: 4,809-3,078. The percentage is almost twice was it was on the first day in 2012. The total turnout – about 9,400 voters – is almost identical to 2012.

Washoe had a huge number of absentees returned – usually a GOP strength: 15,467, even more than Clark. Those totals: 6,992, Democrats; 5,992, Republicans.

So the totals for Washoe: 11,801-8,8854. That’s 47 percent to 36 percent.

Registration in Washoe is 37-36, GOP. So the Democrats are 11 points above their registration, and the Republicans are 1 percent below theirs.


http://www.ktnv.com/news/ralston/the-nevada-early-voting-blog

[vadermike]

1. K and R!!

Add two more to Team Hillary and turning congress Blue here in Las Vegas Wife and I early voted just now !!! Excited !!!!!!!!!!

[NoGoodNamesLeft]

2. Another thing to consider is that some of those Republicans probably voted for Hillary

lol