****** BREAKING GREENBERG QUINLAN NATIONAL ROSSNER POLL ****** CLINTON 50 TRUMP 38

[DemocratSinceBirth]

http://www.democracycorps.com/National-Surveys/clinton-in-12-point-lead-potential-for-downballot-gains/

[triron]

1. Great

Is this the same as Democracy Corp?

[Fahrenthold451]

2. ABC NO OUTLIER!!!!!

So good to see the numbers break this way. Thanks for posting.

[0rganism]

8. YOU'RE THE OUTLIER! YOU'RE THE OUTLIER!

i just love the puppet quote, it desperately needs to be memed to hell

[List left]

9. Trump is the outed-liar!!! nt

[Johnny2X2X]

3. Hmm

Exact same results as the ABC Poll.

B- rated poll by 538.

[Buckeye_Democrat]

4. Fantastic! That poll was accurate in 2012 too!

http://www.gqrr.com/casestudies/right-on-target-most-accurate-polls-in-the-2012-national-election

In contrast to other polls, national surveys conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for Democracy Corps consistently showed Obama with a lead in the last few weeks before the election.

Our final poll (completed two days before Election Day) showed the race 49 to 45 percent – for an unrounded margin of 3.8 points. With other public polls still showing the race tied or Romney ahead, we knew someone had to be wrong. But we believed in our turnout model and our industry-leading methodology. As of this writing, the margin is 3.6 points and inching up – a remarkable achievement of accuracy.

[riversedge]

11. Thanks. Good to hear that.

[Funtatlaguy]

5. Does James Carville own this?

His name is in header when you click the link.

[Fahrenthold451]

6. Internals of this poll look OK vis Party ID

Strong Democrat ................................................................ 31 Weak Democrat ................................................................. 12 Independent-lean Democrat................................................ 8 Independent ........................................................................ 5 Independent-lean Republican ............................................ 11 Weak Republican ............................................................... 11 Strong Republican.............................................................. 20 (Don't know/Refused).......................................................... 0 (ref TYID1)

[Grey Lemercier]

12. Mean-reverted bias

A pollster’s historical average statistical bias toward Democratic or Republican candidates, reverted to a mean of zero based on the number of polls in the database.

It now has the 2nd highest Dem bias out of all polls listed.






I am not saying this poll could not be accurate, but that inherent bias is now baked in the cake.

[Buckeye_Democrat]

13. Races called correctly isn't very encouraging...

... unless they have a tendency to poll tight races.

I'm at least happy that they almost nailed the 2012 Presidential results!

[Grey Lemercier]

14. I am ALL about GOTV, working my fellow expats here in London HARD

[Buckeye_Democrat]

15. Thanks!

[Grey Lemercier]

16. Most learned their lesson about complacency

from the bloody Brexit disaster.

[workinclasszero]

7. Dem landslide!!

Blue wave election on the way!

[riversedge]

10. I love it when she hits the 50% mark (even with the 4 way)

[Jim Dandy]

17. That and a good cup of coffee

.. made my day.

[StevieM]

18. I am terrified that this story about Obamacare is going to halt our momentum.

I won't be convinced that the election is won until she wins on Election Day.

[mountain grammy]

19. I feel sick that 40% of American voters are for Donald

But love seeing Hillary above 50%.

My brother in law posted on fb that Hillary is gay along with killing everyone in Bengassi, his spelling. He's not well. Probably his last presidential election.

[Dark n Stormy Knight]

20. So, 38% of voters are complete morons?

Still great she's ahead, but wtf is wrong with those people?!