Just a reminder: The GOP is dominating in FL, OH, PA, VA, NC, WI, MI, NV, and NH right now

[Proud Public Servant]

If this were the Electoral Vote map, we'd all be losing our shit. And yet this map is real, and matters just as much.



GOTV for down-ballot races!

[Dem2]

1. It's awful

I vote straight Democrat from top to bottom.

[Zing Zing Zingbah]

2. This is why we never get anything done.

Hopefully, we can make Maine blue on this map.

[TomCADem]

3. This Is Where All of the Koch/Adelson Money is Going

Everyone focuses on the top of the ticket, but when it comes to legislative races, the true impact of Citizens United is felt in Congress.

[Ken Burch]

4. Good point. n/t.

[Ken Burch]

5. I don't think that map is accurate regarding New York:

Last I heard, the New York State Senate is controlled by a GOP-right wing Dem coalition.

[elmac]

6. This country has been run by fascists for many years

that is why we have massive inequality, militarized police, failing infrastructure and constant wars. A Democratic president is pretty much powerless if the fascists hold that kind of control over all of us.

[DFW]

7. It's also from April, if the small print is accurate

Trump wasn't their nominee then. The tide has shifted somewhat since.

[IndianaDave]

9. Thank you for Pointing that Out!

Your insight is very helpful. It doesn't mean that we can just relax - we still need to work to get out the vote - but it helps to put the map into perspective.

[ColemanMaskell]

8. Hunh. Senate looks okay. 538 predicts about 65-35 chance Dems take Senate.

The House is quite tough to take back because of Republican gerrymandering at the last redistricting.
That's why Obama is planning to throw in with Eric Holder after January to try to improve the Dem situation at the next redistricting. Obama is a good man. He can make that happen.

But it really looks like Dems will take the Senate. 538 puts the odds at about 65-35 on that.
PA and NV are around 50-50 for the Senate, on 538. 90% chance we take Wisconsin, 60% New Hampshire. Mi and Va are not in play for the Senate. Of course Rubio keeps his Florida seat. But on balance the Senate looks good for the Dems -- Odds are we take more Senate seats than we lose.

And you know, Obama is out there campaigning for us on down-ballot races too. Trump is bad enough to drag down a lot of down-ballot jokers along with himself. But those gerrymandered district lines are going to be hard to overcome no matter how much you get out the vote. I mean, that's no reason not to try, but the deck is stacked against us on the House for now. Still, yes, press on, get out the vote, press the advantage we do have. Sure. But face reality too, and don't be too disappointed "when your best just ain't good enough". There's another redistricting coming up in 2020, and this time we won't be caught napping on that.

[Proud Public Servant]

10. And gerrymandering is why this map matters

It's state legislatures that draw congressional districts.

[ColemanMaskell]

11. State legislatures, from Reuters morning email newsletter - tilting Dem

Quote, Reuters

It’s getting ugly for the Republican Party down-ballot. The bipartisan National Conference of State Legislatures estimates 18 legislative chambers in 12 states could switch party control, including in Arizona, Colorado, Kentucky, Minnesota, Nevada, Washington and Wisconsin. Republicans have dominated control of legislatures since the mid-term election in 2010 and currently hold the majority in 67 of the country’s 98 partisan legislative chambers, while Democrats have 31. Nebraska’s single chamber is nonpartisan.

[ColemanMaskell]

12. Still, the midterm elections will be crucial too

We need GOTV enthusiasm for 2018 elections